Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-west-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:804:1" rel="noopener">Seven West Media (SWM AU)</a>'s, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spindex-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17868:1" rel="noopener">Spindex Industries (SPE SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renew-energy-global-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37038:1" rel="noopener">ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soft99-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18486:1" rel="noopener">Soft99 Corp (4464 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carenet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4001:1" rel="noopener">Carenet Inc (2150 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Seven West Media (SWM AU)'s, Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP), and Spindex Industries (SPE SP).
Key updates/news took place on ReNew Energy Global (RNW US), Soft99 Corp (4464 JP), and Carenet Inc (2150 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soft99, Seven West Media, ReNew Energy Global, Spindex Industries

<ul>
<li>For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For Sep 2025, nine new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of only ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~56%, with a year-to-date average of ~48%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), 2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>Treasury yields jumped yesterday, led by the short-end, as a stronger than expected nonfarm payrolls report drove traders to exit bets on a July rate cut.</li>
<li>As of yesterday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in an almost zero chance of a rate decrease in July, along with 51 bps of cuts by year-end (vs. 65 bps as of Wednesday).</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST rose 10 bps to 3.88%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 7 bps at 4.35%. </li>
</ul>


Treasury yields jumped yesterday, led by the short-end, as a stronger than expected nonfarm payrolls report drove traders to exit bets on a July rate cut.
As of yesterday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in an almost zero chance of a rate decrease in July, along with 51 bps of cuts by year-end (vs. 65 bps as of Wednesday).
The yield on the 2Y UST rose 10 bps to 3.88%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 7 bps at 4.35%. 


Trung Nguyen

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics, Tata Motors, ReNew Energy</li>
<li>US treasury yields rose for a second day, with the curve steepening despite good overall demand for an auction of 20Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.97%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 5 bps at 4.45%.</li>
<li>Equities advanced on news that Iran was asking Gulf states to mediate a ceasefire with Israel. The S&amp;P 500 increased 0.9% to 6,033, while the Nasdaq climbed 1.5% to 19,701.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics, Tata Motors, ReNew Energy
US treasury yields rose for a second day, with the curve steepening despite good overall demand for an auction of 20Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 2 bps to 3.97%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 5 bps at 4.45%.
Equities advanced on news that Iran was asking Gulf states to mediate a ceasefire with Israel. The S&amp;P 500 increased 0.9% to 6,033, while the Nasdaq climbed 1.5% to 19,701.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Fosun International, Pakuwon Jati, Adani Green Energy, ReNew Energy</li>
<li>The US and China are set to commence trade talks in Switzerland this weekend. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will travel to Switzerland later this week to meet with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter, and also meet Chinese officials to discuss economic and trade matters, according to separate announcements by the Treasury Department and Office of the Trade Representative.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland during May 9-12th, according to China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Fosun International, Pakuwon Jati, Adani Green Energy, ReNew Energy
The US and China are set to commence trade talks in Switzerland this weekend. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will travel to Switzerland later this week to meet with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter, and also meet Chinese officials to discuss economic and trade matters, according to separate announcements by the Treasury Department and Office of the Trade Representative.
Meanwhile, Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng will visit Switzerland during May 9-12th, according to China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs.


India

ReNew Energy Global is a decarbonization solutions company and a leading independent power producer, primarily focused on utility-scale wind, solar, and hydro energy projects in India. The company also provides clean energy solutions through digitalization, storage, carbon market services, and manufacturing of solar panels and modules. It was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.

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ReNew Energy Global (RNW US)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soft99, Seven West Media, ReNew Energy Global, Spindex Industries

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2025 Wrap: ReNew Energy Global, Digital Hold., Mandom, Paramount Bed, Spindex

For the month of Sept, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$2bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

Treasury yields jumped yesterday, led by the short-end, as a stronger than expected nonfarm payrolls report drove traders to exit bets on a July...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Biocon Biologics, Tata Motors, ReNew Energy

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Fosun International, Pakuwon Jati, Adani Green...

Lucror Analytics

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