Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 4th February 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Group (ABG AU)</a> announced preliminary discussions with 19.7%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> concering the potential internalisation of ASK’s management functions.</li>
<li>A binding agreement followed in May and completion on the 1st July. ASK (now known as storage King Group [SKG]) was subsequently reclassified as a financial investment. </li>
<li>In April this year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> announced a 5.837% stake. Ahead of Abacus' FY26 results, Charter Gall bumped to 7.04%.  Abacus is currently trading at a decade-plus low.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 4th February 2026, Abacus Group (ABG AU) announced preliminary discussions with 19.7%-held Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) concering the potential internalisation of ASK’s management functions.
A binding agreement followed in May and completion on the 1st July. ASK (now known as storage King Group [SKG]) was subsequently reclassified as a financial investment. 
In April this year, Charter Hall (CHC AU) announced a 5.837% stake. Ahead of Abacus' FY26 results, Charter Gall bumped to 7.04%.  Abacus is currently trading at a decade-plus low.


Abacus Group (ABG AU): Charter Hall Ups Stake As Share Price Ekes Out New Lows

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.</li>
<li>Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives</li>
<li>Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). </li>
</ul>


Since late-January/early-February we've recommended shifting to defensives considering our belief that 4165-4200 will cap upside on the $SPX in 2023, while also conceding that a reach to 4300-4325 is possible.
Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives and believe that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives
Defensive Sectors including Health Care (XLV), Utilities (XLU), and Staples (XLP) are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX). 


Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

The Russell 2000 (IWM) has been moving sideways for 7 months between $208 and $234.50, emblematic of the mixed market environment that we still find ourselves in. As long as $208 support holds we remain constructive on the overall market. On the plus side, conditions have been improving over the past two weeks -- not getting worse (more on this below). This increases the odds of a breakout above $234.50 on the IWM in the coming weeks or months, which would signal the start of a new broad-based bull market.Charts Highlighted: EEM, JD, NFLX, TSLA, YZCAY, BTU, HCC, ARCH, ARLP, CG, ARES, AB, CNS, VRTS, BSIG, VCTR, FDUS, PLD, REXR, FR, STAG, IIPR, TRNO, PSA, EXR, CUBE, LSI, and NSA

The Russell 2000 (IWM) has been moving sideways for 7 months between $208 and $234.50, emblematic of the mixed market environment that we still find ourselves in. As long as $208 support holds we remain constructive on the overall market. On the plus side, conditions have been improving over the past two weeks -- not getting worse (more on this below). This increases the odds of a breakout above $234.50 on the IWM in the coming weeks or months, which would signal the start of a new broad-based bull market.Charts Highlighted: EEM, JD, NFLX, TSLA, YZCAY, BTU, HCC, ARCH, ARLP, CG, ARES, AB, CNS, VRTS, BSIG, VCTR, FDUS, PLD, REXR, FR, STAG, IIPR, TRNO, PSA, EXR, CUBE, LSI, and NSA

Conditions Continue To Improve; EM Buy Signal; Growth Outperforming; Gold Vs. SPX Downtrend Intact

We have noted several times throughout August that key support levels were being tested for global equities, and while there has yet to be a decisive breakdown, as time has passed there has been new negative developments which lead us to be even more cautious. This past Friday’s test of support is no different, and we believe the market is more vulnerable to a breakdown than it has been at any other point this year. In this report we highlight the new concerning developments which lead us to believe the market remains vulnerable to a breakdown. On a more positive note, we also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within homebuilders, storage REITs, and large- and small-cap Western Hemisphere gold miners

We have noted several times throughout August that key support levels were being tested for global equities, and while there has yet to be a decisive breakdown, as time has passed there has been new negative developments which lead us to be even more cautious. This past Friday’s test of support is no different, and we believe the market is more vulnerable to a breakdown than it has been at any other point this year. In this report we highlight the new concerning developments which lead us to believe the market remains vulnerable to a breakdown. On a more positive note, we also highlight attractive Groups and stocks within homebuilders, storage REITs, and large- and small-cap Western Hemisphere gold miners

U.S. Equity Strategy: Caution Remains Warranted

<ul>
<li>On the 4th February 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Group (ABG AU)</a> announced it is in preliminary discussions with 19.7%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> regarding the potential internalisation of ASK’s management functions.</li>
<li>When ABG and ASK de-stapled in 2023, the physical assets went into ASK, while the management function remained with ABG. That is, ASK pays ABG an annual management services fee.</li>
<li>This expected cleaner/delineation structure was likely not lost on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a>, which announced a 5.837% stake in ABG last month. </li>
</ul>


On the 4th February 2026, Abacus Group (ABG AU) announced it is in preliminary discussions with 19.7%-held Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) regarding the potential internalisation of ASK’s management functions.
When ABG and ASK de-stapled in 2023, the physical assets went into ASK, while the management function remained with ABG. That is, ASK pays ABG an annual management services fee.
This expected cleaner/delineation structure was likely not lost on Charter Hall (CHC AU), which announced a 5.837% stake in ABG last month. 


Charter Hall Ups Stake Ahead Of Abacus Group (ABG AU)'s Internalisation

United States

Public Storage is a real estate investment trust. The trust's principal business activities include the acquisition, development, ownership and operation of self-storage facilities in the United States. Public Storage also own an equity interest in an owner and operator of self-storage facilities in Europe.

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Public Storage (PSA US)

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Defensive Sectors including Health Care $XLV, Utilities $RYU $XLU, and Staples $XLP are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price...

Vermilion Research

Conditions Continue To Improve; EM Buy Signal; Growth Outperforming; Gold Vs. SPX Downtrend Intact

Emerging markets (EEM) appear to be bottoming; one attractive buy candidate is JD.com (JD). We also highlight buy opportunities within Energy...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Caution Remains Warranted

We have noted several times throughout August that key support levels were being tested for global equities, and while there has yet to be a...

Vermilion Research

Charter Hall Ups Stake Ahead Of Abacus Group (ABG AU)'s Internalisation

Abacus is not expensive versus peers and historical metrics. Abacus Storage's internalisation and the advent of Charter Hall (CHC AU) on the...

David Blennerhassett

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Abacus Group (ABG AU): Charter Hall Ups Stake As Share Price Ekes Out New Lows

Abacus Group (ABG AU) is not expensive versus peers and historical metrics. Charter Hall (CHC AU) sees value. There is, as yet, no firm M&A. I...

David Blennerhassett

Defensive Areas Starting to Lead; 10-Yr Treasury Yield Testing Support at 3.35-3.4%

Defensive Sectors including Health Care $XLV, Utilities $RYU $XLU, and Staples $XLP are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price...

Vermilion Research

Conditions Continue To Improve; EM Buy Signal; Growth Outperforming; Gold Vs. SPX Downtrend Intact

Emerging markets (EEM) appear to be bottoming; one attractive buy candidate is JD.com (JD). We also highlight buy opportunities within Energy...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Caution Remains Warranted

We have noted several times throughout August that key support levels were being tested for global equities, and while there has yet to be a...

Vermilion Research

Charter Hall Ups Stake Ahead Of Abacus Group (ABG AU)'s Internalisation

Abacus is not expensive versus peers and historical metrics. Abacus Storage's internalisation and the advent of Charter Hall (CHC AU) on the...

David Blennerhassett