Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.</li>
<li>Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.</li>
<li>Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.</li>
</ul>


Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions...watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.
Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi's continued to move up.
Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

<ul>
<li>NFP beat sends yields higher, sending US homebuilders down, positive JP banks.</li>
<li>Big week for Renesas should also see more upside for Rohm and Fuji Elec with Auto/industrial inflection.</li>
<li>Capcom announced its latest Resident Evil installment at the SGF, but further upside looks limited.</li>
</ul>


NFP beat sends yields higher, sending US homebuilders down, positive JP banks.
Big week for Renesas should also see more upside for Rohm and Fuji Elec with Auto/industrial inflection.
Capcom announced its latest Resident Evil installment at the SGF, but further upside looks limited.


Japan Morning Connection: Meta's $10bn Scale AI Investment to Buoy Sentiment for SPE

<ul>
<li>Comments from STMicro CEO reflect a similar positiveness from Onsemi management for auto and industrial chips.</li>
<li>Memory plays strong but still limited follow through for Japanese HDD component makers.</li>
<li>Plant Labs strong earnings highlights the importance of satellite images...positive IQPS, Synspective and Sky perfect.</li>
</ul>


Comments from STMicro CEO reflect a similar positiveness from Onsemi management for auto and industrial chips.
Memory plays strong but still limited follow through for Japanese HDD component makers.
Plant Labs strong earnings highlights the importance of satellite images...positive IQPS, Synspective and Sky perfect.


Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Semi Names Leading Tech Higher once Again

<ul>
<li>New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.</li>
<li>Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.</li>
<li>Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.</li>
</ul>


New smartphone offering from Micron lifts memory plays which may help EUV also.
Comments from Onsemi management that auto has turned the corner positive for Rohm, Fuji Elec, Renesas.
Kadokawa/Bandai Namco's Nightreign sells 3.5m copies in 4-days, plus a new DLC on the way.


Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Japan

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

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ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

Fossil fuel related names lead the way higher as restrictions on toxic gas emissions are rolled back. Hydrocarbon names also benefit.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Meta's $10bn Scale AI Investment to Buoy Sentiment for SPE

Negative for Socionext after Broadcom's numbers failed to impress. Rohm and Fuji Electric look as though they have more upside. Tech and Semi's led...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Power/Analog Semi Names Leading Tech Higher once Again

Onsemi +6.1% setting a good tone for JP peers. Japaenese satallite names performing well ahead of Japan's MoD announcement.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Coreweave +25% and Numbers from HP Enterprise Sets Positive Semi Tone

Kadokawa and Bandai Namco attractive as longs, may be increased focus on derivative wire and cable plays as well as Japan's EUV related.

Andrew Jackson

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