ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> released a strong set of 3Q2022 results with record quarterly bookings and total receivables almost back to pre-pandemic levels with NPFs at less than 1%.</li>
<li>Growth has been driven by non-dealer used car financing with new growth coming from both heavy equipment financing and leasing plus strong growth from used-car aggregators such as Moladin. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> has one of the lowest cost of funds of any multi-finance company in Indonesia underpinning growth. Valuations are attractive in 2.0x PBV with 21% ROE.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) released a strong set of 3Q2022 results with record quarterly bookings and total receivables almost back to pre-pandemic levels with NPFs at less than 1%.
Growth has been driven by non-dealer used car financing with new growth coming from both heavy equipment financing and leasing plus strong growth from used-car aggregators such as Moladin. 

BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) has one of the lowest cost of funds of any multi-finance company in Indonesia underpinning growth. Valuations are attractive in 2.0x PBV with 21% ROE.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Multi-Finance Masterpiece

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia</a> continued to see rapid momentum behind its recovery with new bookings in 2Q2022 hitting all time highs and spreads improving to 13.5% with NPFs declining.</li>
<li>The company's growth is driven by the non-dealer used vehicle market with new bookings coming mainly through agents and repeat customers, and digital initiatives in place to improve origination.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFIN</a> is the best quality multifinance player in Indonesia, with an ROE now above 21%. There will be more collaboration and synergies with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago</a> going forward further driving growth.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia continued to see rapid momentum behind its recovery with new bookings in 2Q2022 hitting all time highs and spreads improving to 13.5% with NPFs declining.
The company's growth is driven by the non-dealer used vehicle market with new bookings coming mainly through agents and repeat customers, and digital initiatives in place to improve origination.

BFIN is the best quality multifinance player in Indonesia, with an ROE now above 21%. There will be more collaboration and synergies with Bank Jago going forward further driving growth.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Pole Position in Multifinance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago</a> recently released its 2Q2022 results. It again registered a quarterly profit, down on 1Q2021, and a victim of its own success but preparing well for future growth.</li>
<li>The bank continues to grow its KYC'd customers, which reached 3.3m in 2Q2022, with 300k-400k new customers a month as a result of improvements in the onboarding process. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago</a>'s future is all about its ecosystem and it has only started to scratch the surface of synergies but investors need to look to the long term for returns.</li>
</ul>



Bank Jago recently released its 2Q2022 results. It again registered a quarterly profit, down on 1Q2021, and a victim of its own success but preparing well for future growth.
The bank continues to grow its KYC'd customers, which reached 3.3m in 2Q2022, with 300k-400k new customers a month as a result of improvements in the onboarding process. 

Bank Jago's future is all about its ecosystem and it has only started to scratch the surface of synergies but investors need to look to the long term for returns.


Bank Jago (ARTO IJ) - Look to the Horizon

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.</li>
<li>There is passive inflow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO)</a> due to index inclusion, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a> due to capping changes.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.
There is passive inflow on Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO) due to index inclusion, and on Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA) due to capping changes.
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcoal-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28449:1" rel="noopener">Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (MTEL IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pembangunan-perumahan-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19840:1" rel="noopener">Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pabrik-kertas-tjiwi-kimia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19184:1" rel="noopener">Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:722:1" rel="noopener">Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.
Potential adds are Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ), Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ), Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ), Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ) and Mitratel (MTEL IJ).
Potential deletions are Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ), Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ), Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ), Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) and Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ).


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July 2022): Candidates for Change

Indonesia

BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk is an Indonesian multi-finance company that provides investment, working capital, multipurpose, and other financing services. The company specializes in consumer financing, particularly for used cars, and also offers financing for vehicles, heavy equipment, machinery, housing, and sharia-compliant products. BFI Finance Indonesia was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.

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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)