Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>During the lunch break, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK</a>)  <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1220/2024122000232.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-xinjufeng-technology-packaging-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36744:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH)</a> (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions - the final approvals concerned outbound direct investments.</li>
<li>The Offer Document, including the IFA opinion, is expected to be dispatched  in seven days - or 27th December, at which time, the Offer will be open to acceptances.</li>
<li>Evidently the Jeff Bi/Gong Hong MGO isn't materialising any time soon. Provided the IFA is supportive - and that should now be known - management should unanimously back XJF's Offer.</li>
</ul>


During the lunch break, Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)  announced that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (301296 CH) (XJF) had satisfied all pre-conditions - the final approvals concerned outbound direct investments.
The Offer Document, including the IFA opinion, is expected to be dispatched  in seven days - or 27th December, at which time, the Offer will be open to acceptances.
Evidently the Jeff Bi/Gong Hong MGO isn't materialising any time soon. Provided the IFA is supportive - and that should now be known - management should unanimously back XJF's Offer.


GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 13th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 13th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th): Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global

<ul>
<li>After Tanarra Capital categorically refuted an Australian article alleging Tanarra was supportive of Bain's Offer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>'s board's response was all-but rubber stamped. </li>
<li>Insignia reckons Bain's Offer does not represent fair value, and in the "context of a change of control transaction". </li>
<li>What now - does Bain bump? Tough call in a space where one, possible two deals, may lapse in short succession. </li>
</ul>


After Tanarra Capital categorically refuted an Australian article alleging Tanarra was supportive of Bain's Offer, Insignia Financial (IFL AU)'s board's response was all-but rubber stamped. 
Insignia reckons Bain's Offer does not represent fair value, and in the "context of a change of control transaction". 
What now - does Bain bump? Tough call in a space where one, possible two deals, may lapse in short succession. 


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Rejection Follows Tanarra's Lead

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ioof-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, a wealth manager and previously known as IOOF, has announced a <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20241213/pdf/06clql94x0mq9g.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A$4.00/share non-binding and indicative proposal</a> from PE outfit Bain Capital.</li>
<li>The Offer, should it proceed, will be by way of a Scheme.  Apart from IFL's shareholder approval, a firm bid requires FIRB signing off. </li>
<li>IFL's board is weighing up the Offer's pros and cons. This probably requires a small bump.</li>
</ul>



Insignia Financial (IFL AU), a wealth manager and previously known as IOOF, has announced a A$4.00/share non-binding and indicative proposal from PE outfit Bain Capital.
The Offer, should it proceed, will be by way of a Scheme.  Apart from IFL's shareholder approval, a firm bid requires FIRB signing off. 
IFL's board is weighing up the Offer's pros and cons. This probably requires a small bump.


Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain's A$4.00/Share NBIO. Needs More Gruel

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

Australia

Platinum Asset Management Limited is a fund management company. The Company specializes in global equities.

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Platinum Asset Management (PTM AU)

GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

Bi/Hong will likely stick to their guns, and reject XJF's offer, and hope the deal fails. Minority shareholders should ignore that advice and tender.

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th): Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Rejection Follows Tanarra's Lead

Trading 13.8% adrift of the NBIO terms. That's illustrative of the likelihood Bain sweetens the Offer. I can see Bain walking. This is not...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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GAPack (468 HK): XJF Satisfies Pre-Cons. Management Should Back Terms

Bi/Hong will likely stick to their guns, and reject XJF's offer, and hope the deal fails. Minority shareholders should ignore that advice and tender.

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th): Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Pilbara Minerals, Xero, Apa, Coles, Wisetech Global.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain Rejection Follows Tanarra's Lead

Trading 13.8% adrift of the NBIO terms. That's illustrative of the likelihood Bain sweetens the Offer. I can see Bain walking. This is not...

David Blennerhassett

Insignia Financial (IFL AU): Bain's A$4.00/Share NBIO. Needs More Gruel

Not the Australian's finest moment. After an article flagged Tanarra Capital to be reportedly "backing Bain Capital’s bid", Tanarra responded by...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett