HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We consider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luxshare-precision-industry-co-ltd-3f59eaa1-da7f-4d9b-add0-c8efccfee0d5" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50296:1" rel="noopener">Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)</a>'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. </li>
<li>Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. </li>
<li>The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.</li>
</ul>


We consider Luxshare Precision Industry (2475 HK)'s H-share IPO not expensive, especially given its gigantic market capitalisation which will attract interests. 
Its 3-year EPS CAGR is forecast at 19.2%, and its position as a local and global leader in precision intelligent manufacturing solutions justify a premium to peers. 
The IPO price is set at 17.6% discount to the A-share. It can at least trade on 10% discount, translating into a price of HK$69.12, or 9.2% upside.


Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Luxshare Precision, a consumer electronics precision components and EMS manufacturer, launched its IPO to raise USD 3,119m through an A+H listing. CITIC, GS, and CICC are joint sponsors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze reference A+H deals, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Luxshare Precision, a consumer electronics precision components and EMS manufacturer, launched its IPO to raise USD 3,119m through an A+H listing. CITIC, GS, and CICC are joint sponsors.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze reference A+H deals, cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

Anker Innovations Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anker-innovations-technology-co-ltd-af2d0155-cc59-4895-b0bb-f09346c5fd0c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50274:1" rel="noopener">Anker Innovations (668 HK)</a>, which designs and develops consumer electronics for the global smart devices industry, appears reasonably priced.</li>
<li>It ranked 1st globally in mobile charging products, and its 3-year earnings CAGR is projected to reach 20.7%. The IPO is at a 22.8% discount to the A-share.</li>
<li>The stock should comfortably trade on 20% discount, meaning a fair price of HK$102.95, 3.7% upside. Aggressively, on 10% discount, the upside will reach 16.6%.</li>
</ul>


The IPO of Anker Innovations (668 HK), which designs and develops consumer electronics for the global smart devices industry, appears reasonably priced.
It ranked 1st globally in mobile charging products, and its 3-year earnings CAGR is projected to reach 20.7%. The IPO is at a 22.8% discount to the A-share.
The stock should comfortably trade on 20% discount, meaning a fair price of HK$102.95, 3.7% upside. Aggressively, on 10% discount, the upside will reach 16.6%.


Anker Innovations (668 HK) IPO: A Safe Play

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 80.2% as of Jun 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.7ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 80.2% as of Jun 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.7ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, information technology, consumer discretionary and offset by energy, industrials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 19th): China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>We update the A+H cornerstone lock-up expiry study with 18 deals and a longer post-expiry observation window.</li>
<li>The revised pattern is timing-driven. Early post-expiry trading was resilient, while weakness appeared later than the February note captured.</li>
<li>A-H premium is a clear cross-sectional screen in this sample.</li>
</ul>


We update the A+H cornerstone lock-up expiry study with 18 deals and a longer post-expiry observation window.
The revised pattern is timing-driven. Early post-expiry trading was resilient, while weakness appeared later than the February note captured.
A-H premium is a clear cross-sectional screen in this sample.


HK A+H IPO Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry: Price and Liquidity Evidence (Updates)

China

Sany Heavy Industry is a Chinese multinational heavy equipment manufacturing company that specializes in manufacturing and marketing construction machinery. Its product range includes concrete machinery, excavators, cranes, road construction machinery, and piling machinery. The company is headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, China, and was founded in 1994.

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Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Luxshare Precision's USD 3,119m Hong Kong IPO. We would participate given its strong cornerstone lineup, though the 10% A-H premium...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anker Innovations (668 HK) IPO: A Safe Play

Anker Innovations' IPO is reasonably priced with strong growth prospects at a projected 3-year earnings CAGR of 20.7%. This is a potential 16.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 19th): China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK A+H IPO Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry: Price and Liquidity Evidence (Updates)

We expand our A+H cornerstone lock-up expiry study from 10 to 18 deals and extend the post-expiry window. The updated evidence shows early...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Luxshare Precision (2475 HK) IPO: We See Some Potential Upside

​Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Osbert Tang, CFA

Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) A+H IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Luxshare Precision's USD 3,119m Hong Kong IPO. We would participate given its strong cornerstone lineup, though the 10% A-H premium...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anker Innovations (668 HK) IPO: A Safe Play

​Anker Innovations' IPO is reasonably priced with strong growth prospects at a projected 3-year earnings CAGR of 20.7%. This is a potential 16.6%...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 19th): China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, China Coal, Remegen, Yangtze Optical Fibre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK A+H IPO Cornerstone Lock-Up Expiry: Price and Liquidity Evidence (Updates)

We expand our A+H cornerstone lock-up expiry study from 10 to 18 deals and extend the post-expiry window. The updated evidence shows early...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Luxshare Precision Industry's H-share IPO is attractively priced with strong growth potential and a discount to A-share, offering upside potential.

Anker Innovations' IPO is reasonably priced with strong growth prospects at a projected 3-year earnings CAGR of 20.7%. This is a potential 16.6%...