Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 169 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 58.5% as of Jan 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, energy, materials and offset by financials, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, China Tourism, Sinopec, Sany Heavy.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)

<ul>
<li>In this note, we take a statistical view of the A+H listing in 2025.</li>
<li>We examine time-series trends in IPO performance, subscription dynamics, market sentiment, and sponsor performance.</li>
<li>We also look at A-H premium dynamics post-listing and sector-level deal performance.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we take a statistical view of the A+H listing in 2025.
We examine time-series trends in IPO performance, subscription dynamics, market sentiment, and sponsor performance.
We also look at A-H premium dynamics post-listing and sector-level deal performance.


HK A+H IPO 2025: Essential Statistics Ahead of the 2026 Wave

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Sinotruk Hong Kong / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotruk-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19764:1" rel="noopener">Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK)</a> to raise upto US$207m via a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK) to raise upto US$207m via a secondary selldown.
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - First Selldown Introduces Overhang After Strong Run-Up

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 49 potential inclusions and 25 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


There could be 49 potential inclusions and 25 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Mar 2026): Many Changes Following Huge IPO Quarter

China

Sany Heavy Industry is a Chinese multinational heavy equipment manufacturing company that specializes in manufacturing and marketing construction machinery. Its product range includes concrete machinery, excavators, cranes, road construction machinery, and piling machinery. The company is headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, China, and was founded in 1994.

Price Gauge
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Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK A+H IPO 2025: Essential Statistics Ahead of the 2026 Wave

A+H IPOs in 2025: with the A–H premium compression, why did some IPOs still work while most large deals failed to deliver excess returns?

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - First Selldown Introduces Overhang After Strong Run-Up

German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell around a 2% stake in Sinotruk (3808.HK) to raise up to US$207m via a...

Akshat Shah

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Mar 2026): Many Changes Following Huge IPO Quarter

There could be 74 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 64 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 23rd): Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron & Steel

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Flat Glass, Maanshan Iron &...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK A+H IPO 2025: Essential Statistics Ahead of the 2026 Wave

A+H IPOs in 2025: with the A–H premium compression, why did some IPOs still work while most large deals failed to deliver excess returns?

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - First Selldown Introduces Overhang After Strong Run-Up

German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell around a 2% stake in Sinotruk (3808.HK) to raise up to US$207m via a...

Akshat Shah

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Mar 2026): Many Changes Following Huge IPO Quarter

There could be 74 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 64 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...