IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Trimegah Bangun Persada / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97906" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating cash conversion.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.
In Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn, rising cash collection cycle and deteriorating cash conversion.


Japan Post Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> IPOs; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> offering.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pushpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13737:1" rel="noopener">Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/halcyon-agri-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18191:1" rel="noopener">Halcyon Agri (HACL SP).</a>  </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP), Trial Holdings (5882 JP) and PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) IPOs; Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) offering.
Event-Driven developments - Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Halcyon Agri (HACL SP).  


Weekly Deals Digest (19 Mar) - Japan Post, Toshiba, AAG, SBI Sumishin, Trial Holdings, Harita Nickel

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>Harita Nickel is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.</li>
<li>For our peer comparison exercise, we looked at international nickel mining companies and also included downstream players in the nickel value chain such as Huayou Cobalt and Lygend Group.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO.
Harita Nickel is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.
For our peer comparison exercise, we looked at international nickel mining companies and also included downstream players in the nickel value chain such as Huayou Cobalt and Lygend Group.


Harita Nickel IPO Peer Comparison - Seems to Be More Reliant on Lygend, than Vice Versa

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.
Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.
The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel, HN) is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO.
PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel, HN) is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Harita Nickel IPO - The Negatives - Reliant on JVs and with Lygend Group. Market Is About to Shift

Indonesia

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (NCKL) is an Indonesian company engaged in nickel mining, processing, and refining, with operations primarily on Obi Island in North Maluku province. The company produces ferronickel, mixed hydroxide precipitate (MHP), nickel sulfate, and cobalt sulfate. It was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Central Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ)

Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on weakening market sentiment, high single-customer dependence, gross margin pressure, high cash burn and...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Mar) - Japan Post, Toshiba, AAG, SBI Sumishin, Trial Holdings, Harita Nickel

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Genesis, Nitro, Norwest, Pushpay, AAG, Halcyon, Toshiba, Toyo) and ECM (Japan Post Bank,...

Arun George

Harita Nickel IPO Peer Comparison - Seems to Be More Reliant on Lygend, than Vice Versa

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO. HN is a vertically integrated...

Clarence Chu

Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak...

Arun George

Harita Nickel IPO - The Negatives - Reliant on JVs and with Lygend Group. Market Is About to Shift

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) is looking to raise about US$650m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we will talk...

Clarence Chu

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