Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>US increases tariffs on tungsten, wafers, and polysilicon in Section 301 Trade Action against China by Trade Representative, impacting global trade.</li><li>Challenges facing semiconductor industry highlighted by Intel and Microchip cases under CHIPS Act, affecting technological development.</li><li>Apple and Broadcom collaborate on custom AI chip, enhancing ASIC capabilities, while Tesla resumes search for showrooms in India. Xiaomi aims for premium market in India as smartphone sales slow.</li></ul>

US increases tariffs on tungsten, wafers, and polysilicon in Section 301 Trade Action against China by Trade Representative, impacting global trade.Challenges facing semiconductor industry highlighted by Intel and Microchip cases under CHIPS Act, affecting technological development.Apple and Broadcom collaborate on custom AI chip, enhancing ASIC capabilities, while Tesla resumes search for showrooms in India. Xiaomi aims for premium market in India as smartphone sales slow.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Dec-2024): US tariffs up on tungsten, wafers, polysilicon in Trade Action vs China

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semi-cap names continuing to jump on looser US restrictions than expected.</li>
<li>See attached table for short interest levels for Japan SPE plays.</li>
<li>Gelsinger out and uncertainty up, although JP suppliers will see minimal reaction.</li>
</ul>


US semi-cap names continuing to jump on looser US restrictions than expected.
See attached table for short interest levels for Japan SPE plays.
Gelsinger out and uncertainty up, although JP suppliers will see minimal reaction.


Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

<ul>
<li>Tech strong despite market rotating out of NVDA, with EV related gaining on Cali plan.</li>
<li>Home builders surge on Bessent's nomination; expect a strong follow through for JP related plays.</li>
<li>Activists are on the hunt in Japan - how long before someone starts building a stake in Kyocera?</li>
</ul>


Tech strong despite market rotating out of NVDA, with EV related gaining on Cali plan.
Home builders surge on Bessent's nomination; expect a strong follow through for JP related plays.
Activists are on the hunt in Japan - how long before someone starts building a stake in Kyocera?


Japan Morning Connection: Time to Revisit the Most Bungled Conglomerate Left Standing?

<ul>
<li>Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.</li>
<li>Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.</li>
<li>No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.</li>
</ul>


Nidec may be back in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and heating issues for NVDA.
Tesla and power-semis are both up on the self-driving U-turn.
No bid for JP SPE's recently, although Lasertec may still have further to fall.


Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a> March rebalance ends in January. There could be one outright change and one or two others driven by sector balance.</li>
<li>Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 8.2-20.5x ADV (8.75%-24.5% of real float) and sell between 9-38x ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing</a>'s PAF could see a double reduction to keep the stock weight capped at 10%. There will be huge passive selling leading to funding inflows for other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the Nikkei 225 Index March rebalance ends in January. There could be one outright change and one or two others driven by sector balance.
Depending on the changes, passive trackers will need to buy between 8.2-20.5x ADV (8.75%-24.5% of real float) and sell between 9-38x ADV on the deletions.

Fast Retailing's PAF could see a double reduction to keep the stock weight capped at 10%. There will be huge passive selling leading to funding inflows for other index constituents.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

Japan

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

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ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Dec-2024): US tariffs up on tungsten, wafers, polysilicon in Trade Action vs China

US raises tariffs on specific materials from China, Intel and Microchip cases test CHIPS Act, Apple and Broadcom team up on AI chip, Tesla...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Time to Revisit the Most Bungled Conglomerate Left Standing?

Tech strong despite market shift away from NVDA,. Home builders surge on Bessent's nomination, Kyocera ripe for activist involvement.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

There should be 1 change, could be 3 due to sector balance. The impact on the potential changes varies from 8-38x ADV. Fast Retailing could see a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (13-Dec-2024): US tariffs up on tungsten, wafers, polysilicon in Trade Action vs China

US raises tariffs on specific materials from China, Intel and Microchip cases test CHIPS Act, Apple and Broadcom team up on AI chip, Tesla...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Japan Morning Connection: Brief Respite for SPE Before Trump Likely Ratchets Higher from Jan

​US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Time to Revisit the Most Bungled Conglomerate Left Standing?

​Tech strong despite market shift away from NVDA,. Home builders surge on Bessent's nomination, Kyocera ripe for activist involvement.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: JP Set for a More Upbeat Start After Tech Rebound

​Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Preview (Mar 2025): Ranking, Capping, Funding & Other Changes

There should be 1 change, could be 3 due to sector balance. The impact on the potential changes varies from 8-38x ADV. Fast Retailing could see a...

Brian Freitas

US semi-cap names continue to jump on looser restrictions. Uncertainty up with Gelsinger out, but minimal impact expected on JP suppliers. See...

Tech strong despite market shift away from NVDA,. Home builders surge on Bessent's nomination, Kyocera ripe for activist involvement.

Nidec may be in focus on a lifeline for SMCI and NVDA's heating issues, Tesla and power-semis up on self-driving support, no bid for JP SPE's and...