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<ul><li>Persistent short positioning, even after a sharp rally, points to concerns about processing margins and where value is captured in the lithium market.</li></ul>

Persistent short positioning, even after a sharp rally, points to concerns about processing margins and where value is captured in the lithium market.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a> missed being added to a global index in February. There is a much better chance of being added to the same index in May.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a> was added to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index in March and that will result in passive global trackers needing to buy more of the real float.</li>
<li>Cumulative excess volume has increased in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pls-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">PLS Group (PLS AU)</a>, but we see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.</li>
</ul>



PLS Group (PLS AU) missed being added to a global index in February. There is a much better chance of being added to the same index in May.

PLS Group (PLS AU) was added to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index in March and that will result in passive global trackers needing to buy more of the real float.
Cumulative excess volume has increased in PLS Group (PLS AU), but we see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.


PLS Group (PLS AU): High Probability of Global Index Inclusion in May

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a> saw its last day of trading on 21 December. There was large volume at the close as one major index provider gave it the boot. </li>
<li>Another delayed their treatment at the last minute, and eliminated a cross-flow.</li>
<li>But there is still a lot of net buy flow tomorrow (3 Jan) and the next day in the US. Perhaps more than I expected. </li>
</ul>



Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) saw its last day of trading on 21 December. There was large volume at the close as one major index provider gave it the boot. 
Another delayed their treatment at the last minute, and eliminated a cross-flow.
But there is still a lot of net buy flow tomorrow (3 Jan) and the next day in the US. Perhaps more than I expected. 


Allkem + Livent = Arcadium : Updated Expected Index Flows

<ul>
<li>After a yuuge rally in the stock over the last 8 months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> could be added to a global index in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> is also a potential upward migration in a local index a few weeks later and that will lead to more passive buying.</li>
<li>There has been increased positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a>, but we also see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.</li>
</ul>


After a yuuge rally in the stock over the last 8 months, Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) could be added to a global index in February.

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) is also a potential upward migration in a local index a few weeks later and that will lead to more passive buying.
There has been increased positioning in Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU), but we also see a similar trend in its peers that do not have any upcoming passive flows.


PLS Group (PLS AU): Index Inclusion Follows Huge Move Higher

<ul><li>The US-Australia critical minerals investment agreement has driven lithium miner Pilbara Minerals&rsquo; share price on sentiment, well above fundamentals, on most assessments.</li><li> US-Australia critical minerals deal sends miner share prices surging Pilbara Minerals posts solid September quarter beat Lithium prices remain below new production threshold Most brokers see Pilbara Minerals as overvalued</li></ul>

The US-Australia critical minerals investment agreement has driven lithium miner Pilbara Minerals&rsquo; share price on sentiment, well above fundamentals, on most assessments. US-Australia critical minerals deal sends miner share prices surging Pilbara Minerals posts solid September quarter beat Lithium prices remain below new production threshold Most brokers see Pilbara Minerals as overvalued

Valuation vs Sentiment For Pilbara Minerals

Australia

PLS Group Limited operates as a mining and exploration company. The Company focuses on the exploration and development of hard rock lithium projects, as well as manufactures battery materials. PLS Group serves customers worldwide.

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PLS Group (PLS AU)

Why Is PLS Still Heavily Shorted?

Persistent short positioning, even after a sharp rally, points to concerns about processing margins and where value is captured in the lithium market.

FNArena

PLS Group (PLS AU): High Probability of Global Index Inclusion in May

PLS Group is a high probability global index inclusion in May. The stock price has jumped and shorts have been covering. Positioning is up in the...

Brian Freitas

Allkem + Livent = Arcadium : Updated Expected Index Flows

Flows for Livent-become-Arcadium Lithium over the next 3 days are relatively prodigious. This comes from upweights in US indices not matched by...

Travis Lundy

PLS Group (PLS AU): Index Inclusion Follows Huge Move Higher

PLS Group could be added to a global index in Feb. And then to a local index in March. Shorts have covered but are still huge compared to float....

Brian Freitas

Valuation vs Sentiment For Pilbara Minerals

The US-Australia critical minerals investment agreement has driven lithium miner Pilbara Minerals’ share price on sentiment, well above...

FNArena

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