Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Macroeconomics

As with most macroeconomic releases, there was something for everyone in today’s December quarter CPI. For the doves, the precipitous fall in petrol prices has pulled down the headline CPI which is around 1.6% higher than a year ago. For the hawks, the various measures of core or underlying inflation came in stronger than expected, growing by 0.66% in the quarter. Nonetheless, on a year on year basis, they remain close to the bottom end of the Reserve Bank’s inflation target range of 2-3%.

As with most macroeconomic releases, there was something for everyone in today’s December quarter CPI. For the doves, the precipitous fall in petrol prices has pulled down the headline CPI which is around 1.6% higher than a year ago. For the hawks, the various measures of core or underlying inflation came in stronger than expected, growing by 0.66% in the quarter. Nonetheless, on a year on year basis, they remain close to the bottom end of the Reserve Bank’s inflation target range of 2-3%.

Tame Inflation data and the bond market signal that the yield trade is yet to run its course

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and six sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently twelve pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and six sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (16 Mar 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insurance-australia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:712:1" rel="noopener">Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qbe-insurance-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:919:1" rel="noopener">QBE Insurance (QBE AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insurance-australia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:712:1" rel="noopener">Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qbe-insurance-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:919:1" rel="noopener">QBE Insurance (QBE AU)</a> targets an 8% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU) vs. QBE Insurance (QBE AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU) and short QBE Insurance (QBE AU) targets an 8% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU) Vs QBE Insurance (QBE AU): Earnings Gap Triggers Stat Arb Setup

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Broadline Retail".</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westpac-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:444:1" rel="noopener">Westpac Banking (WBC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inghams-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23640:1" rel="noopener">Inghams (ING AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-worldwide-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22690:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Broadline Retail".
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Inghams (ING AU), Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU), and IDP Education (IEL AU).


Aussie Shorts (23 Feb 2026): Westpac, Wesfarmers, Inghams, Reliance Worldwide, IDP Education

ICICI Lombard General Insurance / Equity Bottom-Up

ICICI Lombard General Insurance (ICICIGI IN)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and six sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and six sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (12 Jan 2025)

Australia

QBE Insurance Group Limited is an insurance company which underwrites most forms of commercial and industrial insurance policies, as well as individual policies. QBE also manages Lloyds syndicates and provides investment management services. The Company provides its services both domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Qbe Insurance (QBE AU)

Tame Inflation data and the bond market signal that the yield trade is yet to run its course

As with most macroeconomic releases, there was something for everyone in today’s December quarter CPI. For the doves, the precipitous fall in...

Sam Ferraro

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (16 Mar 2026)

Discover twelve pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU) Vs QBE Insurance (QBE AU): Earnings Gap Triggers Stat Arb Setup

Targets an 8% mean-reversion move after an earnings-driven gap opened between the stocks, with the spread already beginning to narrow. Pair Trade...

Gaudenz Schneider

Aussie Shorts (23 Feb 2026): Westpac, Wesfarmers, Inghams, Reliance Worldwide, IDP Education

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Inghams (ING AU), Reliance Worldwide...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (12 Jan 2025)

Insight on statistical pair trading opportunities across ten pairs in three markets and six sectors, offering unique perspective on relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tame Inflation data and the bond market signal that the yield trade is yet to run its course

As with most macroeconomic releases, there was something for everyone in today’s December quarter CPI. For the doves, the precipitous fall in...

Sam Ferraro

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (16 Mar 2026)

​Discover twelve pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Insurance Australia Group (IAG AU) Vs QBE Insurance (QBE AU): Earnings Gap Triggers Stat Arb Setup

Targets an 8% mean-reversion move after an earnings-driven gap opened between the stocks, with the spread already beginning to narrow. Pair Trade...

Gaudenz Schneider

Aussie Shorts (23 Feb 2026): Westpac, Wesfarmers, Inghams, Reliance Worldwide, IDP Education

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Westpac Banking (WBC AU), Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU), Inghams (ING AU), Reliance Worldwide...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (12 Jan 2025)

​Insight on statistical pair trading opportunities across ten pairs in three markets and six sectors, offering unique perspective on relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover twelve pair trade opportunities across three markets and six sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Insight on statistical pair trading opportunities across ten pairs in three markets and six sectors, offering unique perspective on relative value.