Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.</li>
<li>With roughly half of the 3-month reference period now complete, I see three changes for the SET 50 index but one of those names is still close to the border.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.
With roughly half of the 3-month reference period now complete, I see three changes for the SET 50 index but one of those names is still close to the border.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely; Banpu Still Not Safe from Deletion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.</li>
<li>PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company's performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE) is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. PGE is an Indonesian state owned power producer which utilizes geothermal energy to produce electricity.
PGE currently manages 13 Geothermal Working Areas with a total capacity of 1,877 MW, of which 672 MW is owned by it, while 1,205 MW is via joint operations.
We have looked at the company's performance in our previous note. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22915:1" rel="noopener">Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX)</a> for the December 2022 Rebalance were announced yesterday (20th December 2022) after the close.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs/DELs for the SET 50 index. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and potential trading ideas.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX) for the December 2022 Rebalance were announced yesterday (20th December 2022) after the close.
There will be four ADDs/DELs for the SET 50 index. 
In this insight, we take a closer look at our expectations for index flows and potential trading ideas.


Thailand SET 50 Dec 22 Rebal: Good Hit Rate, Successful Pre-Event Trade, Unwind Now

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-plaza-hotel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18213:1" rel="noopener">Central Plaza Hotel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thai-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thai</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-life-assurance-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16237:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Life Assurance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics PCL</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a>. </li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 0.6-3 days of ADV on the deletes.</li>
<li>The adds have significantly outperformed the deletes over the last few months. We'd use any big moves over the next couple of days to trim positions.</li>
</ul>



Central Plaza Hotel, Com7 PCL, Delta Electronics Thai and Ratch Group will replace Bangkok Life Assurance, IRPC PCL, KCE Electronics PCL and Srisawad Power in the SET 50 Index. 
Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days of ADV on the adds while selling between 0.6-3 days of ADV on the deletes.
The adds have significantly outperformed the deletes over the last few months. We'd use any big moves over the next couple of days to trim positions.


SET50 Index Rebalance: CENTEL, COM7, DELTA, RATCH Added; BLA, IRPC, KCE, SAWAD Out

<ul>
<li>The reference period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> December 2022 Rebalance is about to come to an end.</li>
<li>With the market consultation changes confirmed as expected and the DTAC-TRUE merger likely to get delayed to 1Q CY2023, I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in December 2022. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB)</a> is a potential surprise ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> is a potential surprise DEL out of the index changes predicted in this insight.</li>
</ul>


The reference period for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) December 2022 Rebalance is about to come to an end.
With the market consultation changes confirmed as expected and the DTAC-TRUE merger likely to get delayed to 1Q CY2023, I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in December 2022. 

Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB) is a potential surprise ADD and IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) is a potential surprise DEL out of the index changes predicted in this insight.


Thailand SET50 Quiddity Dec 22 Final Expectations: DTAC-TRUE Delay Could Cause RATCH-IRPC Surprise

Thailand

Ratch Group PCL operates as a power producer company. The Company focuses on investment fossil fuel power generation and renewable projects, as well as businesses adjacent to electricity generation and energy. Ratchaburi Group serves customers in Asia.

Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB)

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: 3 Changes Likely; Banpu Still Not Safe from Deletion

Srisawad is currently an expected DEL. However, the gap between 51st-ranked Srisawad and 50th-ranked Banpu is very small and it is still possible...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pertamina Geothermal Energy IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Pertamina Geothermal Energy is looking to raise around US$650m in its upcoming Indonesia IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Thailand SET 50 Dec 22 Rebal: Good Hit Rate, Successful Pre-Event Trade, Unwind Now

Quiddity's Long Expected ADDs - SHORT Expected DELs trade has delivered a net positive return of 3.6% in 14 trading days. It might be time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SET50 Index Rebalance: CENTEL, COM7, DELTA, RATCH Added; BLA, IRPC, KCE, SAWAD Out

There are 4 changes for the SET50 Index in Dec, all in line with forecasts. Passive trackers will need to buy between 2-4 days ADV on the adds...

Brian Freitas

Thailand SET50 Quiddity Dec 22 Final Expectations: DTAC-TRUE Delay Could Cause RATCH-IRPC Surprise

I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in the Dec 22 Rebalance. The Expected ADDs (DELTA, BJC, RATCH, and COM7) could outperform the Expected DELs (KCE, BLA, SAWAD,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA