IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Miniso has launched its IPO at a price range of $16.50-18.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Miniso will raise net proceeds of $504.2 million. </p><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/miniso-group-ipo-initiation-chain-reaction" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Miniso presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to the global branded variety retail market which is driven by consumers’ increasing focus on product design and value for money. We opined that Miniso’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.</p></div></div></div>

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Miniso has launched its IPO at a price range of $16.50-18.50 per ADS. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, Miniso will raise net proceeds of $504.2 million. In our initiation note, we stated that setting aside the short-term negative impact due to COVID-19, Miniso presents a unique opportunity to gain exposure to the global branded variety retail market which is driven by consumers’ increasing focus on product design and value for money. We opined that Miniso’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives. Overall, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-d-i-y-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28430:1" rel="noopener">MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK)</a> is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Mr DIY has launched the roadshow for its long-awaited IPO to raise RM1.5 billion ($360 million). The institutional bookbuilding will run from 6 to 14 October. Pricing is set for 14 October with listing targeted for 26 October.   </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mr-d-i-y-group-ipo-initiation-bare-necessities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our initiation note</a>, we stated that with enviable exposure to the underpenetrated home improvement retail sector in Malaysia, Mr DIY seems to have a reasonable runway to maintain its high growth, high returns equity story. Mr DIY's latest prospectus details its 2019 and 1H20 results. Overall, with a commendable performance during the COVID-19 outbreak, we continue to believe that Mr DIY’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives.</p></div>

MR D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK) is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Mr DIY has launched the roadshow for its long-awaited IPO to raise RM1.5 billion ($360 million). The institutional bookbuilding will run from 6 to 14 October. Pricing is set for 14 October with listing targeted for 26 October.   In our initiation note, we stated that with enviable exposure to the underpenetrated home improvement retail sector in Malaysia, Mr DIY seems to have a reasonable runway to maintain its high growth, high returns equity story. Mr DIY's latest prospectus details its 2019 and 1H20 results. Overall, with a commendable performance during the COVID-19 outbreak, we continue to believe that Mr DIY’s fundamentals offer more positives than negatives.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p>“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China and used the “MINISO Retail Partner” (similar to a franchise model)  and “Distributor” models to rapidly scale-up the numbers of stores, both within China and overseas. Currently <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).</p>

“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China and used the “MINISO Retail Partner” (similar to a franchise model)  and “Distributor” models to rapidly scale-up the numbers of stores, both within China and overseas. Currently MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the leading variety retailer of lifestyle products globally with an aggregate GMV of RMB 19.0 billion (US$2.7 billion) and revenue of RMB 9.0 billion (US$1.3 billion).

MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29673:1" rel="noopener">MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US)</a> is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Branded variety retailers of lifestyle products target young consumers and the lifestyle products have a fashionable design, great functionality and affordable prices. Miniso sells products cross 11 major categories which are home decor, small electronics, textile, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care, snacks, fragrance and perfumes, and stationery &amp; gifts. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Miniso is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a> (5.4% shareholder) and Hillhouse Capital (5.4%). Miniso aims to raise $1 billion through an NYSE IPO, according to press reports. Overall, we believe that Miniso is well placed to capitalise on the post-COVID-19 recovery in retail consumption spend.</p></div>

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the global branded variety retail market in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Branded variety retailers of lifestyle products target young consumers and the lifestyle products have a fashionable design, great functionality and affordable prices. Miniso sells products cross 11 major categories which are home decor, small electronics, textile, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care, snacks, fragrance and perfumes, and stationery &amp; gifts. Miniso is backed by Tencent Holdings (700 HK) (5.4% shareholder) and Hillhouse Capital (5.4%). Miniso aims to raise $1 billion through an NYSE IPO, according to press reports. Overall, we believe that Miniso is well placed to capitalise on the post-COVID-19 recovery in retail consumption spend.

