Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 2nd April, published ~9AM on the 10th April.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$699mn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$83mn out of "Steel". Net shorts increased A$2.6bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group (GMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/generation-development-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14945:1" rel="noopener">Generation Development (GDG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cochlear-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:918:1" rel="noopener">Cochlear (COH AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/supply-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2280:1" rel="noopener">Supply Network (SNL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 2nd April, published ~9AM on the 10th April.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$699mn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$83mn out of "Steel". Net shorts increased A$2.6bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Goodman Group (GMG AU), Generation Development (GDG AU), PEXA Group (PXA AU), Cochlear (COH AU), and Supply Network (SNL AU).


Aussie Shorts [2nd Apr]: Goodman Group, Generation Development, PEXA Group, Cochlear, Supply Network

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th March, published ~9AM on the 2nd April.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener">Nextdc (NXT AU)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener"></a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flight-centre-travel-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7537:1" rel="noopener">Flight Centre Travel (FLT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/web-travel-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17059:1" rel="noopener">WEB Travel  (WEB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global (WTC AU)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th March, published ~9AM on the 2nd April.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: BHP (BHP AU), Nextdc (NXT AU), Flight Centre Travel (FLT AU), WEB Travel  (WEB AU), Bapcor (BAP AU), and Wisetech Global (WTC AU)



Aussie Shorts (27th Mar 2026): BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre, WEB Travel, Bapcor, Wisetech Global

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

Domestic Australian factors are being overshadowed by global developments.  These global drivers account for both its rapid rebound over the last month and its significant correction in recent days.  Throughout this move we have been skeptical that the AUD can sustain its rally with significant local political and economic uncertainty.  These risks remain and continue to make it difficult to hold long AUD positions.  On the other hand, political and economic uncertainty in many alternative currencies are equally troubling. In Australia, economic momentum picked up in 2015, but has been more mixed in 2016.  The housing market is starting to ebb from strong levels, political risks remain elevated, bank equity performance has been weak, potentially a drag on confidence.  However, Global drivers remain in control, and while uncertainty is elevated in Australia, it is not clear that it will be sufficient to throw the Australian economy off course.  The RBA Statement continued to express a steady policy outlook albeit with an easing bias.

Domestic Australian factors are being overshadowed by global developments.  These global drivers account for both its rapid rebound over the last month and its significant correction in recent days.  Throughout this move we have been skeptical that the AUD can sustain its rally with significant local political and economic uncertainty.  These risks remain and continue to make it difficult to hold long AUD positions.  On the other hand, political and economic uncertainty in many alternative currencies are equally troubling. In Australia, economic momentum picked up in 2015, but has been more mixed in 2016.  The housing market is starting to ebb from strong levels, political risks remain elevated, bank equity performance has been weak, potentially a drag on confidence.  However, Global drivers remain in control, and while uncertainty is elevated in Australia, it is not clear that it will be sufficient to throw the Australian economy off course.  The RBA Statement continued to express a steady policy outlook albeit with an easing bias.

AmpGFX - AUD in No Man's Land, Political and Economic Risks Remain Elevated

<ul>
<li>The correct long-term thing to do is, and the right short-term trade don't match. Best to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ (6670 JP)</a> above the tender offer price or at the offer price.</li>
<li>At 6.1x forward EV/EBITDA - and ~80% discount to NAV - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> is not expensive.</li>
<li>An interesting fact pattern appears like it might be a setup for a significant change in capital structure for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-steel-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16195:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Steel Mfg (5423 JP) T</a> related to the former CEO</li>
</ul>


The correct long-term thing to do is, and the right short-term trade don't match. Best to sell MCJ (6670 JP) above the tender offer price or at the offer price.
At 6.1x forward EV/EBITDA - and ~80% discount to NAV - AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) is not expensive.
An interesting fact pattern appears like it might be a setup for a significant change in capital structure for Tokyo Steel Mfg (5423 JP) T related to the former CEO


Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, AviChina, Tokyo Steel Mfg, 3SBio

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 27th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD36.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Medibank Private, Macquarie, Technology One, Whitehaven Coal.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Mar 27th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD36.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Medibank Private, Macquarie, Technology One, Whitehaven Coal.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 27th): Suncorp, Medibank Private, Macquarie, Technology One

Australia

PLS Group Limited operates as a mining and exploration company. The Company focuses on the exploration and development of hard rock lithium projects, as well as manufactures battery materials. PLS Group serves customers worldwide.

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PLS Group (PLS AU)

Aussie Shorts [2nd Apr]: Goodman Group, Generation Development, PEXA Group, Cochlear, Supply Network

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$699mn into "Diversified Meals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$83mn out of...

David Blennerhassett

Aussie Shorts (27th Mar 2026): BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre, WEB Travel, Bapcor, Wisetech Global

Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week. Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre Travel, WEB...

David Blennerhassett

AmpGFX - AUD in No Man's Land, Political and Economic Risks Remain Elevated

Domestic Australian factors are being overshadowed by global developments. These global drivers account for both its rapid rebound over the last...

Greg Gibbs

Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, AviChina, Tokyo Steel Mfg, 3SBio

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 27th): Suncorp, Medibank Private, Macquarie, Technology One

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Suncorp, Medibank Private, Macquarie, Technology...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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