Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Clearly I was way too pessimistic on this deal. 60 days to secure PRC regulatory approvals appeared an unrealistic timeframe. However the pre-cons were secured in a magical 18 days. </li>
<li>Those pre-cons included NDRC, Mofcom and SAFE. Perhaps regulatory filings were lodged well before the Offer announcement. Or perhaps a small deal such as this garners less scrutiny.</li>
<li>In any event, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cm-hi-tech-cleanroom-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44057:1" rel="noopener">CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK)</a>'s Scheme is now considerably simpler/cleaner. Securing these PRC approvals may also provide a minor positive read across for other Hong Kong M&amp;A deals.</li>
</ul>


Clearly I was way too pessimistic on this deal. 60 days to secure PRC regulatory approvals appeared an unrealistic timeframe. However the pre-cons were secured in a magical 18 days. 
Those pre-cons included NDRC, Mofcom and SAFE. Perhaps regulatory filings were lodged well before the Offer announcement. Or perhaps a small deal such as this garners less scrutiny.
In any event, CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK)'s Scheme is now considerably simpler/cleaner. Securing these PRC approvals may also provide a minor positive read across for other Hong Kong M&amp;A deals.


CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK): Bearish To Bullish!

Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Event-Driven

Canvest Environmental Protection Group (0XC SW)

<ul>
<li>I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed this week: Schemes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cm-hi-tech-cleanroom-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44057:1" rel="noopener">CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK)</a>, and Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elematec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2866:1" rel="noopener">Elematec (2715 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 40 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed this week: Schemes for Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) and CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK), and Tender Offers for Elematec (2715 JP) and Nec Networks (1973 JP).
Key updates took place on: Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) and Capitol Health (CAJ AU).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Beijing Capital Grand, Elematec, Nec Networks, Hotel Property Invest, Canvest

<ul>
<li>For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of October 2024, 10 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in October was ~26%. The average premium YTD is ~42%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

<ul>
<li>SOE Beijing Capital Group has launched an Offer by way of a Scheme for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> (BCG) a commercial property developer in China.</li>
<li>HK$0.85/Share (best &amp; final) is the Cancellation Price, or a 46.55% premium to undisturbed. Irrevocables secured from 8.13% of the 37.92% held by disinterested shareholders on a fully diluted basis. </li>
<li>This looks done. All reg approvals appear to be locked in. The conditional long-stop is the 28 July 2025. That's a conservative timeline. </li>
</ul>


SOE Beijing Capital Group has launched an Offer by way of a Scheme for Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) (BCG) a commercial property developer in China.
HK$0.85/Share (best &amp; final) is the Cancellation Price, or a 46.55% premium to undisturbed. Irrevocables secured from 8.13% of the 37.92% held by disinterested shareholders on a fully diluted basis. 
This looks done. All reg approvals appear to be locked in. The conditional long-stop is the 28 July 2025. That's a conservative timeline. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Beijing Capital's HK$0.85/Share Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a> is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.</li>
<li>Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)'s roadmap is a solid response to where retailing is headed, both in Japan and elsewhere; while ACT's bid is just about carrying on as now.

ESR (1821 HK) is a non-binding proposal, no official terms, with a fragmented shareholder register. And this is before any opaque PRC regulatory conditions tacked on in a firm Offer.
Murakami-San is up to 23.5% of voting rights in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). He would probably need 30% to be able to threaten a board spill.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

China

Samson Holding Ltd. designs, manufactures, markets, and sells residential and commercial furniture, offering products for homes, hotels, and offices, along with procurement services. The company markets furniture under various brands including Universal Furniture, Miranda Kerr Home, and Baker. Founded in 1995, its headquarters are located in Jiashan, China.

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Samson (S9K GR)

CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK): Bearish To Bullish!

Good to see PRC reg approvals can be satisfied! This is trading at a 5.0%/16.8% gross/annualised spread, assuming late Feb payment. If small,...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Beijing Capital Grand, Elematec, Nec Networks, Hotel Property Invest, Canvest

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

For the month of Oct, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CM Hi-Tech (2115 HK): Bearish To Bullish!

Good to see PRC reg approvals can be satisfied! This is trading at a 5.0%/16.8% gross/annualised spread, assuming late Feb payment. If small,...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Beijing Capital Grand, Elematec, Nec Networks, Hotel Property Invest, Canvest

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2024: Arcadium, T Gaia, Elematec, NEC Network, MPHB, Sigma Health, Fuji Soft

For the month of Oct, 10 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): Beijing Capital's HK$0.85/Share Offer

This is a clean deal. Applying the long stop date, this is trading at a 14.9%/20% gross/annualised spread. If applying recent Hong Kong Scheme...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, ESR, Exedy, CMCDI, Shin Kong

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett