IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnutria-dairy-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13799:1" rel="noopener">Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)</a>    </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Razer Inc (1337 HK), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Irongate Group (IAP AU), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU), Crown Resorts (CWN AU) 
The lowest gross spreads are CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Ausnutria Dairy Corp (1717 HK)    


Merger Arb Mondays - Razer, 51Job, Irongate, Link, Crown Resorts, Guodian

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). </li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a> </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a> </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore and the US (Chinese ADRs only). 
This week, the highest gross spreads are Razer Inc (1337 HK), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), Irongate Group (IAP AU), 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU) 
The lowest gross spreads are China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Virtus Health (VRT AU), CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU), Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU) 


Merger Arb Mondays - Razer, Sezzle, Irongate, 51job, Link, Guodian, Crown Resorts

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. </li>
<li>Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. 

Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. 
Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are currently 42 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hochtief-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21652:1" rel="noopener">Hochtief AG (HOT GR)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimic-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20030:1" rel="noopener">CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brookfield-asset-manage-cl-a-0483cfb5-71a5-4931-af80-901e5f30aace" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23741:1" rel="noopener">Brookfield Asset Management (BAM US)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agl-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:554:1" rel="noopener">AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer (1337 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-tourism-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24305:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Tourism (ATL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus (AVN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/z-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9838:1" rel="noopener">Z Energy (ZEL NZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel (GJS TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial (MAGIC SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 42 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals this week: Hochtief AG (HOT GR) for CIMIC Group Ltd (CIM AU); Brookfield Asset Management (BAM US) for AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU).
Key updates took place for: Razer (1337 HK), Apollo Tourism (ATL AU), Aventus (AVN AU), Z Energy (ZEL NZ), G J Steel (GJS TB), and Mapletree North Asia Commercial (MAGIC SP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: CIMIC, AGL, Razer, Z Energy, G J Steel, Mapletree North Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  </li>
<li>The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s strong 3Q. </li>
<li>The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. The scheme document will be released after the FY21 results (scheduled on or before 17 March).  
The headcount test is a key challenge. While the deal's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s strong 3Q. 
The shares are broadly fairly valued at last close both on a SoTP and deal probability basis. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

United States

Razer Inc. is a global lifestyle brand for gamers. The Company offers an integrated gamer-focused ecosystem of hardware, software and services. Razer's hardware ranges from gaming peripherals to gaming laptops and mobile devices. Razer's software platform includes Razer Synapse, Razer Chroma, and Razer Cortex. Razer also offers Razer Gold, a virtual credit services for gamers.

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Razer Inc (1337 HK)

Merger Arb Mondays - Razer, 51Job, Irongate, Link, Crown Resorts, Guodian

We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us. The highest gross spreads are Razer, 51Job, Irongate, Link...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays - Razer, Sezzle, Irongate, 51job, Link, Guodian, Crown Resorts

This week, the merger arb situations with the highest gross spreads are Razer, Sezzle, Irongate Group, 51jobs, Link Administration.

Arun George

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

Logitech’s investor day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity. Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross...

Arun George

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: CIMIC, AGL, Razer, Z Energy, G J Steel, Mapletree North Asia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Pre-Conditions Fulfilled

While the privatisation's success benefits from the de-rating of technology shares, it is also undermined by Logitech’s strong 3Q. We would be...

Arun George

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