MINISO Group IPO Initiation: Chain Reaction

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Event-Driven

<p>Leading home centre group <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dcm-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13042:1" rel="noopener">Dcm Holdings (3050 JP)</a> announced it will acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimachu-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5235:1" rel="noopener">Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP)</a>, the seventh largest chain, in November. The move will catapult DCM back to the top of the ranking.</p>
<p>The deal could also provide a catalyst for further consolidation in a sector that’s long overdue for more after remaining static for much of the past 15 years. While the drugstore and homecentre sectors are very different, they do share one similarity: the leaders dominate in certain territories but none are true national retailers. In drugstores, national coverage through M&amp;A has been happening in the last two years but in homecentres only two firms are cross-regional.</p>
<p>While the leading 10 chains had a 65.5%, share and the top 30 more than 90% in FY2019, to scale effectively against competition from all sides, true national leaders will have to emerge.</p>
<p>The proposed takeover is also an expression of the current flux in the homecentre market as consumers increase further their consumption of home decoration and home improvement category. Although this is a long-term trend, homecentre retailers were slow to exploit this, leaving the field to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitori-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20386:1" rel="noopener">Nitori Holdings (9843 JP)</a> and other dedicated home decoration retailers.</p>
<p>There are now more signs of the sector leaders doing more to widen private label merchandise ranges to take a slice of this growing market, and some are even launching dedicated chains (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/targeting-nitori-cainz-follows-workman-s-success-into-homeware-retailing-with-style-factory-chain" target="_blank" rel="noopener">see this insight for a detailed look at the new threat to Nitori from Cainz</a>, the unlisted homecentre sector leader – at least until DCM absorbs Shimachu). See this separate insight for more on this. Shimachu will be a key help to DCM in targeting this market given its more consumer-oriented history.</p>
<p>I.e. this is not just another old-style Japan retail case of expansion for the sake of it, but a genuinely interesting and useful strategic deal.</p>

Leading home centre group Dcm Holdings (3050 JP) announced it will acquire Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP), the seventh largest chain, in November. The move will catapult DCM back to the top of the ranking.
The deal could also provide a catalyst for further consolidation in a sector that’s long overdue for more after remaining static for much of the past 15 years. While the drugstore and homecentre sectors are very different, they do share one similarity: the leaders dominate in certain territories but none are true national retailers. In drugstores, national coverage through M&amp;A has been happening in the last two years but in homecentres only two firms are cross-regional.
While the leading 10 chains had a 65.5%, share and the top 30 more than 90% in FY2019, to scale effectively against competition from all sides, true national leaders will have to emerge.
The proposed takeover is also an expression of the current flux in the homecentre market as consumers increase further their consumption of home decoration and home improvement category. Although this is a long-term trend, homecentre retailers were slow to exploit this, leaving the field to Nitori Holdings (9843 JP) and other dedicated home decoration retailers.
There are now more signs of the sector leaders doing more to widen private label merchandise ranges to take a slice of this growing market, and some are even launching dedicated chains (see this insight for a detailed look at the new threat to Nitori from Cainz, the unlisted homecentre sector leader – at least until DCM absorbs Shimachu). See this separate insight for more on this. Shimachu will be a key help to DCM in targeting this market given its more consumer-oriented history.
I.e. this is not just another old-style Japan retail case of expansion for the sake of it, but a genuinely interesting and useful strategic deal.

A New Era of Home Centre Consolidation Starts as DCM Buys Shimachu

Japan

RYOHIN KEIKAKU CO., LTD. is a retailer and wholesaler of Mujirushi Ryohin brand products, which were originally a generic private-brand product.  The Company's product line includes knitwear, food, and household items

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Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)

MINISO Group IPO: Valuation Insights

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the...

Arun George

Mr D.I.Y. Group IPO: Make Your Own

$mr dMr DIY is the largest home improvement retailer in Malaysia, with a revenue market share of 29.1% in 2019, according to Frost & Sullivan....

Arun George

MINISO IPO: Long Term Growth Prospects Secured By a Sustainable Competitive Advantage

“MINISO” is a globally recognized retail brand with a network of over 4,200 stores worldwide. The company opened its first store in 2013 in China...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

MINISO Group IPO Initiation: Chain Reaction

MINISO Group Holdings (MNSO US) is the largest global branded variety retailer of lifestyle products, with a 5.2% market share of the GMV of the...

Arun George

A New Era of Home Centre Consolidation Starts as DCM Buys Shimachu

Leading home centre group DCM announced it will acquire Shimachu, the seventh largest chain, in November. The move will catapult DCM back to the...

Michael Causton

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