Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<p>The prospective <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-resources-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22202:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Resources (VED LN)</a> Delisting Offer for its subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> is nearing its end-game.</p>
<p>In my last insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-delisting-offer-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42260" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING</a> I suggested that Vedanta Limited was a short-timer. I expect it is now very much one. I expect an Approval In-Principle from the Exchange shortly, if not imminently.</p>
<p>For a variety of reasons, the shares actually closed down at INR 125.95 - down INR 2.00 from the price at which they were trading 18 August, having visited the mid INR 130s in the interim. </p>
<p>The reporting of the "book value" of Vedanta Limited at INR 89.38/share this past week by parent Vedanta Resources is something of a farce, albeit one grounded in a legal technicality. Investors and traders who watched the Vedanta share price fall after that, then continue to fall into the end of the week because of US tech valuation and options shenanigans have had the opportunity to buy or add to a position more inexpensively than they should have expected. </p>
<p>As of now, the parent has raised approximately US$3.15bn in funds explicitly for the take-private but there is more money on tap and investors should understand the parameters which exist or have been explained. This event is big and interesting and should still hold more value for investors, but it is not without risk. </p>
<p>More on the money, timing, legal, and risk parameters below.</p>
<hr>
<p>Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.</p>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="3" style="width: 724.8px;">
<h3>Relevant Insights To Date</h3>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;"><strong>Date</strong></td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;"><strong>Theme or Ticker</strong></td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;"><strong>Insight Title</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">2019</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Indian M&amp;A Guide</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-india-m-a-guide-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:30885" rel="noopener">Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">24 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Delisting Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/indian-delisting-exit-offers-know-your-process-and-the-games-played" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39683" rel="noopener">Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">19 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Failed Exit Offers</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/failed-exit-offers-in-india-lessons-for-vedl-adani-and-hexw" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40492" rel="noopener">Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW?</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">27 May 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedanta-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:514:1" rel="noopener">Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN)</a> </td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-how-it-goes-from-here" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:39761" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">22 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Vedanta Limited</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-delisting-offer-opportunities-and-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40528" rel="noopener">Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">25 Jun 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Vedanta Limited</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/vedanta-buyout-loan-huge-hindustan-zinc-div-but-may-change-vedanta-rbb-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40653" rel="noopener">Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">14 Jul 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Vedanta Limited</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-discovered-price" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41236" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price</a> </td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 72px;">18 Aug 2020</td>
<td style="width: 134.4px;">Vedanta Limited</td>
<td style="width: 476.8px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/putting-sightlines-on-the-vedanta-delisting-offer-timing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42260" rel="noopener">Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING</a> </td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

The prospective Vedanta Resources (VED LN) Delisting Offer for its subsidiary Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) is nearing its end-game.
In my last insight Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING I suggested that Vedanta Limited was a short-timer. I expect it is now very much one. I expect an Approval In-Principle from the Exchange shortly, if not imminently.
For a variety of reasons, the shares actually closed down at INR 125.95 - down INR 2.00 from the price at which they were trading 18 August, having visited the mid INR 130s in the interim. 
The reporting of the "book value" of Vedanta Limited at INR 89.38/share this past week by parent Vedanta Resources is something of a farce, albeit one grounded in a legal technicality. Investors and traders who watched the Vedanta share price fall after that, then continue to fall into the end of the week because of US tech valuation and options shenanigans have had the opportunity to buy or add to a position more inexpensively than they should have expected. 
As of now, the parent has raised approximately US$3.15bn in funds explicitly for the take-private but there is more money on tap and investors should understand the parameters which exist or have been explained. This event is big and interesting and should still hold more value for investors, but it is not without risk. 
More on the money, timing, legal, and risk parameters below.

Insights previously published in the timeline of the Vedanta Delisting Offer are listed below.




Relevant Insights To Date



Date
Theme or Ticker
Insight Title


2019
Indian M&amp;A Guide

Quiddity India M&amp;A Guide 2019 


24 May 2020
Delisting Offers

Indian Delisting/Exit Offers - Know Your Process and The Games Played 


19 Jun 2020
Failed Exit Offers

Failed Exit Offers in India: Lessons for VEDL, ADANI, and HEXW? 


27 May 2020

Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) 

Vedanta Delisting Offer - How It Goes From Here 


22 Jun 2020
Vedanta Limited

Vedanta Delisting Offer: Opportunities and Timing 


25 Jun 2020
Vedanta Limited

Vedanta Buyout Loan = HUGE Hindustan Zinc Div But May Change Vedanta RBB Timing 


14 Jul 2020
Vedanta Limited

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Discovered Price 


18 Aug 2020
Vedanta Limited

Putting Sightlines on the Vedanta Delisting Offer TIMING 




Australia

Rio Tinto PLC operates as a mining company. The Company focuses on mining for aluminum, borates, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, salt, and zircon. Rio Tinto serves clients worldwide.

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Rio Tinto (RIO US)

Vedanta: Reaching The End Game

The prospective Vedanta Resources (VED LN) Delisting Offer for its subsidiary Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) is nearing its end-game. In my last insight...

Travis Lundy

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