Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Yatsen Holding Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Yatsen Holding aims to raise around upto US$617m in its US IPO. The company is backed by Hillhouse, Tencent and Tiger Global. </p><p>Yatsen was founded in 2016 and has since then launched three color cosmetics and skincare brands. Together, these brands have served 23.4m customers in 2019. According to the CIC report, Perfect Diary became the top color cosmetics brand in China in terms of online retail sales in 2019.</p><p>Its revenue increased by 4.7x in 2019 and was up 73% YoY over 9M20. The increase in revenue was driven by a 2.4x increase in its customer base in 2019 and another 50% YoY growth over 9M20. Yatsen operates a DTC model and does most of its marketing through its network of 15,000 KOLs. </p><p>On the flip side, growth for its biggest brand slowed down considerably over 9M20. At the same time, its selling and marketing expenses have ballooned leading to the company again reporting losses over 9M20. There is also the case of its founders repeatedly selling shares to the company.</p><p>In terms of valuation, the company hasn’t generated consistent profits, hence, one can only compare it on EV/Sales basis, on which measure it looks alright. However, the timing of future profitability remains uncertain given the turnaround in selling and marketing expenses in FY20, the continued offline expansion and the company’s growing penchant for acquisitions.</p><p>Link to my previous note:</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/yatsen-pre-ipo-growing-fast-but-slowing-down" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Yatsen Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Slowing Down</a></p>

Yatsen Holding aims to raise around upto US$617m in its US IPO. The company is backed by Hillhouse, Tencent and Tiger Global. Yatsen was founded in 2016 and has since then launched three color cosmetics and skincare brands. Together, these brands have served 23.4m customers in 2019. According to the CIC report, Perfect Diary became the top color cosmetics brand in China in terms of online retail sales in 2019.Its revenue increased by 4.7x in 2019 and was up 73% YoY over 9M20. The increase in revenue was driven by a 2.4x increase in its customer base in 2019 and another 50% YoY growth over 9M20. Yatsen operates a DTC model and does most of its marketing through its network of 15,000 KOLs. On the flip side, growth for its biggest brand slowed down considerably over 9M20. At the same time, its selling and marketing expenses have ballooned leading to the company again reporting losses over 9M20. There is also the case of its founders repeatedly selling shares to the company.In terms of valuation, the company hasn’t generated consistent profits, hence, one can only compare it on EV/Sales basis, on which measure it looks alright. However, the timing of future profitability remains uncertain given the turnaround in selling and marketing expenses in FY20, the continued offline expansion and the company’s growing penchant for acquisitions.Link to my previous note:Yatsen Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Slowing Down

Yatsen IPO - Pricey but It Comes with Strong Investor Backing

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yatsen-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29719:1" rel="noopener">Yatsen Holding (YSG US)</a> is the largest and only domestic company among the top ten beauty companies in China as measured by colour cosmetics retail sales value, according to CIC. </p>
<p>Yatsen has launched its IPO at a price range of $8.50-10.50 per ADS. Indications of interest have been received for up to $300 million of the offer shares. Existing shareholders, Hillhouse Capital and Tiger Global will subscribe for $120 million and $80 million of the offer shares, respectively. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> and Yunfeng Financial Group will subscribe for $50 million and $50 million of the offer shares, respectively. Yatsen will raise net proceeds of $521.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. </p>
</div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/yatsen-ipo-initiation-face-the-facts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44817" rel="noopener">Yatsen IPO Initiation: Face the Facts</a>, we stated that while Yasten is seemingly another new economy company with a winning proposition, the fundamentals are less than ideal which suggests that caution is warranted. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/yatsen-ipo-comparison-with-leading-domestic-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45198" rel="noopener">Yatsen IPO: Comparison with Leading Domestic Brands</a> we noted that in comparison to peers, Yatsen offers investors a trade-off between high growth and margin/cash generation. Our valuation analysis suggests that IPO price is unattractive and we would be inclined to give the IPO a pass. </p></div></div></div>


Yatsen Holding (YSG US) is the largest and only domestic company among the top ten beauty companies in China as measured by colour cosmetics retail sales value, according to CIC. 
Yatsen has launched its IPO at a price range of $8.50-10.50 per ADS. Indications of interest have been received for up to $300 million of the offer shares. Existing shareholders, Hillhouse Capital and Tiger Global will subscribe for $120 million and $80 million of the offer shares, respectively. Tencent Holdings (700 HK) and Yunfeng Financial Group will subscribe for $50 million and $50 million of the offer shares, respectively. Yatsen will raise net proceeds of $521.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. 
In Yatsen IPO Initiation: Face the Facts, we stated that while Yasten is seemingly another new economy company with a winning proposition, the fundamentals are less than ideal which suggests that caution is warranted. In Yatsen IPO: Comparison with Leading Domestic Brands we noted that in comparison to peers, Yatsen offers investors a trade-off between high growth and margin/cash generation. Our valuation analysis suggests that IPO price is unattractive and we would be inclined to give the IPO a pass. 

