Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> has been rallying for quite a while in the last few weeks, and we have been bullish on the stock since the start of the year. </li>
<li>At the moment the stock is very overbought according to our model, we see potential for a pullback, possibly something larger than a buy the dip.</li>
<li>A 2 or even a 3 weeks correction should not be ruled out at this stage, 64700 is the limit support zone we are looking at, the short profit target.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has been rallying for quite a while in the last few weeks, and we have been bullish on the stock since the start of the year. 
At the moment the stock is very overbought according to our model, we see potential for a pullback, possibly something larger than a buy the dip.
A 2 or even a 3 weeks correction should not be ruled out at this stage, 64700 is the limit support zone we are looking at, the short profit target.


Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook : New Rally After Large Pullback?

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 11 - August 15.</li>
<li>
OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta (META US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-pref-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23591:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005935 KS)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> ,</li>
<li>
OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> </li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 11 - August 15.

OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), Meta (META US) , Samsung Electronics (005935 KS) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) ,

OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: BYD (1211 HK) , NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) 


Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 11 – August 15

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The FSS will review the subsidiary approval, with final approval expected from the FSC by early April. Market signals suggest a near-100% chance of Samsung Life getting the green light.</li>
<li>Samsung’s moves post-Lee Jae-yong’s Feb 3rd ruling signal a major pivot, setting up aggressive value-up plays across Samsung Life, Samsung Electronics, and Samsung C&amp;T.</li>
<li>Shoring up Samsung Life’s finances triggers a domino effect, positioning Samsung Electronics and Samsung C&amp;T to follow with their own shareholder-friendly moves.</li>
</ul>


The FSS will review the subsidiary approval, with final approval expected from the FSC by early April. Market signals suggest a near-100% chance of Samsung Life getting the green light.
Samsung’s moves post-Lee Jae-yong’s Feb 3rd ruling signal a major pivot, setting up aggressive value-up plays across Samsung Life, Samsung Electronics, and Samsung C&amp;T.
Shoring up Samsung Life’s finances triggers a domino effect, positioning Samsung Electronics and Samsung C&amp;T to follow with their own shareholder-friendly moves.


Samsung Life’s Official Move to Make Fire a Subsidiary: A Value-Up Play for Samsung's Big Three

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung’s 12-high HBM3E qual at NVIDIA may slip to Oct–Nov. But tariff timing uncertainty still leaves room for a near-term demand spike.</li>
<li>Samsung’s 1c-based HBM4 is yielding better than expected, but it’s 30% pricier than Hynix’s. Tariff treatment of the Taylor fab could make or break its HBM4 competitiveness.</li>
<li>Too early to call HBM4, but Samsung’s HBM3E pricing plus tariff uncertainty could spark urgent NVIDIA buying — triggering a near-term volume spike before next-gen ramps.</li>
</ul>


Samsung’s 12-high HBM3E qual at NVIDIA may slip to Oct–Nov. But tariff timing uncertainty still leaves room for a near-term demand spike.
Samsung’s 1c-based HBM4 is yielding better than expected, but it’s 30% pricier than Hynix’s. Tariff treatment of the Taylor fab could make or break its HBM4 competitiveness.
Too early to call HBM4, but Samsung’s HBM3E pricing plus tariff uncertainty could spark urgent NVIDIA buying — triggering a near-term volume spike before next-gen ramps.


How Chip Tariffs Shake up Samsung’s HBM Pricing Play Based on Fresh Local Intel

<ul>
<li>Samsung Life needs FSC approval for a 10-year holding plan on its Samsung Electronics stake. Without it, the whole plan could fall apart, so it’s all about regulatory green lights.</li>
<li>If FSC approves Samsung Life's long-term holding, they can't sell those shares for at least 5 years—no exit strategy for the next half-decade due to regulatory rules.</li>
<li>Samsung Life will convert part of its stake into long-term holdings, signaling how future buybacks and special dividends will balance in Samsung Electronics' next shareholder return program.</li>
</ul>


Samsung Life needs FSC approval for a 10-year holding plan on its Samsung Electronics stake. Without it, the whole plan could fall apart, so it’s all about regulatory green lights.
If FSC approves Samsung Life's long-term holding, they can't sell those shares for at least 5 years—no exit strategy for the next half-decade due to regulatory rules.
Samsung Life will convert part of its stake into long-term holdings, signaling how future buybacks and special dividends will balance in Samsung Electronics' next shareholder return program.


Converting Samsung Life's Samsung Electronics Stake to Long-Term Holdings: Clearing up the Confusion

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)