Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>STM adds to the gloom for power semis after surprise loss and -16% drop. Fuji Elec and Renesas report today in Japan.</li>
<li>Dow -18% after tariff uncertainty hist exports sending peers lower. Watch Shin Etsu despite its more PVC focus.</li>
<li>Intel's new CEO struggling to turn the ship around with a competitive AI offering still a ways off.</li>
</ul>


STM adds to the gloom for power semis after surprise loss and -16% drop. Fuji Elec and Renesas report today in Japan.
Dow -18% after tariff uncertainty hist exports sending peers lower. Watch Shin Etsu despite its more PVC focus.
Intel's new CEO struggling to turn the ship around with a competitive AI offering still a ways off.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape for Semi's with AI up and Power and Industrial Down Further

<ul>
<li>Big capex plans for Google and good numbers for SK Hynix setting strong tone for AI related.</li>
<li>Momo names slid yesterday, although Ishiba heading for door may pressure heavies further.</li>
<li>Autos squeezed hard yesterday, but there should be more upside for names with elevated SI still.</li>
</ul>


Big capex plans for Google and good numbers for SK Hynix setting strong tone for AI related.
Momo names slid yesterday, although Ishiba heading for door may pressure heavies further.
Autos squeezed hard yesterday, but there should be more upside for names with elevated SI still.


Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

<ul>
<li>Stargate delays hitting semi-caps, while Texas Instruments cautious tone hitting power-semi's after hours.</li>
<li>Medical tech solution names IQVIA and Medpace surge may aid M3.</li>
<li>DR Hortons's numbers beat sparking enormous short squeeze for Home Builders - Sumitomo Forestry to follow.</li>
</ul>


Stargate delays hitting semi-caps, while Texas Instruments cautious tone hitting power-semi's after hours.
Medical tech solution names IQVIA and Medpace surge may aid M3.
DR Hortons's numbers beat sparking enormous short squeeze for Home Builders - Sumitomo Forestry to follow.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Announces 15% Tariffs on Japan but Details Remain Scarce

<ul>
<li>LDP was trounced on Sunday, but the yen is already starting to pare weakness which priced in ahead.</li>
<li>Power semi's may be under pressure with NXP miss after-market and Stellantis surprise loss yesterday.</li>
<li>Microsoft reeling from massive cyber attack positive for security software including Trend Micro.</li>
</ul>


LDP was trounced on Sunday, but the yen is already starting to pare weakness which priced in ahead.
Power semi's may be under pressure with NXP miss after-market and Stellantis surprise loss yesterday.
Microsoft reeling from massive cyber attack positive for security software including Trend Micro.


Japan Morning Connection: Ishiba's Expected Defeat Already Showing Limited Reaction from Markets

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After the close today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> announced that large holder (and original PE owner) KKR HKE Investment LP would sell down 30mm shares or 12.88% of shares out.</li>
<li>This is not expected, but also not unexpected - it's exactly a year since the first selldown. There is a decent-sized short position, and it isn't a huge offering.</li>
<li>This changes two aspects of the future supply/demand balance. Both are important for how this trades in coming months.</li>
</ul>


After the close today, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) announced that large holder (and original PE owner) KKR HKE Investment LP would sell down 30mm shares or 12.88% of shares out.
This is not expected, but also not unexpected - it's exactly a year since the first selldown. There is a decent-sized short position, and it isn't a huge offering.
This changes two aspects of the future supply/demand balance. Both are important for how this trades in coming months.


[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) Offering - Expect It Very Well Bid, and the Back End Squeezy

Japan

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

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ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Tape for Semi's with AI up and Power and Industrial Down Further

Big moves lower for power semi peers should see JP names lower, Intel failing to impress may follow through to Ibiden, IBM slumped but analyst...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

With reversal from momentum and Ishiba's resignation, defense names may drop further. Autos may have plenty more upside despite big moves yesterday.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Announces 15% Tariffs on Japan but Details Remain Scarce

Tech risk off with delays for Stargate. Texas Instruments cautious tone affects power-semi's. M3 may benefit from Medspace surge. DR Horton's beat...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Ishiba's Expected Defeat Already Showing Limited Reaction from Markets

Slight negative for power semis after NXP guidance missed. Cyber security names benefiting from aftermath of Microsoft's SharePoint being hacked.

Andrew Jackson

[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) Offering - Expect It Very Well Bid, and the Back End Squeezy

KKR - the largest holder - is selling just over 50% of its remaining holding in a US$600mm offering at a 7-8% discount. Expect it to be well over...

Travis Lundy

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