Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.</li>
<li>Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.</li>
<li>Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would <em><strong>double</strong></em> total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! </li>
</ul>


On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.
Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.
Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! 


YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.</li>
<li>Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. </li>
<li>Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending</li>
</ul>


TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.
Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. 
Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending


Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026.</li>
<li>We expect threes changes at the December index rebal event and no intra-review changes before then.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026.
We expect threes changes at the December index rebal event and no intra-review changes before then.


Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks</li>
<li>The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks
The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin


High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. </li>
<li>We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. 
We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?


Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

United States

SanDisk Corporation designs, develops, and manufactures data storage solutions in a variety of form factors using our flash memory, proprietary controller and firmware technologies. The Company's solutions include removable cards, embedded products, universal serial bus, or USB, drives, digital media players, wafers and components.

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Sandisk Corp (SNDK US)

YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double...

William Keating

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

Moderna replacing WBD is the last expected intra-review change before December. The annual reconstitution should bring three more Nasdaq-100...

Anjana Amarasuriya

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Downgrading Staples $XLP to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading While Prior Leaders Consolidate; $SMH Above $280, 10-yr Treasury yield below key...

Vermilion Research

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YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double...

William Keating

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

​TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

Moderna replacing WBD is the last expected intra-review change before December. The annual reconstitution should bring three more Nasdaq-100...

Anjana Amarasuriya

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Downgrading Staples $XLP to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading While Prior Leaders Consolidate; $SMH Above $280, 10-yr Treasury yield below key...

Vermilion Research

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...