Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan is widely owned but lightly held: 88% of global funds now hold Japan—well ahead of Asian peers—yet average weights remain near 15-year lows and structurally underweight vs. ACWI.</li>
<li>Allocations are shallow and skewed: 75% of global funds hold less than 6.3% in Japan; exposures above 10% are rare and concentrated in Value and Yield strategies.</li>
<li>Tech &amp; Industrials dominate; ownership is fragmented: Japan exposure is concentrated in Tech/Industrials, with few consensus stocks beyond Sony and Keyence, and a long tail of lightly held names.</li>
</ul>


Japan is widely owned but lightly held: 88% of global funds now hold Japan—well ahead of Asian peers—yet average weights remain near 15-year lows and structurally underweight vs. ACWI.
Allocations are shallow and skewed: 75% of global funds hold less than 6.3% in Japan; exposures above 10% are rare and concentrated in Value and Yield strategies.
Tech &amp; Industrials dominate; ownership is fragmented: Japan exposure is concentrated in Tech/Industrials, with few consensus stocks beyond Sony and Keyence, and a long tail of lightly held names.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$960m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 10% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>’s (KE) stock.</li>
<li>KE had seen a number of selldowns in the past from KKR and Applied Materials, with mixed results.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$960m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 10% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s (KE) stock.
KE had seen a number of selldowns in the past from KKR and Applied Materials, with mixed results.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Kokusai Electric Placement - Past Deals Have Been Mixed but Its a US$1bn Cleanup

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Economic Uncertainty &amp; BOJ Policy Shift: Japan's GDP growth slowed, consumer spending weakened, and the BOJ signaled tighter monetary policy, pushing bond yields to multi-year highs.</li>
<li>
Global Trade &amp; Market Volatility: U.S. recession fears, yen appreciation, and renewed trade tensions, including Trump's tariff threats, weighed on investor sentiment despite a late tech stock rebound.</li>
<li>
 Advantest and Disco surged on AI and semiconductor demand, while Recruit fell due to U.S. hiring weakness, highlighting sector-specific growth and risks.</li>
</ul>



Economic Uncertainty &amp; BOJ Policy Shift: Japan's GDP growth slowed, consumer spending weakened, and the BOJ signaled tighter monetary policy, pushing bond yields to multi-year highs.

Global Trade &amp; Market Volatility: U.S. recession fears, yen appreciation, and renewed trade tensions, including Trump's tariff threats, weighed on investor sentiment despite a late tech stock rebound.

 Advantest and Disco surged on AI and semiconductor demand, while Recruit fell due to U.S. hiring weakness, highlighting sector-specific growth and risks.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>US markets continue to pivot away from recent tech winners with a continued focus on Trump names.</li>
<li>Monolithic Power sold heavily on concerns it will lose NVDA mkt share to Renesas.</li>
<li>Will good numbers be enough for Recruit to break higher without more buybacks?</li>
</ul>


US markets continue to pivot away from recent tech winners with a continued focus on Trump names.
Monolithic Power sold heavily on concerns it will lose NVDA mkt share to Renesas.
Will good numbers be enough for Recruit to break higher without more buybacks?


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

Japan

Recruit Holdings Co. Ltd. operates information providing services in human resource, housing, bridal, travel, restaurants, beauty, automobiles, and education and more. The company also operate staffing services and advertising business.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)

Japan: Cautious Reengagment

Global ownership of Japan is rising, but conviction remains weak. Allocations sit near historic lows, with Value funds leading a cautious rotation...

Steven Holden

Aequitas: Kokusai Electric Placement - Past Deals Have Been Mixed but Its a US$1bn Cleanup

KKR is looking to raise around US$960m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 10% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s (KE) stock. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

Mark Chadwick

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan: Cautious Reengagment

Global ownership of Japan is rising, but conviction remains weak. Allocations sit near historic lows, with Value funds leading a cautious rotation...

Steven Holden

Aequitas: Kokusai Electric Placement - Past Deals Have Been Mixed but Its a US$1bn Cleanup

KKR is looking to raise around US$960m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 10% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)’s (KE) stock. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Strategy Weekly | Markets Struggle Amid Economic Uncertainty

​Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

Mark Chadwick

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Japan to Reflect the US Pivot from Growth to Value

​US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...

Andrew Jackson

Japan's economic slowdown and BOJ policy shift impact bond yields, while global trade tensions and market volatility weigh on investor sentiment....

US markets continue to shift focus from tech winners to Trump names, Monolithic Power sold on NVDA market share concerns, can Recruit break higher...