Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>. Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a> rolls over as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a> bets big on key rival Domain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.</li>
</ul>



Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP). Done. Finally. Look at whether you could borrow shares just before the close of the tender and short tender and buy back post ex-date

REA Group Ltd (REA AU) rolls over as Costar Group (CSGP US) bets big on key rival Domain Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU).

Macromill (3978 JP)'s tender extended. Still not a done deal. Look to buy shares at terms with the goal of NOT tendering and owning the back end.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

<ul>
<li>I tally 58 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mayne-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:757:1" rel="noopener">Mayne Pharma (MYX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai International (2217 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19415:1" rel="noopener">PEC Ltd. (PEC SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/proto-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2511:1" rel="noopener">Proto Corp (4298 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 58 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Four new deals discussed this week: Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU), Mayne Pharma (MYX AU), Tam Jai International (2217 HK), and PEC Ltd. (PEC SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK),Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), and Proto Corp (4298 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Domain Holdings, Mayne Pharma, Tam Jai, PEC Ltd, Canvest, Fuji Soft, Proto

China National Building Material / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 6th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a> (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  </li>
<li>Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.</li>
</ul>


On the 6th December 2024, China National Building Material (3323 HK) (CNBM), China's leading building materials company, offered to buy back 841,749,304 H-shares at HK$4.03/share, a 15.1% premium to undisturbed.
This elevated CNBM's parent's stake to 50.01% of total shares from 45.02% currently, necessitating  a whitewash waiver so the parent would not be obliged to make a full blown offer.  
Independent H-shareholder overwhelmingly approved the waiver yesterday, the 19th February. Tendering closes on the 5th March. Minimum pro-ration is 19.24%. I'm estimating at least 35%. The Offer is now unconditional.


CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19415:1" rel="noopener">PEC Ltd. (PEC SP)</a>, a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.</li>
<li>Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. </li>
<li>Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. </li>
</ul>



PEC Ltd. (PEC SP), a plant and terminal engineering specialist, has (finally) announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.
Liberty is offering S$0.84/share (not final) - including a AS$0.20/share special  dividend - a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but really more like a &gt;35% premium. 
Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% have been secured. Looks pretty clean. Assuming late May payment, pay up to S$0.79/share for a 6%/15% gross/annualised spread. 


PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai  (2217 HK)</a> was suspended, in <a href="https://skr.ma/uHXiV" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer</a> I expected an Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toridoll-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8193:1" rel="noopener">TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0217/2025021701057.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme</a> from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).</li>
<li>Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. </li>
</ul>


After Tam Jai  (2217 HK) was suspended, in Tam Jai (2217 HK) Suspended: Expect Toridoll (3397 JP) To Make An Offer I expected an Offer from TORIDOLL Holdings (3397 JP).
I also thought an Offer price ~HK$1.50/share would be welcome, but wasn't hopeful. We got both - a Scheme from Toridoll at HK$1.58/share (best &amp; final).
Clean deal. Just a question of timing. Docs may be delayed to incorporate FY25E (Mar Y/E) financials. 


Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

Australia

Red Hawk Mining Limited is an iron ore exploration and development company.  The Company focuses on iron ore in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. Red Hawk Mining also explores for diamond and phosphate in South Australia and the Northern Territory.

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Red Hawk Mining (RHK AU)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinko Electric, REA Group, Macromill, CNBM, Prosus/Tencent

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Domain Holdings, Mayne Pharma, Tam Jai, PEC Ltd, Canvest, Fuji Soft, Proto

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

CNBM (3323 HK): Whitewash Waiver Secured. Next Is The Proration

I'm inclined to simply short outright here, if I had guaranteed take-no-action borrow. Especially as the price closes in on the tender price, and...

David Blennerhassett

PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): Privatisation Offer From Liberty Group

This is done. If small, illliquid arbs are your bent, and assuming late May payment, I'd pay up to S$0.79/share for a gross/annualised return of 6%...

David Blennerhassett

Tam Jai (2217 HK): Toridoll (3397 JP)'s Excellent Offer

This is done. No competing Offer will emerge. If payment on or around mid-July, and small-cap arbs are your thing, I'd pay up to HK$1.49/share for...

David Blennerhassett

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