European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.3%); GBL, 39% (vs. 38.1%); Heineken Holding, 17.3% (vs 16.7%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 4.7% (vs. 1.4%); Investor B, 8.3% (vs. 6.1%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 41.1% (vs. 45.4%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.5% (vs. to 24.9%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.3%); GBL, 39% (vs. 38.1%); Heineken Holding, 17.3% (vs 16.7%); 
Industrivärden C, 4.7% (vs. 1.4%); Investor B, 8.3% (vs. 6.1%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 41.1% (vs. 45.4%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 22.5% (vs. to 24.9%).
What seems interesting: Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April'24 Report

<ul>
<li>The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during March. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.3% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 38.15 (vs. 37.7%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 16.5%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 1.4% (vs. 4.4%); Investor B, 6.1% (vs. 5.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.4% (vs. 43.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 24.9% (vs. 25.6%), and on 26 March reached 27.7%.</li>
<li>What seems interesting: listed assets vs. Industrivärden C and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).</li>
</ul>


The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during March. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 47.3% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 38.15 (vs. 37.7%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 16.5%); 
Industrivärden C, 1.4% (vs. 4.4%); Investor B, 6.1% (vs. 5.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 45.4% (vs. 43.7%). Rio DLC spread tightened to 24.9% (vs. 25.6%), and on 26 March reached 27.7%.
What seems interesting: listed assets vs. Industrivärden C and the Rio DLC (long RIO LN/short RIO AU).


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our insight 2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners garnered significant interest in late 2023, we hereby provide another update on our favorite junior copper names.</li>
<li>Copper prices have started to tick up (+16% YTD) on squeezed global supply and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd-832e22a7-7a1d-49cf-b992-c6347084cbf8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21840:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP LN)</a>  making an offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anglo-american-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21798:1" rel="noopener">Anglo American (AAL LN)</a>.</li>
<li>Entree Resources (ETG CN) has performed strongest +29% while Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) has been a laggard at -12% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Our insight 2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners garnered significant interest in late 2023, we hereby provide another update on our favorite junior copper names.
Copper prices have started to tick up (+16% YTD) on squeezed global supply and BHP Group Ltd (BHP LN)  making an offer for Anglo American (AAL LN).
Entree Resources (ETG CN) has performed strongest +29% while Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY) has been a laggard at -12% YTD.


Junior Copper Miners: Many Juniors Are Lagging Copper Price YTD

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);</li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have mainly widened during December. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.1% (vs. 47.1%); GBL, 36.6% (vs. 34.9%); Heineken Holding, 16.7% (vs. 14.5%);
Industrivärden C, 5.4% (vs.4.9%); Investor B, 13.5% (vs. 14.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 37.1% (vs. 39.9%).  The spread of Rio DLC widened to 24.2% (vs.17.2%).
What seems interesting: in holding trades, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

<ul>
<li>The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during September. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.2% (vs. 46.6%); GBL, 35.3% (vs. 36.2%); Heineken Holding, 14.5% (vs. 17.9%); </li>
<li>Industrivärden C, 7.4% (vs. 7.8%); Investor B, 15.4% (vs.  16.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 41.1% (vs. 41.5%). The spread of Rio DLC tightened to 15.8% (vs. 17.8%).</li>
<li>What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.</li>
</ul>


The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during September. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 49.2% (vs. 46.6%); GBL, 35.3% (vs. 36.2%); Heineken Holding, 14.5% (vs. 17.9%); 
Industrivärden C, 7.4% (vs. 7.8%); Investor B, 15.4% (vs.  16.6%); Porsche Automobile Holding, 41.1% (vs. 41.5%). The spread of Rio DLC tightened to 15.8% (vs. 17.8%).
What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed assets, Porsche SE/vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC: long RIO LN/short RIO AU.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September’23 Report

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April'24 Report

The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. What seems interesting: Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Junior Copper Miners: Many Juniors Are Lagging Copper Price YTD

BHP's bid for Anglo American has woken up generalist investors to the looming copper deficit forecast later this decade.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September’23 Report

The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during September. What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April'24 Report

The Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos mainly widened during April. What seems interesting: Porsche SE vs. listed assets and the Rio DLC (long RIO...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'24 Report

​Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Junior Copper Miners: Many Juniors Are Lagging Copper Price YTD

BHP's bid for Anglo American has woken up generalist investors to the looming copper deficit forecast later this decade.

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: December’23 Report

​Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: September’23 Report

The discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during September. What seems interesting: holding trades, Investor B vs. listed...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos widened in March, with notable changes in C.F.Alba, GBL, Heineken Holding, Investor B, and Porsche Automobile...

Discounts to NAV for covered holdcos have mainloy widened during December. What seems interesting: Porsche Automobile Holding and Rio DLC.