Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?</li>
<li>China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;</li>
<li>MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.</li>
</ul>


The just concluded Two Sessions contained little surprises but the market shrugged it off. Have animal spirits offset China's structural economic issues?
China's EV sector grew 38% YoY in the first two months of 2025, above our annual target of 30%. We stick to our bullish view. 2024 grew 41% YoY;
MINISO explored spin off of its toy chain business. We maintain SELL rating on deteriorating China business.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.
$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.
We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.


Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Bloks Group IPO Trading - Strongest HK IPO Demand in Recent Years

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Bloks Group, a founder-led toy maker and owner of trusted brand “Blokees”, will price its IPO this week. Shares are set to begin trading on January 10, 2025.</li>
<li>I would expect strong first trading-day return as HK public offering was already 5,000+ times oversubscribed at high end of marketed price range.</li>
<li>I believe investors are rationally optimistic about the company. Bloks Group IPO attracted a surge of retail investors, and the stock may skyrocket above IPO price on first trading-day.</li>
</ul>


Bloks Group, a founder-led toy maker and owner of trusted brand “Blokees”, will price its IPO this week. Shares are set to begin trading on January 10, 2025.
I would expect strong first trading-day return as HK public offering was already 5,000+ times oversubscribed at high end of marketed price range.
I believe investors are rationally optimistic about the company. Bloks Group IPO attracted a surge of retail investors, and the stock may skyrocket above IPO price on first trading-day.


Bloks Group Likely To Price IPO at High End of Range: What To Expect From First Trading-Day?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloks-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43648:1" rel="noopener">Bloks Group (1850960D CH)</a> is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Bloks Groups (Bloks) operates in the toy segment where it primarily assembles character and brick-based toys.
In our previous notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts on valuation.


Bloks Group IPO - Outgrowing Its Peers, Decent Valuation

China

Pop Mart International Group Limited operates as a toys wholesales company. The Company provides trendy toys designing, production, marketing, and other services. Pop Mart International Group markets its products worldwide.

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Pop Mart (9992 HK)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Bloks Group IPO Trading - Strongest HK IPO Demand in Recent Years

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

Bloks Group Likely To Price IPO at High End of Range: What To Expect From First Trading-Day?

Bloks Group will go public this week. In my insight, I discuss expectations from first trading-day and how far Bloks Group stock may go up in a...

Andrei Zakharov

Bloks Group IPO - Outgrowing Its Peers, Decent Valuation

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 10/52] Smart Trump or Dumb Trump? Part II

​China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Bloks Group IPO Trading - Strongest HK IPO Demand in Recent Years

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Clarence Chu

Bloks Group Likely To Price IPO at High End of Range: What To Expect From First Trading-Day?

Bloks Group will go public this week. In my insight, I discuss expectations from first trading-day and how far Bloks Group stock may go up in a...

Andrei Zakharov

Bloks Group IPO - Outgrowing Its Peers, Decent Valuation

Bloks Group (1850960D CH) is looking to raise US$187m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts...

Clarence Chu

China's market shrugged off Two Sessions as the balance of events with US the main driver. EV sector opened 2025 with a bang while MINISO...