Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Mao Geping Cosmetics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics</a> raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO Trading - Highest Demand for This Year

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics</a> is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO - Low to Mid-End Looks Reasonable

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.
We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.


Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Proya’s 2Q24 results beat consensus with revenue/net profit +41%/37% YoY (1H24 revenue/net profit +37.9/40.5% YoY), mostly contributed by the accelerated sales growth of main brand to 37.7% YoY.</li><li>The earnings ranked the top among peers. 1H24 GPM dropped by 0.7 ppt. and steadied at 69.8%, accompanied by the 3 ppt. increase in selling expense ratio to 47%, due to the prolonged 618 promotion cycle, continuous rise in unit cost of livestream marketing, and high e-commerce return rate.</li><li>Full-year guidance wise, the company aims to maintain GPM at ~70% and maintain the NPM in a slight upward trend.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Proya’s 2Q24 results beat consensus with revenue/net profit +41%/37% YoY (1H24 revenue/net profit +37.9/40.5% YoY), mostly contributed by the accelerated sales growth of main brand to 37.7% YoY.The earnings ranked the top among peers. 1H24 GPM dropped by 0.7 ppt. and steadied at 69.8%, accompanied by the 3 ppt. increase in selling expense ratio to 47%, due to the prolonged 618 promotion cycle, continuous rise in unit cost of livestream marketing, and high e-commerce return rate.Full-year guidance wise, the company aims to maintain GPM at ~70% and maintain the NPM in a slight upward trend.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH) - Best Earnings Among Peers, Strong Momentum Sustained

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples ($962 million worth of outflows), Consumer Discretionary ($561 million worth of outflows) led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight monthly outflows for CATL, Zhongji, Moutai, Wuliangye, Mindray.


Northbound Flows (July): Two Months of Outflows

China

Proya Cosmetics Co., Ltd. operates as a cosmetics products manufacturing company. The Company researches and markets skin care products, make up, body wash, and other related products. Proya Cosmetics markets its products throughout China.

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Proya Cosmetics (603605 CH)

Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO Trading - Highest Demand for This Year

Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the top-end and upsizing the deal. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Mao Geping Cosmetics IPO - Low to Mid-End Looks Reasonable

Mao Geping Cosmetics is looking to raise up to US$270m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we take a quick look at valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 3Q2024 and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, Wuliangye, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM