HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.</li>
<li>Stocks with the best growth are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">CTG Duty Free (1880 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK)</a>.. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">CICC (3908 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anjoy-foods-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44280:1" rel="noopener">Anjoy Foods (2648 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-ports-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:360:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> may upgrade. </li>
</ul>


Excluding an outlier, our coverage universe is expected to witness a 56.6% YoY earnings growth in 4Q25, rapidly accelerating from the previous quarter.
Stocks with the best growth are Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), Sany Heavy Equip. (631 HK), Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), CTG Duty Free (1880 HK), and Cosco Shipping Energy (1138 HK).. 

CICC (3908 HK), CNBM (3323 HK), Shanghai Electric (2727 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Anjoy Foods (2648 HK), Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK), and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) may upgrade. 


China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.4% as of Aug 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.6ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, energy, real estate and offset by utilities, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 82.7% as of Aug 14th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, materials and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare Ict, China Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 82.7% as of Aug 14th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, materials and offset by information technology, energy, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare Ict, China Telecom.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 14th): Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare Ict

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Zhongji Innolight raised HKD 52,891m (USD 6,746m) from its global offering and will list on the HKEx on Thursday, July 30, 2026.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Zhongji Innolight raised HKD 52,891m (USD 6,746m) from its global offering and will list on the HKEx on Thursday, July 30, 2026.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.


Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

<ul>
<li>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.</li>
<li>Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.</li>
<li>The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.</li>
</ul>


The IPO of Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, which seeks HK$54.5bn, is the largest since 2019.
Its FY25-28F EPS CAGR will reach 89.8%, underpinned by the jump in revenue and expansion in margin. Its 1Q26 net profit has already surged by 262.3%.
The IPO is priced at a 17.7% HA discount. At a HK$1.2trn market capitalisation, pegging it to its A-share will give a price of HK$1,227, or a 21.5% upside.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

China

Sany Heavy Industry is a Chinese multinational heavy equipment manufacturing company that specializes in manufacturing and marketing construction machinery. Its product range includes concrete machinery, excavators, cranes, road construction machinery, and piling machinery. The company is headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, China, and was founded in 1994.

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Sany Heavy Industry (6031 HK)

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 14th): Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare Ict

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

Zhongji Innolight raised USD 6,746m to list on HKEX on Thursday, July 30. We are cautious on debut performance given the A-share's fall since...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: Stock Implications for 4Q25

​Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 28th): Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Gwmotor, China Mobile, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Minsheng Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 14th): Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare Ict

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Muyuan Foods Group Co Ltd-H, Innocare Pharma Ltd-H, Luxshare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

Zhongji Innolight raised USD 6,746m to list on HKEX on Thursday, July 30. We are cautious on debut performance given the A-share's fall since...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Assessing the Valuation

​Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Expect a 56.6% YoY profit growth in 4Q25 for our coverage universe, with top growth stocks being Xinjiang Goldwind, Sany Heavy Equipment, Dongfang...

Zhongji InnoLight's IPO seeks HK$54.5bn, with strong growth projections. Priced at a 17.7% HA discount, there is potential for 21.5% upside if we...