Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

James Hardie Industries Plc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>A global perspective on what happened overnight</li></ul>

A global perspective on what happened overnight

James Hardie Industries Plc - The Overnight Report: Bullish Into A Short Week

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Virgin Australia Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-australia-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:814:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Virgin Australia is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU).
Virgin Australia is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and provided our thoughts on valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Virgin Australia IPO Trading - Flying into Oil and Recent Air Crash Headwinds

<ul>
<li>Bain Capital is looking to raise around US$440m via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-australia-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:814:1" rel="noopener">Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU).</a>
</li>
<li>Virgin Australia is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>


Bain Capital is looking to raise around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU).

Virgin Australia is the second largest airline group operating in the Australian aviation market, with an average 32% domestic RPT capacity market share in CY24.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance and provide our thoughts on valuations.


Virgin Australia IPO - Not Terribly Exciting, After Significant Items Adjustment

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> is the sole (and somewhat surprising) inclusion for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The one inclusion, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.5% leading to a round-trip trade of A$290m.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> this year but there has been some covering in the stock recently.</li>
</ul>



Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) is the sole (and somewhat surprising) inclusion for the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU) in December.
The one inclusion, float changes and capping changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.5% leading to a round-trip trade of A$290m.
Shorts have increased in Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) this year but there has been some covering in the stock recently.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add & Capping Leads to A$290m Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MV Australia Equal Weight Index represents the performance of large, liquid companies incorporated in Australia and listed on the ASX.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a> is an ADD for the December 2024 review, with no other changes to the index.</li>
<li>We expect a one-way flow of $US90mm for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.5%.</li>
</ul>


The MV Australia Equal Weight Index represents the performance of large, liquid companies incorporated in Australia and listed on the ASX.

Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU) is an ADD for the December 2024 review, with no other changes to the index.
We expect a one-way flow of $US90mm for December 2024, which translates to a turnover of 5.5%.


[Quiddity Index] MV Australia Equal Weight Dec 24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

Australia

Qantas Airways Limited provides transportation of passengers through two airlines including Qantas (full service carrier) and Jetstar (low cost carrier), operating international, domestic and regional services. The Company also includes Qantas Frequent Flyer and Qantas Freight which generates diverse revenue streams and adds value for customers and investors.

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Qantas Airways (QAN AU)

James Hardie Industries Plc - The Overnight Report: Bullish Into A Short Week

A global perspective on what happened overnight

FNArena

Virgin Australia IPO Trading - Flying into Oil and Recent Air Crash Headwinds

Bain Capital raised around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU). In this note, we talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Virgin Australia IPO - Not Terribly Exciting, After Significant Items Adjustment

Bain Capital is looking to raise around US$440m via selling some of its stake in Virgin Australia Holdings (VAH AU). In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: One Add & Capping Leads to A$290m Trade

Telix Pharma is a surprise inclusion in December. The add, float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 5.5% and to a round...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Australia Equal Weight Dec 24 Rebal Results: Flow Expectations

The MVIS Australia Equal-Weight Index sees one add and one delete in the rebal announced Friday. Implementation is 20 Dec 2024 at the close.

Travis Lundy

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