ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a>released its 3Q2021 results this week which saw its 9M2021 new bookings increase +72.7% YoY or +4.2% QoQ, reflecting a new normal situation versus last year when new booking had virtually ground to a halt. All the same, this performance was impressive given the backdrop of Emergency PPKM measures impacting mobility.</p>
<p>3Q2021 performance was relatively robust given that the country was in the midst of Emergency PPKM during the quarter with a stronger recovery taking place in September. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bf-investment-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9276:1" rel="noopener"></a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> profitability remained healthy with its interest spread at 11.3%, with the cost of funds steady at 8.5%, making it very competitive versus competition.</p>
<p>The company's NCL ratio declined significantly QoQ but slightly higher than last year, as a result of more repossessions and collateral disposals. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> continues to make good progress on restructured loans with 86.8% of restructured loans reverting to normal status as of the end of 9M2021.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener"></a></p>
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<p>The company continues to develop its digital capabilities and has been developing its fintech push through Pinjam Modal and it has also launched BFI Connect, which is an open API platform, which can be integrated into other platforms such as e-commerce.</p>
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<p>The key message from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> management was that the company is moving back towards a growth trajectory, with new booking improving and receivables seeing higher repayments. We continue to see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> as the most interesting multi finance company in Indonesia, with a strong risk management culture and with the potential to generate higher ROEs as the market recovers. </p>
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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)released its 3Q2021 results this week which saw its 9M2021 new bookings increase +72.7% YoY or +4.2% QoQ, reflecting a new normal situation versus last year when new booking had virtually ground to a halt. All the same, this performance was impressive given the backdrop of Emergency PPKM measures impacting mobility.
3Q2021 performance was relatively robust given that the country was in the midst of Emergency PPKM during the quarter with a stronger recovery taking place in September. 
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) profitability remained healthy with its interest spread at 11.3%, with the cost of funds steady at 8.5%, making it very competitive versus competition.
The company's NCL ratio declined significantly QoQ but slightly higher than last year, as a result of more repossessions and collateral disposals. 
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) continues to make good progress on restructured loans with 86.8% of restructured loans reverting to normal status as of the end of 9M2021.



The company continues to develop its digital capabilities and has been developing its fintech push through Pinjam Modal and it has also launched BFI Connect, which is an open API platform, which can be integrated into other platforms such as e-commerce.

The key message from BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) management was that the company is moving back towards a growth trajectory, with new booking improving and receivables seeing higher repayments. We continue to see BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) as the most interesting multi finance company in Indonesia, with a strong risk management culture and with the potential to generate higher ROEs as the market recovers. 




BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Shining Through in a Difficult Period

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> announced a strong set of 1H2021 results, which saw YTD new bookings increase by +48.7% YoY and +7.5% QoQ in 2Q2021 We expect the company to continue to ramp up new bookings in 2H2021, and although the latest round of Emergency PKMM mobility restrictions may delay that recovery slightly, we remain upbeat about its future prospects.</p>
<p>Non-performing financing (NPF) continued to improve 1Q2021 and the company also saw its net credits loss (NCL) ratio increase with more repossession and collateral disposal activities.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> quarterly net revenue was down by -18.2% YoY in 2Q2021 mainly driven by the drop in the average receivables balance and a slightly lower net interest spread.</p>
<p>The company continued to make progress on its loan restructuring with 89.2% of restructured loans reverting to normal status, 0.6% under grace period, and the remaining 10.2% granted second restructuring with strict review.</p>
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<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> continues to focus on its core market of non-dealer 4W collateralised loans, which made up 64% of total receivables in 1H2021 versus 59% of total in 1H2020.</p>
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<p>The company now has 325 branches, consisting of 223 full branches and 102 kiosks. As part of its rationalisation, it closed a total of 82 outlets in 1H2021, with 78 of these kiosks and the rest branches.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> maintains a well-diversified funding base from bank borrowings, bonds &amp; medium term notes, joint-financing, and equity.</p>
<p>The most recent ramp up in cases is having an impact on business with a decline in new bookings in July versus June outlined within.</p>
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<p>We continue to see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> as the most interesting multi finance company in Indonesia, with a strong risk management culture and with the potential to generate a significantly higher ROEs once the market recovers. </p>
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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) announced a strong set of 1H2021 results, which saw YTD new bookings increase by +48.7% YoY and +7.5% QoQ in 2Q2021 We expect the company to continue to ramp up new bookings in 2H2021, and although the latest round of Emergency PKMM mobility restrictions may delay that recovery slightly, we remain upbeat about its future prospects.
Non-performing financing (NPF) continued to improve 1Q2021 and the company also saw its net credits loss (NCL) ratio increase with more repossession and collateral disposal activities.
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) quarterly net revenue was down by -18.2% YoY in 2Q2021 mainly driven by the drop in the average receivables balance and a slightly lower net interest spread.
The company continued to make progress on its loan restructuring with 89.2% of restructured loans reverting to normal status, 0.6% under grace period, and the remaining 10.2% granted second restructuring with strict review.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) continues to focus on its core market of non-dealer 4W collateralised loans, which made up 64% of total receivables in 1H2021 versus 59% of total in 1H2020.

The company now has 325 branches, consisting of 223 full branches and 102 kiosks. As part of its rationalisation, it closed a total of 82 outlets in 1H2021, with 78 of these kiosks and the rest branches.
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) maintains a well-diversified funding base from bank borrowings, bonds &amp; medium term notes, joint-financing, and equity.
The most recent ramp up in cases is having an impact on business with a decline in new bookings in July versus June outlined within.

We continue to see BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) as the most interesting multi finance company in Indonesia, with a strong risk management culture and with the potential to generate a significantly higher ROEs once the market recovers. 



