Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in March. With one stock very close to entering inclusion zone, that could increase to 6.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-precision-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44938:1" rel="noopener">Hon Precision (7769 TT)</a> is a potential inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this ETF inclusion comes a few weeks later.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a very wide margin as short interest has surged in some of the forecast deletions.</li>
</ul>


There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in March. With one stock very close to entering inclusion zone, that could increase to 6.

Hon Precision (7769 TT) is a potential inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this ETF inclusion comes a few weeks later.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a very wide margin as short interest has surged in some of the forecast deletions.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD29.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek Semiconductor, Alchip Technologies, Lotes, Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 6th. The aggregated short interest was USD29.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek Semiconductor, Alchip Technologies, Lotes, Hon Hai Precision.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek Semiconductor

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC, Innolux, Wiwynn.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Taiwan in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC, Innolux, Wiwynn.


MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Jan): Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.</li>
<li>We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rambus-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7214:1" rel="noopener">Rambus (RMBS US)</a>, the third-largest player globally. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-c827a672-7027-4114-b744-0fc66a5d1d98" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.</li>
</ul>


As a global leader in fabless IC design, focusing on interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure, Montage Technology (6809 HK)'s 3-year EPS CAGR will reach 43.2%.
We assess a fair price at HK$147.4, or 45.8x FY26 PER, a 20% premium over Rambus (RMBS US), the third-largest player globally. 

This represents a 37.9% upside, also putting it in line with the average of 28% discount of the H-share IPOs to A-shares since 2025.


Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD28.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux, LARGAN Precision, Asustek Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 9th. The aggregated short interest was USD28.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux, LARGAN Precision, Asustek Computer.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux

Taiwan

Realtek Semiconductor Corp. designs, tests, and distributes integrated circuits which are used in consumer electronics, computer systems and peripherals, and communication network hardware.  The Company also provides technical counseling and systems software services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Realtek Semiconductor (2379 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

There could be 5 changes for the ETF in March. With one stock close to rank 40, that could increase to 6 changes. Only 3 trading days to cutoff....

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek Semiconductor

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Jan): Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

There could be 5 changes for the ETF in March. With one stock close to rank 40, that could increase to 6 changes. Only 3 trading days to cutoff....

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Feb 6th): Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek Semiconductor

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Jentech Precision Industrial, Realtek...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MS-Taiwan Index Earning Revision (Jan): Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC

We analyzed MS-Taiwan's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in Hon Hai Precision, Nan Ya Plastics, TSMC, China Steel, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology (6809 HK) IPO: Decent Upside Potential

​Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Fortune Electric, Alchip Technologies, Innolux,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Montage Technology's 3-year EPS CAGR is projected to be 43.2%, with a fair price estimated at HK$147.4, a 20% premium over Rambus. This offers a...