Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, $208.75 on IWM)</li>
<li>As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact.</li>
<li>We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to expect any meaningful near-term downside.</li>
</ul>


The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) continue to hold above short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs (currently 5966 on SPX, $526.50 on QQQ, $208.75 on IWM)
As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact.
We will need to see breakdowns below 20-day MA supports in order to expect any meaningful near-term downside.


20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM; Bullish Outlook Intact

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.8% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.2%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).</li><li>Energy Technology (12.8% of the index) was up 5.2%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was up 1.9%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.0% of the index) was up 1.3%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: LEV, SPWR, BNRG, LOOP, VVPR, IRBT, FCEL, TGEN, FNI, ZAPP</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.8% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.2%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).Energy Technology (12.8% of the index) was up 5.2%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was up 1.9%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.0% of the index) was up 1.3%.Top 10 Performers: LEV, SPWR, BNRG, LOOP, VVPR, IRBT, FCEL, TGEN, FNI, ZAPP

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Aemetis (AMTX)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 5.9% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 5.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 4.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 6.8%).</li><li>Energy Technology (12.6% of the index) was up 10.4%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.4% of the index) was up 5.4%, ClimateTech Mining was up 2.9%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.7% of the index) was up 6.9%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: FL, AEVA, SPI, MVST, ACHR, LIS, SMR, TGEN, CLIR, TPIC</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 5.9% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 5.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 4.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 6.8%).Energy Technology (12.6% of the index) was up 10.4%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.4% of the index) was up 5.4%, ClimateTech Mining was up 2.9%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.7% of the index) was up 6.9%.Top 10 Performers: FL, AEVA, SPI, MVST, ACHR, LIS, SMR, TGEN, CLIR, TPIC

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on CGBS

<ul>
<li>The market remains relentlessly strong, shrugging off the latest "bearish" headline regarding Moody's U.S. debt downgrade on Friday.</li>
<li>This is exactly what we would expect to happen in a bull market, particularly during this "lockout rally," and helps confirm our bullish outlook.</li>
<li>Our outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500, while short-term gap support is at 5700-5785. We expect a test of all-time highs soon.</li>
</ul>


The market remains relentlessly strong, shrugging off the latest "bearish" headline regarding Moody's U.S. debt downgrade on Friday.
This is exactly what we would expect to happen in a bull market, particularly during this "lockout rally," and helps confirm our bullish outlook.
Our outlook will remain bullish as long as the SPX is above 5500, while short-term gap support is at 5700-5785. We expect a test of all-time highs soon.


Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto (MSTR, HOOD, BTDR) And Quantum (QBTS, IONQ, RGTI) Leading

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Market experiencing steepening yield curve, potentially indicating higher inflation and stronger growth</li><li>Stocks rallying, with significant moves in earnings yield and small caps</li><li>Asia and Europe markets up, Dow, S&amp;P, Nasdaq, and Russell all posting gains; Gold and Bitcoin down, Oil up, Vix down</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Market experiencing steepening yield curve, potentially indicating higher inflation and stronger growthStocks rallying, with significant moves in earnings yield and small capsAsia and Europe markets up, Dow, S&amp;P, Nasdaq, and Russell all posting gains; Gold and Bitcoin down, Oil up, Vix downThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Bitcoin, Buffett, and the Barbarians at the Gate | Ep. #020 - The New Barbarians Podcast

United States

The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of 135.00 as of December 31, 1986.

Russell 2000 Index (RTY INDEX)

20-Day MA Supports Holding on SPX, QQQ, IWM; Bullish Outlook Intact

20-Day MA Supports Holding on $SPX, $QQQ, and $IWM. As long as 20-day MA supports hold, our near-term bullish outlook that we have had since our 4...

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Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Aemetis (AMTX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.8% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.2%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).

Water Tower Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on CGBS

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 5.9% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 5.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 4.5%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 6.8%).

Water Tower Research

Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto (MSTR, HOOD, BTDR) And Quantum (QBTS, IONQ, RGTI) Leading

Expecting a Test of All-Time Highs; Crypto $MSTR $HOOD $BTDR $COIN and Quantum $QBTS $IONQ $RGTI $QUBT) Leading. Bullish outlook intact as long as...

Vermilion Research

Bitcoin, Buffett, and the Barbarians at the Gate | Ep. #020 - The New Barbarians Podcast

Alex Fleiss, CEO of Rebellion Research, discusses the current twist steepener regime in the market, with the yield curve steepening due to the...

William Mann