Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.</li>
<li>Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.</li>
<li>Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. </li>
</ul>


Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.
Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.
Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. 


YG Entertainment: BabyMonster to Become the Next Black Pink?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. </li>
<li>Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.</li>
<li>Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. 
Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.
Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.


Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle (ALB US)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> tilt; Malteries Soufflet's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt (UMG AU)</a> Offer; Bain Capital's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia (EHE AU)</a> Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Albemarle (ALB US)'s Liontown Resources (LTR AU) tilt; Malteries Soufflet's United Malt (UMG AU) Offer; Bain Capital's Estia (EHE AU) Offer. 
Key updates took place for Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), andGolden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

<ul>
<li>Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).</li>
<li>The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. </li>
<li>At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. </li>
</ul>


Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).
The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. 
At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. 


SM Entertainment: Tender Offer Allocation Ratios Announced

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. </li>
<li>US$16bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."

Toyota Industries (6201 JP) admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. 
US$16bn of Meituan (3690 HK) shares from Tencent (700 HK) got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

South Korea

S.M.Entertainment Co. plans, produces, promotes, and markets Korean rock and roll music in several formats, such as compact discs (CD), concert tours, television productions, and music videos.  The Company also operates artist management business as well as licensing and copyright business from the company's music records.

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S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)

YG Entertainment: BabyMonster to Become the Next Black Pink?

Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg...

Douglas Kim

Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the...

Douglas Kim

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

SM Entertainment: Tender Offer Allocation Ratios Announced

The allocation ratio of SM Entertainment tender offer was 44.1%, which was relatively close to our estimate of 49%. We believe SM's shares are...

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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