Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tokyo Electron's share price dropped 18% on Friday following the announcement of weak Q1 results and a huge downward revision to H2 FY Mar-26 guidance. </li>
<li>Push-Outs and/or cancellations of orders due to the uncertainty caused by President Trump apparently caught managment by surprise. Costs also rising as management ramps up capex and R&amp;D.</li>
<li>Impact of Trump's yet-to-be-announced tariffs on semiconductors is still unknown, but 15% base rate on Japan already a negative. </li>
</ul>


Tokyo Electron's share price dropped 18% on Friday following the announcement of weak Q1 results and a huge downward revision to H2 FY Mar-26 guidance. 
Push-Outs and/or cancellations of orders due to the uncertainty caused by President Trump apparently caught managment by surprise. Costs also rising as management ramps up capex and R&amp;D.
Impact of Trump's yet-to-be-announced tariffs on semiconductors is still unknown, but 15% base rate on Japan already a negative. 


Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Why the Big Downward Revision?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the top 10 stock picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks (1 to 15 August 2025).</li>
<li>Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) is up 46% in the past two weeks. It is the top performing stock in KOSPI in this period, as one of the top Korean shipbuilders. </li>
<li>Top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Kangwon Land, Hanil Cement, LG Uplus, Hyundai Elevator, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Rotem, KT&amp;G, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, SM Entertainment, and LG Energy Solution. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the top 10 stock picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks (1 to 15 August 2025).
Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) is up 46% in the past two weeks. It is the top performing stock in KOSPI in this period, as one of the top Korean shipbuilders. 
Top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Kangwon Land, Hanil Cement, LG Uplus, Hyundai Elevator, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Rotem, KT&amp;G, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, SM Entertainment, and LG Energy Solution. 


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (1 to 15 August 2025)

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.</li>
<li>Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.</li>
<li>There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.</li>
</ul>


Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.
Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.
There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.</li>
<li>$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 (up from 5700-5785) and $119-$121.
$128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50 are short-term supports to watch on ACWI-US; we will maintain our near-term bullish outlook as long as $123 support holds.


Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.</li><li>Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.</li><li>BOE secures half of Apple's MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.</li></ul>

Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.BOE secures half of Apple's MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Why the Big Downward Revision?

Weak 1Q and big downward revision to sales and profit guidance reveals poor visibility into customer uncertainty, plus impact of tariffs, problems...

Scott Foster

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (1 to 15 August 2025)

Top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Kangwon Land, Hanil Cement, LG Uplus, Hyundai Elevator, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Rotem, KT&G, HD HHI, SM...

Douglas Kim

Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game

This post dives into Samsung’s HBM3E chicken game—a high-stakes move to disrupt margins and reclaim market share ahead of the HBM4 shift.

Sanghyun Park

Continue Adding Exposure to China; Short-Term Supports to for This ACWI-US Pullback

Continue Adding Exposure to China; $ACWI Short-Term Supports for this pullback: $128, $125-$126, and $123-$123.50. Pullbacks = buy opportunities,...

Vermilion Research

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

Hyundai, Samsung, and Hanwha team up on US tariffs. Arm CEO looks at making own chips. BOE wins Apple MacBook screen orders. MediaTek surpasses Q2...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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