Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.</li>
<li>We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we have presented our latest expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the March 2026 index rebal event.
Our expectations for ASX 20, 50, and 100 have changed as we anticipated might (in our last insight) might happen. The reference period is about to end soon.
We now expect one change for ASX 20, two changes for ASX 50, two changes for ASX 100, three changes for ASX 200, and 15 ADDs/8 DELs for ASX 300.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Metals &amp; Mining".</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining (EVN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seek-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:676:1" rel="noopener">Seek Ltd (SEK AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Metals &amp; Mining".
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Evolution Mining (EVN AU), and Seek Ltd (SEK AU).


Aussie Shorts (9 Feb 2026): Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Sigma Healthcare, Evolution Mining, Seek

<ul>
<li>There's (still) a LOT of upside here. IF <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> sells the Operating Business at 1x book, there's at least another ¥5,800 in this, and maybe more.</li>
<li>FY25 results reaffirm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a>'s stub ops continue to burn cash. Deconsolidated net debt touches an all-time high. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:874:1" rel="noopener">HKT (6823 HK)</a>'s dividend pass-through % is trending south. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yutaka-giken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4033:1" rel="noopener">Yutaka Giken (7229 JP)</a> will end up being a case study of how NOT to execute a takeover for a parent company, which is "responsible" for treating minorities fairly.</li>
</ul>


There's (still) a LOT of upside here. IF Toyota Industries (6201 JP) sells the Operating Business at 1x book, there's at least another ¥5,800 in this, and maybe more.
FY25 results reaffirm PCCW Ltd (8 HK)'s stub ops continue to burn cash. Deconsolidated net debt touches an all-time high. And HKT (6823 HK)'s dividend pass-through % is trending south. 

Yutaka Giken (7229 JP) will end up being a case study of how NOT to execute a takeover for a parent company, which is "responsible" for treating minorities fairly.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, PCCW, Yutaka Giken, Ferretti, Daishin Securities

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 6th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Xero, Origin Energy, Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, Rea.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 6th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD33.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Xero, Origin Energy, Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, Rea.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): BHP, Xero, Origin Energy, Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, Rea

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Gold".</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lynas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1" rel="noopener">Lynas (LYC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">Bluescope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/treasury-wine-estates-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:710:1" rel="noopener">Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining (EVN AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pinnacle-investment-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20624:1" rel="noopener">Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of "Gold".
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Lynas (LYC AU), Bluescope Steel (BSL AU), Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU), Evolution Mining (EVN AU), and Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU). 


Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment

Australia

Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited provides investment management services. The Company offers operational support, insurance, business management, compliance, financial reporting, and accounting services. Pinnacle Investment Management Group conducts its business in Australia.

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Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Mar26: Multiple Changes to Key Ranks as Anticipated; Many High-Impact Names

The expected changes for ASX 200 and ASX 300 have fairly high impacts expected in the upcoming rebalance. The ASX 20, 50, and 100 have large...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Aussie Shorts (9 Feb 2026): Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Sigma Healthcare, Evolution Mining, Seek

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU), Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Evolution Mining...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Toyota Industries, PCCW, Yutaka Giken, Ferretti, Daishin Securities

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): BHP, Xero, Origin Energy, Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, Rea

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Xero, Origin Energy, Commonwealth Bank Of...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment

Companies mentioned in this weekly short interest report include Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Treasury Wine Estates, Evolution Mining, and...

David Blennerhassett

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