Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently six pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently six pair trade opportunities persist across four markets and four sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (31 Aug 2026)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)</li><li>The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisation</li><li>While BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenance</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisationWhile BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Hitachi Energy

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>There are few banking systems in the world or in Asia-Pacific that show such a steady but significant reduction in bad loans as in India. </li>
<li>Credit costs can remain subdued for sometime with better NPL levels and this can also lead the way to better loan volume, as loan officers take on more risk.</li>
<li>Banking penetration remains incredibly low in India compared with almost all countries in the region, and this means that there can be sustained robust growth.</li>
</ul>


There are few banking systems in the world or in Asia-Pacific that show such a steady but significant reduction in bad loans as in India. 
Credit costs can remain subdued for sometime with better NPL levels and this can also lead the way to better loan volume, as loan officers take on more risk.
Banking penetration remains incredibly low in India compared with almost all countries in the region, and this means that there can be sustained robust growth.


India Banks - Far Better Credit Metrics Seem Real, With Exceptional Long-Term Loan Growth Outlook

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In India's financial sector, currently four pair trade opportunities persist
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In India's financial sector, currently four pair trade opportunities persist


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

India

Punjab National Bank provides financial services such as corporate and personal banking, industrial finance, agricultural finance, financing of trade and international banking. The Company provides services to domestic conglomerates, medium and small industrial units, exporters, non-resident Indians and multinational companies.

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Punjab National Bank (PNB IN)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (31 Aug 2026)

Discover six pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Hitachi Energy

Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)

HDFC Securities

India Banks - Far Better Credit Metrics Seem Real, With Exceptional Long-Term Loan Growth Outlook

India's banks are seeing consistent and strong reduction of NPLs, which appears to be real, not cosmetic. There is vast scope for more loan...

Daniel Tabbush

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights. Ideal for quant traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (31 Aug 2026)

​Discover six pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Hitachi Energy

Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)

HDFC Securities

India Banks - Far Better Credit Metrics Seem Real, With Exceptional Long-Term Loan Growth Outlook

India's banks are seeing consistent and strong reduction of NPLs, which appears to be real, not cosmetic. There is vast scope for more loan...

Daniel Tabbush

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (24 Aug 2026)

​Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (21 Aug 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights. Ideal for quant traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover six pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover four pair trade opportunities using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights. Ideal for quant traders seeking mean...