Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off.</li><li>Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock being added to the S&amp;P 600 index effective tomorrow.</li><li>SanDisk is trading at 1.1x revenue which is a reasonable valuation (Xioxia, Sandisk’s JV partner, trades at 1.3x LTM revenue).<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"></figure></li></ul>

Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off.Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock being added to the S&amp;P 600 index effective tomorrow.SanDisk is trading at 1.1x revenue which is a reasonable valuation (Xioxia, Sandisk’s JV partner, trades at 1.3x LTM revenue).

<ul>
<li>Small caps generally trade between a 50% discount to the S&amp;P 500 and a 50% premium. The current discount is 22%.</li>
<li>Relative periods of outperformance tend to last for waves of at least 13 years.</li>
<li>The current dominance of large caps over small caps has lasted ~13 years. This suggests the cycle could be due to change.</li>
</ul>


Small caps generally trade between a 50% discount to the S&amp;P 500 and a 50% premium. The current discount is 22%.
Relative periods of outperformance tend to last for waves of at least 13 years.
The current dominance of large caps over small caps has lasted ~13 years. This suggests the cycle could be due to change.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks</li>
<li>The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Short-Term supports on SPX include 6480-6520, 6450, 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059; buy pullbacks
The list of areas re-emerging as leadership has meaningfully expanded to include ARKK, ARKW, uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), and other themes including IPOs/A.I./nuclear/robotics/drones/autonomous driving/bitcoin


High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

Seagate Technology Holdings PL / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. </li>
<li>We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. 
We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?


Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Key Memory Names Have Rebounded; Micron and SK Hynix Lead</li>
<li>NAND Flash Memory Prices to Increase; NAND Flash Pricing to Improve in 2H25E</li>
<li>Memory Monitor Universe: NAND Flash Price Improvement Favors Long SK Hynix and Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech</li>
</ul>


Key Memory Names Have Rebounded; Micron and SK Hynix Lead
NAND Flash Memory Prices to Increase; NAND Flash Pricing to Improve in 2H25E
Memory Monitor Universe: NAND Flash Price Improvement Favors Long SK Hynix and Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech


Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices

United States

SanDisk Corporation designs, develops, and manufactures data storage solutions in a variety of form factors using our flash memory, proprietary controller and firmware technologies. The Company's solutions include removable cards, embedded products, universal serial bus, or USB, drives, digital media players, wafers and components.

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Sandisk Corp (SNDK US)

[Alert] Sell Sandisk Spin-off

Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off. Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock...

Richard Howe

Weekly Update (WDC, SNDK, MRP, IAC)

Small caps generally trade between a 50% discount to the S&P 500 and a 50% premium. The current discount is 22%. Relative periods of outperformance...

Richard Howe

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Downgrading Staples $XLP to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading While Prior Leaders Consolidate; $SMH Above $280, 10-yr Treasury yield below key...

Vermilion Research

Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices

Micron and SK Hynix lead rebound in key memory names, NAND flash prices expected to increase in 2H25E, favoring long positions in SK Hynix and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Alert] Sell Sandisk Spin-off

Today, investors received shares in the new SanDisk spin-off. Shares are currently slightly up due to buying pressure ahead of the stock...

Richard Howe

Weekly Update (WDC, SNDK, MRP, IAC)

Small caps generally trade between a 50% discount to the S&P 500 and a 50% premium. The current discount is 22%. Relative periods of outperformance...

Richard Howe

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact

High Growth Areas Re-Emerging as Leadership; Remain Overweight Growth; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $IWM. $ARKK $URA $HYDR $IONQ $OKLO $BBAI...

Vermilion Research

Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

Downgrading Staples $XLP to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading While Prior Leaders Consolidate; $SMH Above $280, 10-yr Treasury yield below key...

Vermilion Research

Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND & DRAM Prices

​Micron and SK Hynix lead rebound in key memory names, NAND flash prices expected to increase in 2H25E, favoring long positions in SK Hynix and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron and SK Hynix lead rebound in key memory names, NAND flash prices expected to increase in 2H25E, favoring long positions in SK Hynix and...