Trump's Upside-Down Trade Policy Wrecks Alliances & Makes US "Adversaries" Smile, but He Has a Point
Trump's idea that "trade wars are easy to win" is true only in one narrow sense: the US, having the economy with the largest trade deficit, has...
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Week Ahead in Global Macro: Sintra, OPEC+, BOE/SNB/NB, BOT/BSP/BCB/Banxico, MSCI, Turkey Elections
Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in questions: Will ECB speakers/Sintra presenters...
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Fed's Hawkish Hike: Curve-Flattening Recession Risks Remain Despite the Slight Cut in the IOER
As the Fed's balance sheet shrinks, base money is declining and broad money supply (M2) has been rising at an anaemic 3.5-4.5% YoY pace for the...
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Dollar Shortage? Only for the Foolish
The chattering classes have two new themes, higher interest rates and quantitative tapering. The former, it is argued, is what is causing market...
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Post Summit Hurdles, Pivot Levels and Path to S&P 2,960
Risk correlations and post summit pivotsWe wanted to refresh near term risk points as we attempt to coordinate a USD/JPY top, bond price low, USD...
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