Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The short-term bullish reversal discussed last week is officially underway now that the S&amp;P 500 has reclaimed its 200-day MA, but we are not yet out of the woods.</li>
<li>We discuss what we are watching to determine whether this is just an oversold bounce that resolves lower, or if the S&amp;P 500 is headed back to all-time highs.</li>
<li>The prior two trading days appears to be the start of a short-term mean reversion, where beaten down growth areas (ARKK, software, biotech, etc.) are outperforming.</li>
</ul>


The short-term bullish reversal discussed last week is officially underway now that the S&amp;P 500 has reclaimed its 200-day MA, but we are not yet out of the woods.
We discuss what we are watching to determine whether this is just an oversold bounce that resolves lower, or if the S&amp;P 500 is headed back to all-time highs.
The prior two trading days appears to be the start of a short-term mean reversion, where beaten down growth areas (ARKK, software, biotech, etc.) are outperforming.


Not Out Of The Woods; SPX Back Above The 200-Day MA; Growth Catching A Bid; Buying Energy, Biotech

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the Lifesciences space namely PEPTIDES.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX) and US-based Coherus (CHRS)

In technical publications like patents and research papers, cross-references are made to existing patents and research papers. We believe these mentions and citations can provide valuable insights into the views and impressions of experts in the specific innovations and technologies within a sector and hence the likelihood of success. In this report (which is the first one we are publishing) we have crawled through more than ten years of publications (several thousand) to analyze a subset in the Lifesciences space namely PEPTIDES.  Needless to say the same can be done with respect to other technological areas in other sectors as well.We backtested our methodology (dating three years back) to look for any specific actionable idea the analysis might throw up. We noted that among the small or mid-cap stocks that screened well half were acquired over the next three years Specific to this report we highlight over ten companies that are likely acquisition targets over the next three years. Within those, two companies that screen very well based purely on data mined from the publications and our parameters of number of innovations, number of citations, Recency, and Impact are a Germany based Nasdaq listed - Immatics (IMTX) and US-based Coherus (CHRS)

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive. A breakout to new highs in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), above $234.50 and $159, would likely cause us to shift to an outright bullish stance. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Technology, and Health Care.

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive. A breakout to new highs in the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell Micro-Caps (IWC), above $234.50 and $159, would likely cause us to shift to an outright bullish stance. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Technology, and Health Care.

U.S. Yields Testing Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

With the S&amp;P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of the uptrends that began in March... see charts below. Therefore, we continue to have a bullish outlook and we believe the path of least resistance remains higher. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Materials: Biotech, Large-Cap, Biotech, Mid-Cap, Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap, and Silver, Platinum.

With the S&amp;P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of the uptrends that began in March... see charts below. Therefore, we continue to have a bullish outlook and we believe the path of least resistance remains higher. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Materials: Biotech, Large-Cap, Biotech, Mid-Cap, Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap, and Silver, Platinum.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight developments that are inconsistent with a major bottom in equities that suggests the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods.  In fact, during today's action, the 2760 support level on the S&amp;P 500 briefly held but ultimately gave way. With the SPX holding below 2760 today, we are looking for downside targets of 2650 first, and then potentially 2470 if that fails to hold.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

United States

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products for the treatment of serious medical conditions. The Company has therapeutic candidates in clinical trials for the potential treatment of cancer, eye diseases, and inflammatory diseases, and has preclinical programs in other diseases and disorders.

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Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US)

Not Out Of The Woods; SPX Back Above The 200-Day MA; Growth Catching A Bid; Buying Energy, Biotech

The short-term bullish reversal that we referenced last week is officially underway now that the S&P 500 has reclaimed its 200-day MA, but we are...

Vermilion Research

Stock Ideas Based on Data Mined from Technical Publications - A Look Into Peptides

We have screened for stock ideas in the area of PEPTIDES by datamining citations by industry experts in thousands of technical publications over...

Pyari Menon

U.S. Yields Testing Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting

We continue to see signs of improving risk appetites alongside healthy market dynamics. As a result, our outlook remains constructive.

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

With the S&P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Several Indicators Suggest a Pullback Likely

Despite the bulls still being in control, we have several ongoing concerns and we cannot rule out the potential for a pullback. Below we highlight...

Vermilion Research

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