Chairman, sgtradex

Tan Chin-Hwee

Chairman

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I have had the highest respect of SFC  but it may be a dark day for those who engage in the practice of financial research and due diligence with the controversial lawsuit by the regulator SFC in HK against the rating agency Moody's for their piece on China.Lawsuit come in just in time for the movie "10 Years" to achieve the top Movie Award-maybe the producers should have another segment in the Movie about Hong Kong's days as an international financial centre in the past to now a Chinese…

I have had the highest respect of SFC  but it may be a dark day for those who engage in the practice of financial research and due diligence with the controversial lawsuit by the regulator SFC in HK against the rating agency Moody's for their piece on China.Lawsuit come in just in time for the movie "10 Years" to achieve the top Movie Award-maybe the producers should have another segment in the Movie about Hong Kong's days as an international financial centre in the past to now a Chinese…

Moody's Vs SFC - A Dark Day for Hong Kong?

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>UST yields declined by 5-6 bps across the curve yesterday, as the market further firmed up expectations of a 25 bp Fed rate cut in September.</li>
<li>As of yesterday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in a 26 bp rate cut next month and 64 bps of rate cuts for the remainder of 2025.</li>
<li>The yields on the 2Y UST and 10Y UST both declined 6 bps to 3.68% and 4.23%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


UST yields declined by 5-6 bps across the curve yesterday, as the market further firmed up expectations of a 25 bp Fed rate cut in September.
As of yesterday, Fed-dated OIS were pricing in a 26 bp rate cut next month and 64 bps of rate cuts for the remainder of 2025.
The yields on the 2Y UST and 10Y UST both declined 6 bps to 3.68% and 4.23%, respectively. 


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This "rescue package" announcement late last month came as no surprise, as the alternative situation (liquidation/bankruptcy) for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a>, and the ensuing optics were not great.</li>
<li>Media reports are now coming in that NWD is reportedly seeking to sell - or accelerate the sale - of its real estate projects in China. </li>
<li>That makes sense. The refinancing afforded NWD some breathing space. However, to strengthen/bolster its balance sheet, NWD needs to offload assets. Yet pinning down a "fair" valuation will take time. </li>
</ul>


This "rescue package" announcement late last month came as no surprise, as the alternative situation (liquidation/bankruptcy) for New World Development (17 HK), and the ensuing optics were not great.
Media reports are now coming in that NWD is reportedly seeking to sell - or accelerate the sale - of its real estate projects in China. 
That makes sense. The refinancing afforded NWD some breathing space. However, to strengthen/bolster its balance sheet, NWD needs to offload assets. Yet pinning down a "fair" valuation will take time. 


NWD (17 HK): The Strings Attached To Latest Debt Financing

<ul>
<li>0.052x P/B! That's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a>'s current trailing  P/B ratio; roughly a quarter of the next comparable real estate peer.</li>
<li>
What's new? The latest decline followed an announcement on the 30th May that it would defer payments on its perpetual bonds.</li>
<li>NWD's 6.15% and 4.8% perpetuals fell to 23 cents and 15.5 cents on the dollar on 2nd June, suggesting the market is pricing in the possibility of a bust.</li>
</ul>


0.052x P/B! That's New World Development (17 HK)'s current trailing  P/B ratio; roughly a quarter of the next comparable real estate peer.

What's new? The latest decline followed an announcement on the 30th May that it would defer payments on its perpetual bonds.
NWD's 6.15% and 4.8% perpetuals fell to 23 cents and 15.5 cents on the dollar on 2nd June, suggesting the market is pricing in the possibility of a bust.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan, AAC Technologies</li>
<li>In the US, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that the inflation impact from tariffs could be transitory, if the duties are limited in scope and there is no retaliation from other countries.</li>
<li>He added that the Fed is taking a wait-and-see approach for now, albeit he believes rates will be lower 12-18 months from now if inflation remains contained in the long run. Separately, New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for the Fed's rate pause last week, stating that "the current modestly restrictive stance of monetary policy is entirely appropriate given the solid labour market and inflation still running somewhat above our 2% goal".</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan, AAC Technologies
In the US, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that the inflation impact from tariffs could be transitory, if the duties are limited in scope and there is no retaliation from other countries.
He added that the Fed is taking a wait-and-see approach for now, albeit he believes rates will be lower 12-18 months from now if inflation remains contained in the long run. Separately, New York Fed President John Williams expressed support for the Fed's rate pause last week, stating that "the current modestly restrictive stance of monetary policy is entirely appropriate given the solid labour market and inflation still running somewhat above our 2% goal".


Hong Kong

Road King Infrastructure is an investment holding company that develops, operates, and manages property projects and toll roads. It focuses on residential and commercial property development and sales in Mainland China and Hong Kong, alongside investing in and operating expressways in Mainland China and Indonesia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

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Road King Infrastructure (1098 HK)

Moody's Vs SFC - A Dark Day for Hong Kong?

I have had the highest respect of SFC but it may be a dark day for those who engage in the practice of financial research and due diligence with...

Tan Chin-Hwee

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

UST yields declined by 5-6 bps across the curve yesterday, as the market further firmed up expectations of a 25 bp Fed rate cut in September.

Lucror Analytics

NWD (17 HK): The Strings Attached To Latest Debt Financing

Landlords need to materially reduce rents to kickstart the retail/F&B sector, translating to lower yields, lower implied property valuations, and...

David Blennerhassett

NWD (17 HK): Markets Pricing In A Bust

0.05x P/B says it all. Conversely, NWD is so beaten up here, it's probably worth a punt if you think it will be rescued and/or perpetually supported.

David Blennerhassett

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: MGM China, Genting Berhad, Road King, Meituan,...

Lucror Analytics

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