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Recovery in Motion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

<p>The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.</p><p>The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a> have been added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-pensiunan-nasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27088:1" rel="noopener">Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> have been deleted from the index.</p><p>We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bit-digital-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31155:1" rel="noopener">Bit Digital (BTBT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> and significantly lower on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a>.</p><p>The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.</p>

The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ) and Timah Persero (TINS IJ) have been added to the index while Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) have been deleted from the index.We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ), Bit Digital (BTBT US) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) and significantly lower on Timah Persero (TINS IJ).The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.

LQ45 Index Rebalance: BRPT, TINS In; BTPS, CTRA Out

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<p>For our next Smartkarma Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt/overview" target="_blank" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a>'s Finance Director, Pak Sudjono, and Investor Relations Manager, Koon Pek Ng. They will share a short company presentation and have a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/angus-mackintosh" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Angus Mackintosh</a>, followed by a live Q&amp;A session.</p>
<h3>The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 4 May 2021, 17:00 SGT / 16:00 JKT.</h3>
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<h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=84828703663" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2>
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<p>Corporate Webinars by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/home/corporate-solutions/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Smartkarma Corporate Solutions</a> feature discussions with IROs and Executives, discussing their companies, the challenges they face, and the opportunities in their sectors and markets.</p>

For our next Smartkarma Corporate Webinar, we are glad to welcome BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)'s Finance Director, Pak Sudjono, and Investor Relations Manager, Koon Pek Ng. They will share a short company presentation and have a fireside chat with Smartkarma Insight Provider Angus Mackintosh, followed by a live Q&amp;A session.
The Corporate Webinar will be hosted on Tuesday, 4 May 2021, 17:00 SGT / 16:00 JKT.

Register for the Webinar here

Corporate Webinars by Smartkarma Corporate Solutions feature discussions with IROs and Executives, discussing their companies, the challenges they face, and the opportunities in their sectors and markets.

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar | BFI Finance Indonesia - A Prudent New Normal

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bf-investment-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9276:1" rel="noopener"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> announced its 4Q2020 and FY2020 results recently, which confirmed the continuing "prudent restart" to lending activity in 4Q2020, with a strong rebound in new bookings QoQ with indications of continuing momentum in 2021. It remains one of our top recovery stocks in Indonesia.</p>
<p>In terms of credit quality, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> saw a marked improvement in 4Q2020 with the NPL ratio falling significantly as a result of strong risk management efforts by management. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> has also significantly increased its Loan Loss Reserves (LLR) to 7.09% in 4Q2020 resulting in an increased in NPL coverage to 4.3% in 4Q2020.</p>
<p>The company also saw its Cost of Credit (COC) decline in 4Q2020  whilst the FY2020 number remained relatively high, partly due to high LLR to increase NPL cover.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a>'s net interest margin increased to 12.02% in 4Q2020 versus 11.62% in 3Q2020 thanks to an improved yield from new booking activities in 4Q2020, due to a decrease in the cost of funds and better yields on new bookings.</p>
<p>The company achieved a net profit of IDR702bn for FY2020, which was a decline of only -1.4% YoY. This looks like a solid performance given the backdrop of the pandemic together with the fact the company halted all lending activity in 2Q2020.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> has raised significant new funding and is well positioned to grow new bookings significantly in 2021, which is already being reflected in the performance in February and March.</p>
<p>It continues to take a prudent approach to new loans, with an increasing focus on credit scoring in its legacy business but also sees huge potential in collateralized productive lending as a growth engine.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a>'s valuations continue to look appealing with the company trading in 1.4x FY21E PBV with a forecast ROE of 15.1% in FY21E rising to 18.7% in FY22E.</p>

BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) announced its 4Q2020 and FY2020 results recently, which confirmed the continuing "prudent restart" to lending activity in 4Q2020, with a strong rebound in new bookings QoQ with indications of continuing momentum in 2021. It remains one of our top recovery stocks in Indonesia.
In terms of credit quality, BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) saw a marked improvement in 4Q2020 with the NPL ratio falling significantly as a result of strong risk management efforts by management. 
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) has also significantly increased its Loan Loss Reserves (LLR) to 7.09% in 4Q2020 resulting in an increased in NPL coverage to 4.3% in 4Q2020.
The company also saw its Cost of Credit (COC) decline in 4Q2020  whilst the FY2020 number remained relatively high, partly due to high LLR to increase NPL cover.
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)'s net interest margin increased to 12.02% in 4Q2020 versus 11.62% in 3Q2020 thanks to an improved yield from new booking activities in 4Q2020, due to a decrease in the cost of funds and better yields on new bookings.
The company achieved a net profit of IDR702bn for FY2020, which was a decline of only -1.4% YoY. This looks like a solid performance given the backdrop of the pandemic together with the fact the company halted all lending activity in 2Q2020.
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) has raised significant new funding and is well positioned to grow new bookings significantly in 2021, which is already being reflected in the performance in February and March.
It continues to take a prudent approach to new loans, with an increasing focus on credit scoring in its legacy business but also sees huge potential in collateralized productive lending as a growth engine.
BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)'s valuations continue to look appealing with the company trading in 1.4x FY21E PBV with a forecast ROE of 15.1% in FY21E rising to 18.7% in FY22E.

BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - More than A Prudent Restart

Indonesia

BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk is an Indonesian multi-finance company that provides investment, working capital, multipurpose, and other financing services. The company specializes in consumer financing, particularly for used cars, and also offers financing for vehicles, heavy equipment, machinery, housing, and sharia-compliant products. BFI Finance Indonesia was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia.

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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)