IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betr-entertainment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BETR Entertainment (BBT AU)</a> has returned with a non-binding proposal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, which it claims is worth A$1.20 to A$1.50+ per PBH share.</li>
<li>Betr has also acquired a 19.9% stake, which can effectively block <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a>’s A$1.06 scheme offer. Betr’s offer is higher primarily due to questionable assumptions in the presentation.</li>
<li>Betr has secured over A$260 million in cash funding. Mixi can either let the scheme fail or switch to an off-market takeover offer.</li>
</ul>



BETR Entertainment (BBT AU) has returned with a non-binding proposal for PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), which it claims is worth A$1.20 to A$1.50+ per PBH share.
Betr has also acquired a 19.9% stake, which can effectively block Mixi Inc (2121 JP)’s A$1.06 scheme offer. Betr’s offer is higher primarily due to questionable assumptions in the presentation.
Betr has secured over A$260 million in cash funding. Mixi can either let the scheme fail or switch to an off-market takeover offer.


PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr (BBT AU) Returns with Financing, a Blocking Stake, and Dubious Assumptions

<ul>
<li>On 26 February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a> entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a> at A$1.06, a 27.7% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.83 (25 February).</li>
<li>Subsequently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluebet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BlueBet Holdings (BBT AU)</a> disclosed a competing non-binding cash-and-scrip offer worth a combined equity value of A$340-360 million or A$1.02-1.09 per PBT share.  </li>
<li>BlueBet has limited headroom to engage in a bidding war, particularly as its share price weakens. The share price already factors in a potential bump from Mixi. </li>
</ul>


On 26 February, PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU) entered a scheme implementation deed with Mixi Inc (2121 JP) at A$1.06, a 27.7% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.83 (25 February).
Subsequently, BlueBet Holdings (BBT AU) disclosed a competing non-binding cash-and-scrip offer worth a combined equity value of A$340-360 million or A$1.02-1.09 per PBT share.  
BlueBet has limited headroom to engage in a bidding war, particularly as its share price weakens. The share price already factors in a potential bump from Mixi. 


PointsBet (PBH AU): A Tussle Between MIXI (2121 JP) And Bluebet (BBT AU)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, an Australian/Canadian online wagering platform, has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:602:1" rel="noopener">Mixi Inc (2121 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Mixi is offering A$1.06/share, a 27.7% premium to last close and an implied EV/EBITDA of 25.2x-32.1x for FY25E. Apart from PointsBet's shareholder approval, the Offer requires FIRB signing off.</li>
<li>Separately, Pointsbet's key rival <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluebet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41181:1" rel="noopener">BlueBet Holdings (BBT AU)</a> has tabled, what appears to be, a higher non-binding cash/scrip offer by way of Scheme, which PointsBet has allegedly ignored. </li>
</ul>



PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), an Australian/Canadian online wagering platform, has entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with Mixi Inc (2121 JP).
Mixi is offering A$1.06/share, a 27.7% premium to last close and an implied EV/EBITDA of 25.2x-32.1x for FY25E. Apart from PointsBet's shareholder approval, the Offer requires FIRB signing off.
Separately, Pointsbet's key rival BlueBet Holdings (BBT AU) has tabled, what appears to be, a higher non-binding cash/scrip offer by way of Scheme, which PointsBet has allegedly ignored. 


PointsBet (PBH AU) Rebuffs BlueBet And Enters Offer With Mixi (2121 JP)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45177:1" rel="noopener">Webjet Group (WJL AU)</a> disclosed a non-binding scheme offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helloworld-travel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16134:1" rel="noopener">Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU)</a> at A$0.90 per share, a 12.5% premium to the rejected BGH/Weiss offer of A$0.80.</li>
<li>The Board has granted due diligence. The offer is unattractive compared to peer multiples, analyst price targets and historical trading ranges.    </li>
<li>The scheme offer is a non-starter and likely to morph into a PointsBet-type situation. Therefore, the potential result is conditional takeover bids from BGH/Weiss and Helloworld.</li>
</ul>



Webjet Group (WJL AU) disclosed a non-binding scheme offer from Helloworld Ltd (HLO AU) at A$0.90 per share, a 12.5% premium to the rejected BGH/Weiss offer of A$0.80.
The Board has granted due diligence. The offer is unattractive compared to peer multiples, analyst price targets and historical trading ranges.    
The scheme offer is a non-starter and likely to morph into a PointsBet-type situation. Therefore, the potential result is conditional takeover bids from BGH/Weiss and Helloworld.


Webjet Group (WJL AU): Helloworld’s Scheme Offer Likely to Morph into Competing Takeover Offers

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

Hangzhou Kangji Medical Instrument Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

Australia

PointsBet Holdings Ltd is a corporate bookmaker with operations in Australia, the United States, Canada and Ireland. PointsBet has developed a cloud-based wagering Platform through which it offers its clients sports, racing and iGaming products.

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PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)

PointsBet (PBH AU): Betr (BBT AU) Returns with Financing, a Blocking Stake, and Dubious Assumptions

Betr’s offer is higher primarily due to questionable assumptions in the presentation. Mixi can either let the scheme fail (betr has a blocking...

Arun George

PointsBet (PBH AU): A Tussle Between MIXI (2121 JP) And Bluebet (BBT AU)

BlueBet has limited headroom to engage in a bidding war, particularly as its share price weakens. The share price already factors in a potential...

Arun George

PointsBet (PBH AU) Rebuffs BlueBet And Enters Offer With Mixi (2121 JP)

Trading two ticks through terms as I type. I wouldn't chase this. Mixi's terms are firm; BlueBet's are non-binding. Look to enter at or below...

David Blennerhassett

Webjet Group (WJL AU): Helloworld’s Scheme Offer Likely to Morph into Competing Takeover Offers

The scheme offer is a non-starter and likely to morph into a PointsBet-type situation. Therefore, the potential result is conditional takeover bids...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

For the month of Sept, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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