Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are currently 44  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Four new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koufu-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27271:1" rel="noopener">Koufu Group Ltd (KOUFU SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesco-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16253:1" rel="noopener">Mesco Inc (1737 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-asset-marketing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20575:1" rel="noopener">Japan Asset Marketing (8922 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isolite-insulating-products" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20404:1" rel="noopener">Isolite Insulating Products (5358 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 44  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Four new deals this week: Koufu Group Ltd (KOUFU SP), Mesco Inc (1737 JP), Japan Asset Marketing (8922 JP), and Isolite Insulating Products (5358 JP).
Keys updates took place for: Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) and Razer Inc (1337 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Koufu Group, Mesco, Japan Asset, Isolite, Shinsei Bank, Razer

<ul>
<li>Dominus Capital, a vehicle controlled by Koufu's chief executive Pang Lim and his wife, executive director Ng Hoon Tien, is offering S$0.77/share, a 15.8% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Jun Yuan Holdings, a Pang and Ng entity, holds 77.41% of shares out, and has provided an irrevocable undertaking. The Offer is conditional on a minimum acceptance condition of 90%. </li>
<li>The Offer document is expected to be dispatched within 14-21 days from yesterday's announcement, with an Offer period of at least 28 days.</li>
</ul>


Dominus Capital, a vehicle controlled by Koufu's chief executive Pang Lim and his wife, executive director Ng Hoon Tien, is offering S$0.77/share, a 15.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
Jun Yuan Holdings, a Pang and Ng entity, holds 77.41% of shares out, and has provided an irrevocable undertaking. The Offer is conditional on a minimum acceptance condition of 90%. 
The Offer document is expected to be dispatched within 14-21 days from yesterday's announcement, with an Offer period of at least 28 days.


Koufu (KOUFU SP): Founder-Led Conditional Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s extreme bifurcation with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>, widens even more. The holding in Oriental Land is now worth 275% of Keisei's market cap. </li>
<li>The fact that we don't KNOW what Murakami-san did and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> shares fell in large volume Friday AND pro-ration was 100% will lead to higher-than-expectd volatility.</li>
<li>The placement, the pledge, the connected party transaction, and a large parcel of shares moving into CCASS (ostensibly the founder/chairman's), suggest all is not well with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8375:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Property (813 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s extreme bifurcation with Oriental Land (4661 JP), widens even more. The holding in Oriental Land is now worth 275% of Keisei's market cap. 
The fact that we don't KNOW what Murakami-san did and Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) shares fell in large volume Friday AND pro-ration was 100% will lead to higher-than-expectd volatility.
The placement, the pledge, the connected party transaction, and a large parcel of shares moving into CCASS (ostensibly the founder/chairman's), suggest all is not well with Shimao Property (813 HK). 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, Shinsei Bank, Shimao, Sawada, Virtus, Senex Energy

<ul>
<li>There are currently 47  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus (VRT AU)</a>'s Offer from BGH; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-tourism-leisure-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24305:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Tourism (ATL AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tourism-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2787:1" rel="noopener">Tourism (THL NZ)</a>'s merger; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-transport-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Transport (SHTF IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-city-union-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2718:1" rel="noopener">Shriram City (SCUF IN)</a> merger.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-service-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34884:1" rel="noopener">First Service Holding (2107 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-super-market-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15519:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Super Market (9919 JP)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a> also firmed its Offer with Posco.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 47  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three new deals this week: Virtus (VRT AU)'s Offer from BGH; Apollo Tourism (ATL AU) / Tourism (THL NZ)'s merger; Shriram Transport (SHTF IN) / Shriram City (SCUF IN) merger.
Keys updates took place for: Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), First Service Holding (2107 HK), and Kansai Super Market (9919 JP). Senex Energy (SXY AU) also firmed its Offer with Posco.


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Virtus Health, Senex Energy, Shinsei Bank, Shiriam, Kansai Super

<ul>
<li>The Offeror consortium, led by Teo Hong Lim, chairman, and CEO of Roxy-Pacific, is offering S$0.485/share, a 19.8% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer price will NOT be increased. </li>
<li>The Offer is conditional on the Offeror holding not less than 90% of shares outstanding. Irrevocables total 77% of shares out.</li>
<li>With the Offer Document expected to be dispatched within 21 days, payment may be possible in early February. </li>
</ul>


The Offeror consortium, led by Teo Hong Lim, chairman, and CEO of Roxy-Pacific, is offering S$0.485/share, a 19.8% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer price will NOT be increased. 
The Offer is conditional on the Offeror holding not less than 90% of shares outstanding. Irrevocables total 77% of shares out.
With the Offer Document expected to be dispatched within 21 days, payment may be possible in early February. 


Roxy-Pacific (ROXY SP): Founder-Led Offer Is Now Firm

Singapore

Roxy-Pacific Holdings is a Singapore-based property and hospitality group primarily engaged in property development, hotel ownership, and property investment. The company develops small-to-mid sized residential and commercial properties and owns and operates hotels such as Grand Mercure Singapore Roxy and Noku Kyoto. Roxy-Pacific Holdings was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Roxy-Pacific (ROXY SP)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Koufu Group, Mesco, Japan Asset, Isolite, Shinsei Bank, Razer

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

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Koufu (KOUFU SP): Founder-Led Conditional Offer

This Offer is all locked up. Although the Offer Price has not been declared final, providing the possibility of a bump, this is not a particularly...

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, Shinsei Bank, Shimao, Sawada, Virtus, Senex Energy

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Virtus Health, Senex Energy, Shinsei Bank, Shiriam, Kansai Super

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Roxy-Pacific (ROXY SP): Founder-Led Offer Is Now Firm

This Offer is done. Trading at a gross/annualised return of 2.1%/14.3%, assuming payment early February payment. Not bad, however, this is not a...

David Blennerhassett

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