Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tilaknagar-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4879:1" rel="noopener">Tilaknagar Industries (TLNGR IN)</a> acquires Pernod Ricard India’s Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, diversifying its portfolio into whisky from dominance in brandy.</li>
<li>This acquisition will establish TI as a pan-India spirits player, significantly enhancing distribution and is expected to be accretive.</li>
<li>However, substantial deal size raises concerns about equity dilution, high leverage risks, and significant integration challenges for TI</li>
</ul>



Tilaknagar Industries (TLNGR IN) acquires Pernod Ricard India’s Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, diversifying its portfolio into whisky from dominance in brandy.
This acquisition will establish TI as a pan-India spirits player, significantly enhancing distribution and is expected to be accretive.
However, substantial deal size raises concerns about equity dilution, high leverage risks, and significant integration challenges for TI


Event Driven: Tilaknagar Ind ₹4,150 Cr Imperial Blue Acq.~Transformational Play or Leverage Trap?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Equity Bottom-Up

Piccadily Agro Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Piccadily Agro has rapidly scaled Indri and Camikara into global alcobev brands, with presence in 28 countries and 24 duty-free outlets, supported by INR 500 crore capex expansion.</li>
<li>This shift marks a decisive pivot from commodity sugar to premium brand-led revenue, improving margins and reducing seasonality and policy risk in its core business model.</li>
<li>PAIL is an emerging alcobev player with global aspirations and a premium product pipeline that could rerate valuations meaningfully.</li>
</ul>


Piccadily Agro has rapidly scaled Indri and Camikara into global alcobev brands, with presence in 28 countries and 24 duty-free outlets, supported by INR 500 crore capex expansion.
This shift marks a decisive pivot from commodity sugar to premium brand-led revenue, improving margins and reducing seasonality and policy risk in its core business model.
PAIL is an emerging alcobev player with global aspirations and a premium product pipeline that could rerate valuations meaningfully.


The Beat Ideas: Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd - Indri Dominating Global Whiskey Market

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sagility-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43717:1" rel="noopener">Sagility India (2058883D IN)</a> (Sagility) raised around US$250m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Sagility is a pure-play healthcare focused solutions and services provider to Payers (U.S. health insurance companies), and Providers (primarily hospitals, physicians, and diagnostic and medical devices companies).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Sagility India (2058883D IN) (Sagility) raised around US$250m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Sagility is a pure-play healthcare focused solutions and services provider to Payers (U.S. health insurance companies), and Providers (primarily hospitals, physicians, and diagnostic and medical devices companies).
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics, possible placement and updates since our last note.


Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

Belrise Industries / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/belrise-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44122:1" rel="noopener">Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.


Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

India

Radico Khaitan Limited is one of India's oldest and largest manufacturers of Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL), country liquor, and industrial alcohol. The company's product portfolio includes whisky, rum, brandy, vodka, and gin, with popular brands such as 8PM Whisky and Magic Moments Vodka. Radico Khaitan was established in 1943 in Rampur, Uttar Pradesh, India, and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.

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Radico Khaitan (RDCK IN)

Event Driven: Tilaknagar Ind ₹4,150 Cr Imperial Blue Acq.~Transformational Play or Leverage Trap?

Tilaknagar Industries acquires Pernod Ricard India's Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, expanding into whisky and facing challenges with equity...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Beat Ideas: Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd - Indri Dominating Global Whiskey Market

The Company has received approval from the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE) for the listing of its Equity Shares, effective from July...

Sudarshan Bhandari

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

We currently forecast 44 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. Some IPOs could be added to Large/Mid cap. The forecast upward migrations...

Brian Freitas

Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

Sagility B.V. plans to offload up to 15.02% stake in Sagility India via block deals worth INR26.7bn (US$314.7m). The secondary share sale is priced...

Akshat Shah

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Event Driven: Tilaknagar Ind ₹4,150 Cr Imperial Blue Acq.~Transformational Play or Leverage Trap?

​Tilaknagar Industries acquires Pernod Ricard India's Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, expanding into whisky and facing challenges with equity...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Beat Ideas: Piccadily Agro Industries Ltd - Indri Dominating Global Whiskey Market

The Company has received approval from the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE) for the listing of its Equity Shares, effective from July...

Sudarshan Bhandari

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

We currently forecast 44 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. Some IPOs could be added to Large/Mid cap. The forecast upward migrations...

Brian Freitas

Sagility India IPO Lockup - US$1.5bn Lockup Release; PE Promoter Will Have to Trim for Free-Float

Sagility B.V. plans to offload up to 15.02% stake in Sagility India via block deals worth INR26.7bn (US$314.7m). The secondary share sale is priced...

Akshat Shah

Belrise Industries Pre-IPO - Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

Belrise Industries Limited is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the company’s historical...

Akshat Shah

Tilaknagar Industries acquires Pernod Ricard India's Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, expanding into whisky and facing challenges with equity...