External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We estimate minimal impact on CoF (1-3bps) and earnings (0.4-1.5%) on SOE banks after raising their USD TD rates to 4%.</li><li>We see downside risks from deposit dollarization and weaker Rupiah, although the plan could also benefit domestic liquidity and economy.</li><li>Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate minimal impact on CoF (1-3bps) and earnings (0.4-1.5%) on SOE banks after raising their USD TD rates to 4%.We see downside risks from deposit dollarization and weaker Rupiah, although the plan could also benefit domestic liquidity and economy.Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The Rp200tr state funds placed in selected banks could potentially lower CoF by 1-16bps, if no loan growth target is required.</li><li>Otherwise, we see potential downside in NIM and asset quality, especially if economic growth remains stagnant post the stimulus.</li><li>Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Rp200tr state funds placed in selected banks could potentially lower CoF by 1-16bps, if no loan growth target is required.Otherwise, we see potential downside in NIM and asset quality, especially if economic growth remains stagnant post the stimulus.Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks: Liquidity Support, Asset Quality Risk: A Double-Edged Sword (NEUTRAL)

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FY 2025 generated net profit, removing bankruptcy risk for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-limited-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a> .</li>
<li>Grab posted strong revenue growth momentum, achieved record revenue, and had positive FCF while it was trading at a discount to its global peers. </li>
<li>Its CEO, Anthony Tan, bought back around USD 30 million worth of Grab shares recently. </li>
</ul>


FY 2025 generated net profit, removing bankruptcy risk for Grab (GRAB US) .
Grab posted strong revenue growth momentum, achieved record revenue, and had positive FCF while it was trading at a discount to its global peers. 
Its CEO, Anthony Tan, bought back around USD 30 million worth of Grab shares recently. 


Grab: Strong Momentum + Management Is Buying

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.</li><li>The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).</li><li>Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI rallied by a strong 4.8% w-w and was the top performer among the EM markets last week.The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, DSSA).Market’s rally was also driven by the strong return in foreign investors’ flow which amounted to US$412mn, which put Indonesia among the only market with positive flow among the Asian EMs, with notable inflows into large-cap banks and TLKM. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

<ul><li>JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.</li><li>Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).</li><li>Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI finished the week flat (-0.1% w-w), underperforming most of the EM peers.Despite positive surprise from 2Q25 GDP numbers, Consumers (-3.7% w-w) and Telco (-0.8%) sectors dragged down the index, offsetting the slight outperformance in Banks(+0.4%), along with correction in large-cap illiquid and conglo stocks (DCII, BRPT, TPIA).Foreign funds flow improved to neutral (+US$8mn) compared to outflows in majority of the ASEAN EM peers, with reversal of flows into BBCA and BMRI. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

Indonesia

Bank Central Asia Tbk is an Indonesian commercial bank that provides a comprehensive range of banking solutions, including individual, commercial, and corporate banking services. Its offerings encompass savings accounts, credit cards, investment products, various types of loans, and electronic banking services such as mobile and internet banking. The company was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)

Banks: USD Deposits and IDR Liquidity...

Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.

BRI Danareksa Research

Banks: Liquidity Support, Asset Quality Risk: A Double-Edged Sword (NEUTRAL)

Amid the bottoming liquidity, we retain Neutral rating on the sector with BBCA as our LT stock pick as we remain cautious on asset quality.

BRI Danareksa Research

Grab: Strong Momentum + Management Is Buying

Grab achieved record revenue and turned to profit while valuation remains at a discount to its peers. CEO bought USD 30 million in open market,...

Henry Soediarko

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – Banking Sector’s P/BV Band Chart (5-Year)

The index’s performance was driven by a combination of large-cap ‘fundamental’ stocks (i.e., BBRI +11% w-w, TLKM 13%, BBCA +5%, BMRI +4%) and...

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the Week – JCI P/E Band (10-Year)

MSCI’s Aug25 review announced the inclusion of DSSA and CUAN into the index, with exclusion of ADRO (into MSCI Small Cap).

BRI Danareksa Research

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