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yatsen-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29719:1" rel="noopener">Yatsen Holding (YSG US)</a> is the largest and only domestic company among the top ten beauty companies in China as measured by colour cosmetics retail sales value, according to CIC. Founded in 2016, Yasten has three colour cosmetics and skincare brands: <em>Perfect Diary, Little Ondine </em>and <em>Abby’s Choice</em>. </p><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/yatsen-ipo-initiation-face-the-facts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44817" rel="noopener">Yatsen IPO Initiation: Face the Facts</a>, we stated that while Yasten is seemingly another new economy company with a winning proposition, the fundamentals are less than ideal which suggests that caution is warranted. Yasten will likely be compared to its A-Share listed peers – <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/proya-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26602:1" rel="noopener">Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH)</a>, Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jahwa-united-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4266:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jahwa United Co A (600315 CH)</a>.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Despite differing end-product revenue exposure, we think that this comparison is appropriate as they are all plays on China’s beauty market and share some overlap in customers and products. Our analysis suggests that in comparison to peers, Yatsen offers investors a trade-off between high growth and margin/cash generation. </p></div>

Yatsen Holding (YSG US) is the largest and only domestic company among the top ten beauty companies in China as measured by colour cosmetics retail sales value, according to CIC. Founded in 2016, Yasten has three colour cosmetics and skincare brands: Perfect Diary, Little Ondine and Abby’s Choice. In Yatsen IPO Initiation: Face the Facts, we stated that while Yasten is seemingly another new economy company with a winning proposition, the fundamentals are less than ideal which suggests that caution is warranted. Yasten will likely be compared to its A-Share listed peers – Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH), Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology and Shanghai Jahwa United Co A (600315 CH).Despite differing end-product revenue exposure, we think that this comparison is appropriate as they are all plays on China’s beauty market and share some overlap in customers and products. Our analysis suggests that in comparison to peers, Yatsen offers investors a trade-off between high growth and margin/cash generation. 

Yatsen IPO: Comparison with Leading Domestic Brands

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts. Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities, history tells us that this is a fairly standard bear market rally in terms of its magnitude, making us believe the global equity market is not yet out of the woods. We are watching for signs of a turn of the tide. There has been significant damage inflicted and that damage is going to take time to repair. Actionable Themes in this report have representation in Staples, Health Care, Technology, and a collection of bottom-up ideas. </p>

Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts. Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities, history tells us that this is a fairly standard bear market rally in terms of its magnitude, making us believe the global equity market is not yet out of the woods. We are watching for signs of a turn of the tide. There has been significant damage inflicted and that damage is going to take time to repair. Actionable Themes in this report have representation in Staples, Health Care, Technology, and a collection of bottom-up ideas. 

<p>We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the cards. This expectation is supported by price action during prior major waterfall declines in past recessionary periods. With the global economy likely headed for a recession (or worse) we believe it is important to stay with the Sectors that have been outperforming amid the COVID-19 pandemic as we believe they are likely to continue outperforming. That means we are sticking primarily with Staples, Health Care, and Technology. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.</p>

We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the cards. This expectation is supported by price action during prior major waterfall declines in past recessionary periods. With the global economy likely headed for a recession (or worse) we believe it is important to stay with the Sectors that have been outperforming amid the COVID-19 pandemic as we believe they are likely to continue outperforming. That means we are sticking primarily with Staples, Health Care, and Technology. We are also expanding our recommendations to include bottom-up ideas within several other Sectors.

Global Equities (ACWI-US) Likely to Retest the March Low

China

Proya Cosmetics Co., Ltd. operates as a cosmetics products manufacturing company. The Company researches and markets skin care products, make up, body wash, and other related products. Proya Cosmetics markets its products throughout China.

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Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH)

Yatsen IPO - Pricey but It Comes with Strong Investor Backing

Yatsen Holding aims to raise around upto US$617m in its US IPO. The company is backed by Hillhouse, Tencent and Tiger Global.

Sumeet Singh

Yatsen IPO: Valuation Insights

Yatsen will raise net proceeds of $521.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range of $8.50-10.50 per ADS. Our valuation analysis suggests...

Arun George

Yatsen IPO: Comparison with Leading Domestic Brands

Our analysis suggests that in comparison to peers, Yatsen offers investors a trade-off between high growth and margin/cash generation.

Arun George

Major Indexes Testing Resistance

Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts. Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities,...

Vermilion Research

Global Equities (ACWI-US) Likely to Retest the March Low

We continue to believe global equities (ACWI-US) are likely to test the recent low made on March 23, with an undercut of roughly 10% also in the...

Vermilion Research

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