Deciphering real estate markets globally., Rems Advisors

TAN Kok Keong

Deciphering real estate markets globally.

Rems Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><h2>Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)</h2></div><p>The month of October saw the second consecutive month of improvement in Singapore primary home sales. We saw developers sold 1,252 units of new homes (ex-ECs), 148% increase month-on-month and 128% increase year-on-year. This makes October sales the highest volume sold in the past 15 months (see Figure 1). </p><p>Figure 1: October 2016 Primary Sales (Excluding Executive Condominium)</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/016/390/original/Units%20launched%20and%20sold%20in%20the%20month.png?1479195867" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="16390"></figure><p>Source: URA, REMS Advisors</p><p>The strong sale in…</p>

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)The month of October saw the second consecutive month of improvement in Singapore primary home sales. We saw developers sold 1,252 units of new homes (ex-ECs), 148% increase month-on-month and 128% increase year-on-year. This makes October sales the highest volume sold in the past 15 months (see Figure 1). Figure 1: October 2016 Primary Sales (Excluding Executive Condominium)Source: URA, REMS AdvisorsThe strong sale in…

Singapore's Primary Home Sales Surged in October

<div><h2>Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)</h2></div><p>For the month of September, primary home sales in Singapore increased by 8% increase month-on-month, continuing the build up of postive momentum in the market (see Figure 1). Developers sold a total of 509 units of new homes (ex-ECs). The improving sentiment is visible as this is a 49% increase over the sales figure last year. </p><p>Figure 1: September 2016 Primary Sales (Excluding Executive Condominium)</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/014/886/original/Sept%202016%20Primary%20sale%20%28ex%20Ec%29.png?1476758876" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="14886"></figure><p>Source: URA, REMS…</p>

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)For the month of September, primary home sales in Singapore increased by 8% increase month-on-month, continuing the build up of postive momentum in the market (see Figure 1). Developers sold a total of 509 units of new homes (ex-ECs). The improving sentiment is visible as this is a 49% increase over the sales figure last year. Figure 1: September 2016 Primary Sales (Excluding Executive Condominium)Source: URA, REMS…

Singapore's Primary Home Sales Pick Up in September

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong>I was wrong</strong>. In <em><strong><a href="https://skr.ma/kJ6vr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land: Bumping Fades Despite IFA Opining Not Fair</a></strong></em><a href="https://skr.ma/kJ6vr," target="_blank" rel="noopener">,</a> I said the Offer needed a bump, but that outcome was looking less likely.</li>
<li>The Widjaja family has now<a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Revision%20of%20Offer%20Price%20and%20Extension%20of%20Closing%20Date%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=845075" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> bumped terms to S$0.375/shar</a>e, up from S$0.31/share, or a 21% increase. Terms have not been declared final.</li>
<li>The IFA's estimated fair value range for <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a></strong> was S$0.350 to S$0.361/share. Expect a follow-up opinion revising their conclusion to "<em>Fair and Reasonable</em>" from "<em>Not Fair but Reasonable</em>".</li>
</ul>



I was wrong. In Sinarmas Land: Bumping Fades Despite IFA Opining Not Fair, I said the Offer needed a bump, but that outcome was looking less likely.
The Widjaja family has now bumped terms to S$0.375/share, up from S$0.31/share, or a 21% increase. Terms have not been declared final.
The IFA's estimated fair value range for Sinarmas Land (SML SP) was S$0.350 to S$0.361/share. Expect a follow-up opinion revising their conclusion to "Fair and Reasonable" from "Not Fair but Reasonable".


Sinarmas Land (SML SP): The Family Bumps Terms After All

<ul>
<li>Back on 27th March, the family trust of the Widjaja Family made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 29.7% in <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a></strong> not held.</li>
<li>Pricing was uninspiring: the S$0.31 cash Offer (not final) for the (mainly) Indo property play was a 12.9% premium to undisturbed; and a 73.9% discount to the 1H24 S$1.19/share NAV.</li>
<li>The IFA agreed and said "<strong>Not Fair but Reasonable"</strong>, with an estimated fair value range of S$0.350 to S$0.361/share. This (still) needs a bump. But that is looking less likely.</li>
</ul>


Back on 27th March, the family trust of the Widjaja Family made a voluntary unconditional general Offer for the 29.7% in Sinarmas Land (SML SP) not held.
Pricing was uninspiring: the S$0.31 cash Offer (not final) for the (mainly) Indo property play was a 12.9% premium to undisturbed; and a 73.9% discount to the 1H24 S$1.19/share NAV.
The IFA agreed and said "Not Fair but Reasonable", with an estimated fair value range of S$0.350 to S$0.361/share. This (still) needs a bump. But that is looking less likely.


Sinarmas Land: Bumping Fades Despite IFA Opining Not Fair

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>DMAS differentiation lies in its Cikarang location and infrastructure maturity to house global-scale data center providers.</li><li>We expect lower dividend payout from FY24F earnings to be directed towards landbank replenishment capex.</li><li>We reinitiate with Buy rating and RNAV-based TP of Rp190; expect FY24- 26F EPS growth at a stable 7% CAGR, driven by data center growth.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

DMAS differentiation lies in its Cikarang location and infrastructure maturity to house global-scale data center providers.We expect lower dividend payout from FY24F earnings to be directed towards landbank replenishment capex.We reinitiate with Buy rating and RNAV-based TP of Rp190; expect FY24- 26F EPS growth at a stable 7% CAGR, driven by data center growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Puradelta Lestari - Data Center Growth Proxy Amid Its Cikarang Location

Indonesia

PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk is an integrated property developer primarily known for developing Kota Deltamas, a large-scale integrated industrial estate, residential, and commercial area in Cikarang, West Java, Indonesia. The company's core activities include land acquisition, development, sale, and leasing of industrial, commercial, and residential properties, along with providing supporting infrastructure and facilities. Headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, the company was founded in 1993.

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Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ)

Singapore's Primary Home Sales Surged in October

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)The month of October saw the second consecutive month of improvement in...

TAN Kok Keong

Singapore's Primary Home Sales Pick Up in September

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)For the month of September, primary home sales in Singapore increased by...

TAN Kok Keong

Sinarmas Land (SML SP): The Family Bumps Terms After All

This deserved a bump. and that is what unfolded. If in, tender. Or possibly sell at terms in the marlket. If not in, I'd look elsewhere. I doubt...

David Blennerhassett

Sinarmas Land: Bumping Fades Despite IFA Opining Not Fair

This deserved a bump. But that scenario appears increasingly less likely. If illiquid arbs are your thing, and already in, I'd hit the bid. If not...

David Blennerhassett

Puradelta Lestari - Data Center Growth Proxy Amid Its Cikarang Location

DMAS differentiation lies in its Cikarang location and infrastructure maturity to house global-scale data center providers. We expect lower...

BRI Danareksa Research

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