Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, election headlines and earnings dominated the news cycle.</li><li>The Trump win could be positive for biopharma if RFK Jr.’s influence can be held in check. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, election headlines and earnings dominated the news cycle.The Trump win could be positive for biopharma if RFK Jr.’s influence can be held in check. 

Biopharma Week in Review - November 11, 2024

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

With the S&amp;P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of the uptrends that began in March... see charts below. Therefore, we continue to have a bullish outlook and we believe the path of least resistance remains higher. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Materials: Biotech, Large-Cap, Biotech, Mid-Cap, Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap, and Silver, Platinum.

With the S&amp;P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of the uptrends that began in March... see charts below. Therefore, we continue to have a bullish outlook and we believe the path of least resistance remains higher. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Materials: Biotech, Large-Cap, Biotech, Mid-Cap, Gold, Western Hemisphere, Small-Cap, and Silver, Platinum.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

The S&amp;P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&amp;P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&amp;P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

The S&amp;P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the 200-day moving average. This level is roughly 2,817 on the S&amp;P 500 and roughly 1,000 on the S&amp;P 600 Small Cap index. Some consolidation or a mild pullback is possible in the near-term, which we believe would help alleviate current overbought readings and allow for a more orderly and meaningful move higher.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within the Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Services Sectors.

S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance...Still

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>Cyclical indicators are softening this month - new orders index for the Philly Fed fell nearly 23 points while Japan’s PMI new export orders component fell for the first time in 22mths to sub 50.</li>
<li>A sustained tariff war and its unpredictable impact on highly integrated global supply chains as with Daimler’s profit warning last week is now generating downside volatility.</li>
<li>The 20% slump in mainland shares from recent highs has been less about trade war fears as deteriorating liquidity, reflected in…</li>
</ul>


Cyclical indicators are softening this month - new orders index for the Philly Fed fell nearly 23 points while Japan’s PMI new export orders component fell for the first time in 22mths to sub 50.
A sustained tariff war and its unpredictable impact on highly integrated global supply chains as with Daimler’s profit warning last week is now generating downside volatility.
The 20% slump in mainland shares from recent highs has been less about trade war fears as deteriorating liquidity, reflected in…


Trade Risks Start to Impact, as China Biotech Ambitions Grow…

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During 9MFY25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-shinyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6634:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP)</a> reported revenue growth of 8% YoY to ¥121B, while operating profit stood at ¥33B, up 8% YoY.</li>
<li>Viltepso witnessed growth both in Japan and the U.S. and licensing income also increased on higher overseas sales of Uptravi.</li>
<li>Guidance for FY25 have been raised with sales now expected to be ¥160B, up 8% YoY.</li>
</ul>


During 9MFY25, Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP) reported revenue growth of 8% YoY to ¥121B, while operating profit stood at ¥33B, up 8% YoY.
Viltepso witnessed growth both in Japan and the U.S. and licensing income also increased on higher overseas sales of Uptravi.
Guidance for FY25 have been raised with sales now expected to be ¥160B, up 8% YoY.


Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP): Strong 9MFY25 Numbers; FY25 Guidance Raised; Regular Launches Remain Key

United States

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of unique RNA-based therapeutics for the treatment of both rare and infectious diseases. The Company offers its products to the medical industry in countries around the world.

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Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT US)

Biopharma Week in Review - November 11, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, election headlines...

Water Tower Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

With the S&P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance...Still

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the...

Vermilion Research

Trade Risks Start to Impact, as China Biotech Ambitions Grow…

Cyclical indicators are softening this month - new orders index for the Philly Fed fell nearly 23 points while Japan’s PMI new export orders...

Sean Maher

Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP): Strong 9MFY25 Numbers; FY25 Guidance Raised; Regular Launches Remain Key

Nippon Shinyaku sees high single-digit revenue and profit growth in 9MFY25, with Viltepso and Uptravi driving sales increase. FY25 sales guidance...

Tina Banerjee

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Biopharma Week in Review - November 11, 2024

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&A. Last week, election headlines...

Water Tower Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

With the S&P 500 breaking above the June highs and the Russell 2000 bullishly inflecting topside a ~1-month base, it signals a continuation of...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 and S&P 600 Testing Resistance...Still

The S&P 500 is beginning to come off of short-term overbought extremes, consolidating near the confluence of key overhead resistance and the...

Vermilion Research

Trade Risks Start to Impact, as China Biotech Ambitions Grow…

Cyclical indicators are softening this month - new orders index for the Philly Fed fell nearly 23 points while Japan’s PMI new export orders...

Sean Maher

Nippon Shinyaku (4516 JP): Strong 9MFY25 Numbers; FY25 Guidance Raised; Regular Launches Remain Key

​Nippon Shinyaku sees high single-digit revenue and profit growth in 9MFY25, with Viltepso and Uptravi driving sales increase. FY25 sales guidance...

Tina Banerjee

Nippon Shinyaku sees high single-digit revenue and profit growth in 9MFY25, with Viltepso and Uptravi driving sales increase. FY25 sales guidance...