IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/innolight-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:247130" rel="noopener">Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors.  Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of 1.69% are near peak levels.</li>
<li>The most widely held stocks in the sector are CATL (A), Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH), Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. (300124 CH) and EVE Energy (300014 CH)</li>
<li>Weight increases in the Industrials sector far outweighed decreases over the last half of 2021. Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) and NARI Technology Co (600406 CH) were among the beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors.  Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of 1.69% are near peak levels.
The most widely held stocks in the sector are CATL (A), Luxshare Precision Industry (002475 CH), Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co. (300124 CH) and EVE Energy (300014 CH)
Weight increases in the Industrials sector far outweighed decreases over the last half of 2021. Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH) and NARI Technology Co (600406 CH) were among the beneficiaries.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Sinotruk Hong Kong / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotruk-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19764:1" rel="noopener">Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK)</a> to raise upto US$261m via a secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell a ~2% stake in Sinotruk Hong Kong (3808 HK) to raise upto US$261m via a secondary selldown.
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Ltd is China’s leading heavy-duty truck manufacturer, focused on commercial vehicles with strong domestic market share, growing exports, and consistent cash generation.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - Third Selldown in Seven Months After Strong Run-Up

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>China's construction machinery companies should benefit from the decision of bringing forward infrastructure investments by the Central Economic Work Conference; but the Nov industry figures still showed lacklustre performance.</li>
<li>Excavator sales volume was down 36.6% YoY in the month, with domestic sales even plunged by 51.4%. Wheel loader looks to be better with a lesser YoY decline at 8.5%.</li>
<li>High base and time lag for translating into demand mean unit sales will stay weak over the next few months. We prefer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> as infrastructure play. </li>
</ul>


China's construction machinery companies should benefit from the decision of bringing forward infrastructure investments by the Central Economic Work Conference; but the Nov industry figures still showed lacklustre performance.
Excavator sales volume was down 36.6% YoY in the month, with domestic sales even plunged by 51.4%. Wheel loader looks to be better with a lesser YoY decline at 8.5%.
High base and time lag for translating into demand mean unit sales will stay weak over the next few months. We prefer China Communications Construction (1800 HK) as infrastructure play. 


China Construction Machinery: Not Seeing the End of the Tunnel Yet

China

SANY Heavy Industry Co., Ltd manufactures and markets construction and engineering machinery and related parts. The Company produces and sells concrete pumps, concrete pump vehicles, road rollers, pavers, and other related products. Sany Heavy Industry markets its products worldwide.

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Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)

China A-Shares: Industrials Revolution

Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors. Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of...

Steven Holden

Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - Third Selldown in Seven Months After Strong Run-Up

German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell around a 2% stake in Sinotruk (3808.HK) to raise up to US$261m via a...

Akshat Shah

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Machinery: Not Seeing the End of the Tunnel Yet

While CEWC's decision to accelerate infrastructure investment bodes well for the construction machinery sector, high base and time lag in demand...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

InnoLight, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion. In this note, I...

Arun George

China A-Shares: Industrials Revolution

Over the past 2 years, Industrials exposure has almost doubled among China A-Share active investors. Today's weight of 18.7% and overweight of...

Steven Holden

Aequitas: Sinotruk Placement - Third Selldown in Seven Months After Strong Run-Up

German truckmaker, MAN SE (via MAN Finance and Holding) is looking to sell around a 2% stake in Sinotruk (3808.HK) to raise up to US$261m via a...

Akshat Shah

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Machinery: Not Seeing the End of the Tunnel Yet

While CEWC's decision to accelerate infrastructure investment bodes well for the construction machinery sector, high base and time lag in demand...

Osbert Tang, CFA