SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Japfa, Thai Beverage PCL and Jumbo Group were the strongest performers of the 10.§ The next 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$153 million, and also averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Food Empire Holdings and Katrina Group were the amongst strongest performers of the 10.§ Katrina Group was incorporated in 1995…

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Japfa, Thai Beverage PCL and Jumbo Group were the strongest performers of the 10.§ The next 10 biggest SGX-listed F&amp;B plays average a market cap of S$153 million, and also averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August. Food Empire Holdings and Katrina Group were the amongst strongest performers of the 10.§ Katrina Group was incorporated in 1995…

Singapore's Strongest Food & Beverage Stocks in 2016 YTD

<ul>
<li>Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.</li>
<li>The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19714" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19714:1">Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9051" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1">Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd</a>…</li>
</ul>


Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.
The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP), Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP), Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd…


Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually improving domestic demand is likely to see non-oil imports growth move back into positive territory. The four rate cuts that Bank Indonesia has undertaken since the start of 2016 is expected to provide a lift to domestic demand in the economy.On a 3 month moving average (3mma) basis, exports declined 8.8% y-o-y in June compared to a decline of 11.9% in…

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Barito Renewables Energy / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Minimum free float has been set at 15% with a timeline for companies to get there. A list of stocks with High Shareholding Concentration has also been released.</li>
<li>There could be 6 deletions from a global index in May with few other stocks having free float reductions. Estimated passive selling in Indonesia is US$1.3bn.</li>
<li>The changes to the free float thresholds and the improved disclosure brings Indonesia in line with other markets in Asia and should allay global index providers concerns.</li>
</ul>


Minimum free float has been set at 15% with a timeline for companies to get there. A list of stocks with High Shareholding Concentration has also been released.
There could be 6 deletions from a global index in May with few other stocks having free float reductions. Estimated passive selling in Indonesia is US$1.3bn.
The changes to the free float thresholds and the improved disclosure brings Indonesia in line with other markets in Asia and should allay global index providers concerns.


Indonesia: Updated Disclosures Could Lead to Multiple Deletions & Float Decreases in May

Amman Mineral Internasional / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Following feedback from a global index provider, the IDX (and KSEI) have released the list of shareholders that own more than 1% of a listed company.</li>
<li>Going through the list, we find many strategic holders of stock above 1% and identify 7 companies that could see a float reduction and passive selling in May. </li>
<li>The lower float could see one stock deleted from the index; two others are close. But the risk of Indonesia being downgraded to a frontier market is now behind us.</li>
</ul>


Following feedback from a global index provider, the IDX (and KSEI) have released the list of shareholders that own more than 1% of a listed company.
Going through the list, we find many strategic holders of stock above 1% and identify 7 companies that could see a float reduction and passive selling in May. 
The lower float could see one stock deleted from the index; two others are close. But the risk of Indonesia being downgraded to a frontier market is now behind us.


Indonesia: Holdings Larger than 1% Disclosed; Stocks Affected & Impact

Indonesia

PT Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk is an Indonesian retail company engaged in the distribution of consumer products, operating minimarket networks and franchise services primarily under the Alfamart brand. It offers a wide range of food and non-food products, cosmetics, and provides digital services such as bill payments and e-vouchers. The company was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.

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Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ)

Singapore's Strongest Food & Beverage Stocks in 2016 YTD

§ The 10 biggest SGX-listed F&B plays average a market cap of S$3.5 billion, and averaged a 23% gain in the 2016 year through to 26 August....

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Indonesia: Non-Oil Imports Growth Likely to Turn Positive on Gradually Improving Domestic Demand

While the ongoing slowdown in China and concerns about the global economy are expected to continue to weigh on Indonesia’s exports, gradually...

Rajan Govil

Indonesia: Updated Disclosures Could Lead to Multiple Deletions & Float Decreases in May

Min free float raised to 15% and companies given time to get there. High Shareholding Concentration list is out. There could be 6 deletions in May...

Brian Freitas

Indonesia: Holdings Larger than 1% Disclosed; Stocks Affected & Impact

Stocks that are expected to be downweighted (or deleted) have underperformed the index and peers. Index providers could announce their future...

Brian Freitas

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