Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore prices rose after China tightened controls on key BHP grades, though a temporary easing for Jimblebar deliveries softened near-term supply concerns.</li>
<li>Momentum signals suggest the 65%/IODEX spread selloff may be overstretched, creating scope for a near-term technical rebound as downside pressure fades.</li>
<li>The DCE-SGX spread is losing momentum and trend support, suggesting continued downside risk unless prices reclaim key moving averages near term.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore prices rose after China tightened controls on key BHP grades, though a temporary easing for Jimblebar deliveries softened near-term supply concerns.
Momentum signals suggest the 65%/IODEX spread selloff may be overstretched, creating scope for a near-term technical rebound as downside pressure fades.
The DCE-SGX spread is losing momentum and trend support, suggesting continued downside risk unless prices reclaim key moving averages near term.


Iron Ore’s Outlook Turns Constructive as Supply Signals and Mill Activity Improve

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Hitachi Construction Machinery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

<ul>
<li>Post-Holiday liquidity provided the spark, but the decisive catalyst is rising blast furnace ramp-ups, pointing to improving steel demand fundamentals across China.</li>
<li>BHP lifted iron ore output despite CMRG restrictions, with management confident a workable solution will emerge. </li>
<li>Managed money participants turning net short in iron ore reflects growing downside conviction, as investors question whether demand can absorb still-ample supply.</li>
</ul>


Post-Holiday liquidity provided the spark, but the decisive catalyst is rising blast furnace ramp-ups, pointing to improving steel demand fundamentals across China.
BHP lifted iron ore output despite CMRG restrictions, with management confident a workable solution will emerge. 
Managed money participants turning net short in iron ore reflects growing downside conviction, as investors question whether demand can absorb still-ample supply.


Iron Ore Tug-Of-War: China Liquidity Return Vs. Managed Money Short Buildup

<ul>
<li>Iron ore declined as traders cut positions before Lunar New Year, while near-record Chinese inventories and softer mill activity weighed on demand.</li>
<li>BHP delivered strong H1 performance, with revenue and earnings rising sharply, while an above-consensus dividend signalled strong cash generation and shareholder returns. </li>
<li>Bearish momentum is intensifying as MACD weakens further, volatility expands, and prices remain firmly pinned to the lower Bollinger Band.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore declined as traders cut positions before Lunar New Year, while near-record Chinese inventories and softer mill activity weighed on demand.
BHP delivered strong H1 performance, with revenue and earnings rising sharply, while an above-consensus dividend signalled strong cash generation and shareholder returns. 
Bearish momentum is intensifying as MACD weakens further, volatility expands, and prices remain firmly pinned to the lower Bollinger Band.


Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

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CX Daily: How Gutter Oil Became a Prized Fuel for International Airlines 

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Iron Ore’s Outlook Turns Constructive as Supply Signals and Mill Activity Improve

Port inventories edge higher, while blast furnace restarts and BHP’s grade restrictions could gradually tighten market balance in coming weeks.

Mint Finance

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Tug-Of-War: China Liquidity Return Vs. Managed Money Short Buildup

Iron ore futures slipped by 1.4% last week, then rebounded after blast furnaces ramp up and post-holiday liquidity push. Still, the narrative is...

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Iron ore markets face soft Chinese demand, miner disruptions, and entrenched technical weakness signaling sustained downside risk.

Mint Finance

CX Daily: How Gutter Oil Became a Prized Fuel for International Airlines

TOP STORIES Cover Story: How Gutter Oil Became a Prized Fuel for International Airlines Once reviled as a public health menace in China, “gutter...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Iron Ore’s Outlook Turns Constructive as Supply Signals and Mill Activity Improve

Port inventories edge higher, while blast furnace restarts and BHP’s grade restrictions could gradually tighten market balance in coming weeks.

Mint Finance

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Iron Ore Tug-Of-War: China Liquidity Return Vs. Managed Money Short Buildup

Iron ore futures slipped by 1.4% last week, then rebounded after blast furnaces ramp up and post-holiday liquidity push. Still, the narrative is...

Mint Finance

Iron Ore Retreat Extends as Seasonal Lull Meets Structural Selling Pressure

Iron ore markets face soft Chinese demand, miner disruptions, and entrenched technical weakness signaling sustained downside risk.

Mint Finance

CX Daily: How Gutter Oil Became a Prized Fuel for International Airlines

TOP STORIES Cover Story: How Gutter Oil Became a Prized Fuel for International Airlines Once reviled as a public health menace in China, “gutter...

Caixin Global

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.