External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Dharma Satya Nusantara / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>DSNG net profit went up +62.9% YoY to IDR368.2 bn in 1Q25 (vs IDR226.1 bn in 1Q24), achieving 19.3%/28.2% of our/consensus FY25E targets.</li><li>This was driven by strong top-line growth and stable OPEX (-0.3% YoY).</li><li>Revenue rose +20.1% YoY to IDR2.7 tn in 1Q25 (vs IDR2.2 tn in 1Q24), reflecting 23.6%/25.3% of our/consensus FY25E targets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DSNG net profit went up +62.9% YoY to IDR368.2 bn in 1Q25 (vs IDR226.1 bn in 1Q24), achieving 19.3%/28.2% of our/consensus FY25E targets.This was driven by strong top-line growth and stable OPEX (-0.3% YoY).Revenue rose +20.1% YoY to IDR2.7 tn in 1Q25 (vs IDR2.2 tn in 1Q24), reflecting 23.6%/25.3% of our/consensus FY25E targets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DSNG IJ - Anticipating a Rebound in Sales Volume Trajectory

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.</li>
<li>The largest passive flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-negara-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:731:1" rel="noopener">Bank Tabungan Negara Persero</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak-com-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak.com PT Tbk</a>.</li>
<li>There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 Index and 2 changes for the IDX80 Index to be implemented at the close on 30 April.
The largest passive flows are expected in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Bank Jago Tbk PT, Bank Mandiri Persero, Bank Tabungan Negara Persero, Adaro Energy and Bukalapak.com PT Tbk.
There are only 4 days to implementation, so there could be relatively big moves on the changes to the IDX30 Index.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

<ul><li>DSNG’s plantation productivity gained in spite of El Nino concerns, bearing fruit to a solid total FFB production growth by 2.6% YoY, reaching 2.27mn ton in FY23 (reflecting 100.5% of our estimate).</li><li>CPO production came in at 661.9k tons, growing 3.5% YoY.</li><li>This was accompanied by a slightly higher ASP of IDR11.4mn/ton.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DSNG’s plantation productivity gained in spite of El Nino concerns, bearing fruit to a solid total FFB production growth by 2.6% YoY, reaching 2.27mn ton in FY23 (reflecting 100.5% of our estimate).CPO production came in at 661.9k tons, growing 3.5% YoY.This was accompanied by a slightly higher ASP of IDR11.4mn/ton.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DSNG IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 6, 2024

ESSA Industries Indonesia / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.</li>
<li>Largest passive inflows are expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/surya-esa-perkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14326:1" rel="noopener">Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the IDX30 Index, 6 changes for the LQ45 Index, and 7 changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented on 31 January.
Largest passive inflows are expected to be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt (AMRT IJ) and Surya Esa Perkasa (ESSA IJ). 
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.</li>
<li>Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  </li>
<li>Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.</li>
</ul>


Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.
Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  
Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.


CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

Indonesia

PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk is an Indonesian agribusiness company primarily engaged in the palm oil and wood products industries. The company cultivates and harvests oil palm plantations, producing and selling palm oil products such as crude palm oil, palm kernel, and palm kernel oil. Additionally, it manufactures various wood products including panels and engineered flooring and doors, and also produces compressed natural gas from palm oil mill effluent and biomass. The company was established on September 29, 1980, and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Dharma Satya Nusantara (DSNG IJ)

DSNG IJ - Anticipating a Rebound in Sales Volume Trajectory

DSNG net profit went up +62.9% YoY to IDR368.2 bn in 1Q25 (vs IDR226.1 bn in 1Q24), achieving 19.3%/28.2% of our/consensus FY25E targets.

MNC Sekuritas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

DSNG IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 6, 2024

DSNG’s plantation productivity gained in spite of El Nino concerns, bearing fruit to a solid total FFB production growth by 2.6% YoY, reaching...

MNC Sekuritas

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

KLK's reliance on its downstream operations should help reduce palm product prices. The recent acquisition of IJM also extends the age profile of...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

DSNG IJ - Anticipating a Rebound in Sales Volume Trajectory

DSNG net profit went up +62.9% YoY to IDR368.2 bn in 1Q25 (vs IDR226.1 bn in 1Q24), achieving 19.3%/28.2% of our/consensus FY25E targets.

MNC Sekuritas

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

There is 1 constituent change for the IDX30 and 2 for the IDX80, nothing for the LQ45. Flow and impact are material for the IDX30 index changes.

Brian Freitas

DSNG IJ - MNC Sekuritas Equity Report February 6, 2024

DSNG’s plantation productivity gained in spite of El Nino concerns, bearing fruit to a solid total FFB production growth by 2.6% YoY, reaching...

MNC Sekuritas

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation

There are 3, 6 and 7 changes for the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices. There are only 4 days to implementation and multiple days ADV to trade on a lot...

Brian Freitas

CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

KLK's reliance on its downstream operations should help reduce palm product prices. The recent acquisition of IJM also extends the age profile of...

David Blennerhassett

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Few Changes

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: 4 Days to Implementation