New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Property sector accounts for around 37% of global carbon dioxide emissions, with variations in sustainability progress across New Zealand's listed property companies.</li><li>Disclosures broadly meet regulatory requirements but often lack a clear narrative on how climate risks and opportunities may affect future outlooks.</li><li>Greenhouse gas inventories reflect the maturity of reporting practices more than climate transition risks, with inconsistencies in Scope 3 emissions reporting.</li></ul>

The Property sector accounts for around 37% of global carbon dioxide emissions, with variations in sustainability progress across New Zealand's listed property companies.Disclosures broadly meet regulatory requirements but often lack a clear narrative on how climate risks and opportunities may affect future outlooks.Greenhouse gas inventories reflect the maturity of reporting practices more than climate transition risks, with inconsistencies in Scope 3 emissions reporting.

Insights from Climate Disclosures Property Sector

<ul><li>February was a weak month for listed property vehicles (LPV) which followed the market lower.</li><li>The February reporting season was largely unsurprising. We believe the sector continues to look attractive given: (1) solid earnings outlook with tax and interest rate headwinds behind us, (2) stable portfolio metrics, (3) high replacement cost limiting new supply, and (4) a stabilisation in book asset values versus the share prices implying further declines.</li><li>The sector will, however, exit this cycle with full gearing and as such may not be able to take advantage of counter-cyclical growth opportunities. </li></ul>

February was a weak month for listed property vehicles (LPV) which followed the market lower.The February reporting season was largely unsurprising. We believe the sector continues to look attractive given: (1) solid earnings outlook with tax and interest rate headwinds behind us, (2) stable portfolio metrics, (3) high replacement cost limiting new supply, and (4) a stabilisation in book asset values versus the share prices implying further declines.The sector will, however, exit this cycle with full gearing and as such may not be able to take advantage of counter-cyclical growth opportunities. 

Real Estate Reflections - Bouncing Along the Bottom

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

Jardine Matheson Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>70% of Senior Directors are confident in data centres, showing faith in their reliability and efficiency despite challenges.</li><li>HPL's acquisition of InterContinental Auckland for $102M marks its entry into the New Zealand market, expanding its portfolio.</li><li>Stuart Grant's appointment as head of Hongkong Land's $8B Shanghai project highlights the company's commitment to growth and development in the region.</li></ul>

70% of Senior Directors are confident in data centres, showing faith in their reliability and efficiency despite challenges.HPL's acquisition of InterContinental Auckland for $102M marks its entry into the New Zealand market, expanding its portfolio.Stuart Grant's appointment as head of Hongkong Land's $8B Shanghai project highlights the company's commitment to growth and development in the region.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen

<ul>
<li>January was a solid start to 2025 for the listed property sector.</li>
<li>While we had expected 2024 to be an inflection year for the sector, sticky inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates had other ideas.</li>
<li>We still remain constructive on the sector in 2025. </li>
</ul>


January was a solid start to 2025 for the listed property sector.
While we had expected 2024 to be an inflection year for the sector, sticky inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates had other ideas.
We still remain constructive on the sector in 2025. 


Real Estate Reflections - Five Themes for 2025

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>November was a soft month for the property sector as interest rate volatility continued.</li><li>1H25 results were largely as expected with most companies seeing: (1) slight vacancy rise, softening tenant demand and slowing market rent growth, reflecting the economic backdrop, (2) debt costs beginning to decline, and (3) asset values and cap rates stabilising. We expect these themes will continue to play out over the next year.</li><li>While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and a lower earnings multiple than the broader market. </li></ul>

November was a soft month for the property sector as interest rate volatility continued.1H25 results were largely as expected with most companies seeing: (1) slight vacancy rise, softening tenant demand and slowing market rent growth, reflecting the economic backdrop, (2) debt costs beginning to decline, and (3) asset values and cap rates stabilising. We expect these themes will continue to play out over the next year.While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and a lower earnings multiple than the broader market. 

Real Estate Reflections - From One Cycle to the Next

New Zealand

Precinct Properties New Zealand Ltd. invests in manages and leases commercial office properties. The Company invests in properties in Auckland and Wellington.

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Precinct Properties New Zealand (PCT NZ)

Insights from Climate Disclosures Property Sector

The Property sector accounts for around 37% of global carbon dioxide emissions, with variations in sustainability progress across New Zealand's...

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - Bouncing Along the Bottom

February was a weak month for listed property vehicles (LPV) which followed the market lower. The February reporting season was largely unsurprising.

Forsyth Barr

Asia Real Estate Tracker (06-Mar-2025): 7/10 Senior Directors Confident in Data Centres, But Talent Shortage Will Widen

Senior Directors optimistic about data centres but concerned about talent shortage, HPL acquires InterContinental Auckland for $102M, Hongkong Land...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Real Estate Reflections - Five Themes for 2025

While we had expected 2024 to be an inflection year for the sector, sticky inflation and higher-for-longer interest rates had other ideas.

Forsyth Barr

Real Estate Reflections - From One Cycle to the Next

While the property sector continues to trade at compressed spreads to long-bond yields, it is trading on wider yields than some defensive peers and...

Forsyth Barr

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)